Analysis & Reports

China is conducting a naval surge with over 100 vessels and 21 to 22 military aircraft around Taiwan in 2026, practicing blockade tactics. This operation aims to create a perception of restricted access to Taiwan's waters without formally declaring a blockade. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is testing Taiwan's response capabilities and the reactions of the United States and regional allies.

Marcus ChenThu Nov 05 2026Loading...

China's Liaoning Carrier and its strike group operated in the western Pacific in 2026, testing capabilities beyond the first island chain. This deployment is not a rehearsal for an invasion of Taiwan but aims to challenge U.S. and Japanese forces, which are preparing for their own drills. The carrier group was reported near Okinawa and later moved towards the South China Sea after Philippine Sea drills, indicating a strategic operational test.

Marcus ChenFri Oct 16 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy operates the USS Theodore Roosevelt as the sole nuclear-powered aircraft carrier in the Western Pacific as of October 13, 2026. Meanwhile, the USS George Washington and USS George H.W. Bush are deployed in the Arabian Sea, and the USS Abraham Lincoln has returned to San Diego after a lengthy deployment. This limited carrier presence raises concerns about the Navy's ability to respond effectively in a Taiwan contingency.

Marcus ChenThu Oct 15 2026Loading...

China conducted a series of military activities in June 2026, including joint bomber patrols with Russia over the Sea of Japan and East China Sea, naval exercises near Qingdao, and coast guard operations east of Taiwan. A ballistic missile test demonstrated a range of 7,300 kilometers, indicating China's expanding military reach. These actions suggest a shift towards a more permanent military presence in the Western Pacific, challenging regional security dynamics.

Marcus ChenSun Sep 13 2026Loading...

USS George Washington arrived in the U.S. Central Command area, relieving USS Abraham Lincoln, which has been deployed for 272 days without a port call. The U.S. Navy now has three carriers in the Arabian Sea and none in the Western Pacific, raising concerns about naval readiness in the Indo-Pacific region. This shift indicates a significant gap in carrier presence in the Pacific, impacting response times to potential conflicts.

Marcus ChenFri Aug 21 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army Navy's Liaoning aircraft carrier conducted 170 deck cycles over three days from May 26 to 28, 2026, in the Western Pacific, south of Japan. The carrier group included five vessels, demonstrating operational capabilities and rehearsing for potential future military engagements. This activity complicates US and allied operations in the region, indicating a shift in the PLAN's operational comfort.

Marcus ChenThu Jun 04 2026Loading...

China deployed over 100 vessels across the maritime regions from the Yellow Sea to the Western Pacific, creating significant operational challenges for Taiwan. A standoff occurred between Taiwan's Coast Guard and a Chinese coast guard ship near Dongsha Island, lasting over 20 hours. Taiwan's Coast Guard has also tracked numerous Chinese research vessels, indicating a coordinated effort to exert pressure on Taiwan's defenses.

Marcus ChenMon May 25 2026Loading...

China deployed over 100 naval and coast guard vessels across the Yellow Sea, South China Sea, and Western Pacific in recent days, indicating a rehearsal for a potential blockade of Taiwan. Taiwan reported 16 PLA aircraft and 8 PLAN ships in its vicinity, while the U.S. faces delays in arms sales to Taiwan, affecting its military readiness. This deployment reflects China's strategy to create simultaneous pressure across multiple maritime approaches to Taiwan.

Marcus ChenSat May 23 2026Loading...

The U.S. recalibrated its military strategy in the 2026 National Defense Strategy, emphasizing deterrence in the Indo-Pacific and increasing defense spending demands on allies. The strategy allocates $901 billion for defense, with significant investments in military capabilities and joint exercises with regional partners. However, the omission of specific commitments regarding Taiwan has raised concerns among allies about U.S. reliability and intentions. Additionally, U.S. military assets have been redeployed from South Korea, complicating regional security dynamics.

Marcus ChenSat Mar 14 2026Loading...

The U.S. is recalibrating its military posture in the Indo-Pacific to address fiscal constraints and enhance deterrence against China. This includes deploying missile systems to the Philippines and increasing defense spending commitments from Japan and South Korea. The AUKUS partnership is advancing operational integration among U.S. and Australian forces, while China continues to expand its military presence in the region. The 2026 National Defense Strategy emphasizes a shift towards burden-sharing with allies.

Marcus ChenThu Mar 12 2026Loading...

The Pentagon's 2026 National Defense Strategy emphasizes deterrence by denial in the Indo-Pacific, focusing on bolstering military presence and allied contributions. The strategy notably omits explicit mention of Taiwan, raising concerns about U.S. commitment to regional defense. Japan and South Korea are increasing their defense spending in response to U.S. expectations, while the U.S. plans expanded deployments and missile defenses in the region. This approach reflects a shift towards burden-sharing with allies and a realistic diplomatic stance towards China.

Marcus ChenWed Mar 04 2026Loading...

The U.S. military has deployed two carrier strike groups and 108 air refueling tankers to the Persian Gulf and surrounding regions in February 2026, preparing for potential military operations against Iran. This includes various strike options targeting Iran's nuclear and missile infrastructure, with significant logistical support from aerial refueling capabilities. The deployment of E-3 Sentry AWACS aircraft indicates expectations of contested airspace, while cyber assets are positioned to disrupt Iranian command and control.

Marcus ChenWed Feb 25 2026Loading...