Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Strikes on Bryansk and Belgorod Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Defense Industry in 2026

Strikes on Bryansk and Belgorod Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Defense Industry in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on July 7, 2026, targeting Russian military-industrial facilities in Bryansk and Belgorod, including a chemical plant and a fuel depot. These strikes aimed to disrupt supply chains and production capabilities, impacting the Russian military's operational effectiveness. Additionally, two railway bridges in Crimea were targeted, further complicating logistics for Russian forces. The operation reflects Ukraine's strategy to undermine Russian military infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026
30.42 square kilometers for June show the limit of the Russian offensive 2026

30.42 square kilometers for June show the limit of the Russian offensive 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

Russian forces attempted to advance in the Donetsk region, gaining 30.42 square kilometers in June 2026 but suffering 39,490 casualties. The situation around Konstantinovka shows a 36.98% presence of Russian troops, yet they lack sustainable control. Ukrainian forces successfully targeted Russian logistics, complicating their operational capabilities. The ongoing conflict reflects a significant shift in the dynamics of the war, with increasing costs for territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026
200 thousand rubles for the sky over the oil refinery — Gazprom gets involved in Russian air defense 2026

200 thousand rubles for the sky over the oil refinery — Gazprom gets involved in Russian air defense 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Gazprom signed a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense to establish mobile fire groups for protecting gas infrastructure in July 2026. Participants will receive 200,000 rubles per month during training. Ukrainian forces have reportedly increased successful strikes on Russian infrastructure, prompting a shift in defense strategy that now includes corporate entities. This indicates a significant adaptation in Russia's military logistics and defense approach.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 06 2026
Russia Fires 653 Drones and 51 Missiles as Ukraine Energy War Accelerates

Russia Fires 653 Drones and 51 Missiles as Ukraine Energy War Accelerates

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched 653 drones and 51 missiles in a large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on July 5-6, 2023. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 585 drones and 30 missiles, but significant damage occurred, including to the Fastiv railway station and the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. In response, Ukraine targeted Russian positions in Crimea, demonstrating an ongoing exchange of strikes between the two nations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 05 2026
496 Drones and 74 Missiles Over Kyiv Change the Economy of the Russian Strike

496 Drones and 74 Missiles Over Kyiv Change the Economy of the Russian Strike

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 2, 2023, Russian Armed Forces conducted a massive aerial attack on Kyiv, deploying 496 drones and 74 missiles, including a significant number of ballistic missiles. The assault lasted several hours, forcing over 50,000 residents to seek shelter in the metro. This operation reflects a strategic shift towards overwhelming Ukraine's air defense capabilities, as Russia aims to pressure Ukraine's military resources and response times.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 05 2026
74 missiles and 496 drones over Kyiv show the new economy of Russian coercion

74 missiles and 496 drones over Kyiv show the new economy of Russian coercion

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 2, 2023, Russian forces launched a massive airstrike on Kyiv, deploying 74 missiles and 496 drones. Despite Ukrainian air defenses intercepting 48 missiles and 476 drones, 25 ballistic missiles and 12 drones successfully struck 33 locations. The attack lasted over 11 hours, with civilians taking shelter in the metro as a precaution against the strikes.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 04 2026
550 Drones and Missiles Over Kyiv Show the New Norm of Russian Long-Range Warfare

550 Drones and Missiles Over Kyiv Show the New Norm of Russian Long-Range Warfare

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 4, Russian forces launched 550 drones and missiles targeting Kyiv, marking a significant escalation in their long-range warfare strategy. Ukrainian defenses intercepted a substantial number of these attacks, but 25 ballistic missiles and 12 drones successfully struck 33 targets. President Zelensky highlighted the urgent need for additional Patriot missile systems to counter the ongoing threat.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 04 2026
Su-30SM and Su-24 Under Attack in Saki — Seven Aircraft in a Week

Su-30SM and Su-24 Under Attack in Saki — Seven Aircraft in a Week

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian drones struck the Saki airfield on July 3, 2026, damaging or destroying seven aircraft, including Su-30SM and Su-24. This was the second attack on the airfield within a week, highlighting the strategic importance of Saki for Russian aviation in Crimea. The strikes are part of a broader effort to pressure Russian military logistics and air defense systems.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 03 2026
74 missiles and 496 drones over Kyiv show the limits of Russia's pressure strategy

74 missiles and 496 drones over Kyiv show the limits of Russia's pressure strategy

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 2, 2026, Russian forces conducted a massive strike on Kyiv, launching 74 missiles and 496 drones. Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 48 missiles and 476 drones, but 25 ballistic missiles and 12 drones hit 33 targets, resulting in civilian casualties and infrastructure damage. This operation reflects a strategic approach to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses while targeting military and civilian sites.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 03 2026
496 Drones and 74 Missiles Over Kyiv Show the Limits of Russia's Retaliation Strategy

496 Drones and 74 Missiles Over Kyiv Show the Limits of Russia's Retaliation Strategy

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

On July 2, 2023, Russian Armed Forces launched a massive attack on Kyiv, deploying 496 drones and 74 missiles, with 28 ballistic missiles hitting the city. The Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 476 drones and 48 missiles, but the assault resulted in at least 20 fatalities and significant damage to infrastructure. This operation reflects Russia's strategy of saturation to deplete Ukrainian air defenses and exert psychological pressure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 02 2026
256 clashes near Pokrovsk show the limits of the Russian campaign of 2026

256 clashes near Pokrovsk show the limits of the Russian campaign of 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On July 1, 2023, Ukrainian forces reported 256 combat clashes in the Pokrovsk area, with significant Russian military activity including 81 airstrikes and extensive drone usage. Despite high intensity, the operational results remain minimal, with Ukrainian forces successfully repelling numerous assaults. The Russian Army continues to face challenges in achieving its objectives in the Donetsk region, with a new deadline set for December 31, 2026.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 01 2026
Falcon shot down for the first time over Ukraine, revealing the weakness of the Russian anti-drone layer in 2026

Falcon shot down for the first time over Ukraine, revealing the weakness of the Russian anti-drone layer in 2026

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces shot down a Russian Sokol drone using a General Cherry AIR interceptor on June 29, 2026, marking the first confirmed destruction of this drone type. The incident highlights weaknesses in Russian drone defense capabilities and the challenges faced by their military in the ongoing conflict. The Ukrainian military reported a high level of combat activity on the same day, indicating an intense operational environment.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jun 30 2026
A Strike on the S-300 and S-400 in Crimea Shows the Cost of Russian Air Defense in 2026

A Strike on the S-300 and S-400 in Crimea Shows the Cost of Russian Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck S-300 and S-400 air defense systems near Kerch and an energy substation in Maryanovka on June 29, 2026. This action reflects a strategic shift in the conflict, as Ukraine applies pressure on Russian logistics and air defense capabilities. The attacks reveal vulnerabilities in the Russian military's ability to protect critical infrastructure in Crimea.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 29 2026
477 Drones and 60 Missiles Over Ukraine Show the Limits of Russian Pressure Strategy

477 Drones and 60 Missiles Over Ukraine Show the Limits of Russian Pressure Strategy

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

On June 29, 2023, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive airstrike involving 477 drones and 60 missiles targeting Ukrainian cities, including Kyiv and Lviv. This marked the largest air assault since February 2022. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces struck Russian oil refineries in response, indicating a shift in the conflict dynamics. Putin acknowledged challenges posed by Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructure, highlighting the need for enhanced air defense capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 29 2026

129 Russian UAVs overnight demonstrate a new arithmetic of pressure on Ukraine in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russian forces launched 129 drones at Ukraine on the night of June 26-27, 2026, with 113 intercepted or suppressed by Ukrainian defenses. The attacks targeted multiple locations, creating pressure on Ukrainian air defense systems and resulting in civilian casualties. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian tactics, focusing on overwhelming Ukrainian defenses with mass drone attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jun 27 2026
A Strike on NORSI Exposed the Fuel Vulnerability of the Russian Army in 2026

A Strike on NORSI Exposed the Fuel Vulnerability of the Russian Army in 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian drones attacked the NORSI oil refinery in Kstovo on June 25-26, 2026, damaging a CDU-5 unit and disrupting 25% of its production capacity. This strike highlights vulnerabilities in the Russian military's logistics, particularly regarding fuel supply. Following the attack, fuel prices in Russia rose by 3%, indicating significant economic repercussions. Concurrently, Ukrainian drones targeted Tula Oblast and Crimea, further stressing Russian military resources.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jun 26 2026
257 clashes in a day show the new price of Russian pressure near Pokrovsk

257 clashes in a day show the new price of Russian pressure near Pokrovsk

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

On June 26, 2026, Russian forces engaged in 257 combat incidents, with 31 assaults in Pokrovsk and additional attacks in Sloviansk and Huliaipole. Ukrainian reports indicate 1310 Russian personnel losses and significant equipment losses, including 68 artillery systems. The Russian military employed a combination of ground assaults, missile strikes, and drone operations, reflecting a sustained pressure strategy against Ukrainian defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jun 26 2026
The Crimean Drone Campaign of 2026 Forces Russia to Tighten Air Defense Around the Bridge

The Crimean Drone Campaign of 2026 Forces Russia to Tighten Air Defense Around the Bridge

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on energy infrastructure in Crimea on June 25, 2026, leading to significant disruptions in power supply and transportation. The Russian military is reportedly redeploying air defense systems to Moscow and the Kerch Bridge in response to these attacks. The situation has resulted in long queues of vehicles at the Kerch Bridge and a reduction in train services to Crimea, highlighting the increasing vulnerability of the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026
S-400 in the Kerch Strait loses protective dome after strikes on June 24

S-400 in the Kerch Strait loses protective dome after strikes on June 24

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on Russian S-400 air defense systems near the Kerch Strait on June 24, 2026, resulting in the destruction of four systems and two Pantsir-S1 systems. Additionally, the Orenburg gas processing plant was targeted, highlighting a shift in Ukrainian strategy towards critical infrastructure. Reports suggest that Russian air defense assets are being redeployed to Moscow and the Kerch Bridge, indicating a potential crisis in air defense distribution.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jun 24 2026
60 Goals in Crimea Overnight Change the Logic of Russian Defense in Southern Ukraine

60 Goals in Crimea Overnight Change the Logic of Russian Defense in Southern Ukraine

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on over 60 Russian military targets in Crimea during the night of June 22-23, 2026, disrupting logistics and supply lines. Key targets included S-300 launchers and various logistical hubs, leading to a significant reduction in Russian supplies. The Russian military is reportedly adapting by enhancing camouflage and deploying mobile groups to counter Ukrainian drone operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jun 24 2026