Analysis & Reports

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) are preparing to assault El-Obeid in June 2026, threatening civilians and humanitarian efforts. Over 1,000 civilians have already been killed by drone strikes in Sudan this year. Humanitarian agencies are bracing for mass evacuations as the RSF seeks to control this strategic city in North Kordofan, which is vital for supply routes.

Marie DuboisSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

The Nigerian Army inaugurated a wargaming center in Abuja on June 26, 2023, to enhance military planning against Boko Haram and ISWAP. This center aims to improve coordination across land, maritime, air, cyber, and informational dimensions. Despite claims of neutralizing over 13,000 terrorists, challenges remain in controlling rural areas and ensuring effective military responses. The center is expected to facilitate better strategic assessments and logistical planning for future operations.

Marie DuboisSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

In 2026, the M23 and Congolese Armed Forces are engaged in an ongoing conflict in eastern Congo, resulting in 632 civilian casualties documented by the UN in North Kivu and Ituri. The DRC has accused Rwanda of supporting M23 and violating international law, prompting diplomatic actions at the International Court of Justice. Control of key routes remains critical for both military and humanitarian operations.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 27 2026Loading...

JNIM attacked military positions in Koualou, Benin, resulting in casualties among soldiers and civilians, and the loss of weapons and equipment. The Benin Armed Forces, with around 12,000 active personnel, are facing challenges from jihadist groups operating from neighboring countries. The government is increasing defense spending to address these threats, but logistical and operational challenges remain significant.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 27 2026Loading...

JNIM attacked a Malian military base in Boulkessi, resulting in at least 60 soldiers killed and 40 wounded. The assault led to concerns about potential captives among the 280 soldiers stationed there. Following this, JNIM also claimed coordinated attacks in Tombouctou, indicating a broader operational strategy against Malian forces.

Marie DuboisFri Jun 26 2026Loading...

JNIM launched an attack on Niamey on June 18, targeting the Diori Hamani Airport and a nearby military base, resulting in 13 fatalities, including 11 military personnel. The attackers employed civilian vehicles to infiltrate the area, leading to the deaths of 22 assailants and the arrest of 20 suspects. This incident reflects ongoing jihadist efforts to undermine Niger's military operations and control.

Marie DuboisFri Jun 26 2026Loading...

JNIM attacked Niamey on June 18, targeting the Diori Hamani International Airport and a nearby military base, resulting in 13 deaths, including 11 Nigerien soldiers. Nigerien security forces repelled the assault, killing 22 attackers. This incident marks a significant tactical evolution, as assailants disguised themselves as civilians to approach the sensitive site.

Marie DuboisThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

U.S. forces conducted airstrikes against al-Shabaab in Somalia between June 14 and June 19, 2026, with at least 68 strikes reported since the beginning of the year. General Christopher Donahue is set to leave his command of U.S. Army Europe and Africa, impacting operations in the region. The campaign increasingly relies on bases in Djibouti and Kenya, while the U.S. seeks to enhance its engagement with local Somali leaders.

Marie DuboisThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

On June 23, 2023, a Malian army patrol, accompanied by Russian fighters from the Africa Corps, killed four civilians near Tombouctou, with two victims reportedly struck by a drone. Local sources described the victims as Tuareg and Songhai herders. Following the incident, a dismembered body was discovered arranged in a swastika shape, raising concerns about operational conduct. Concurrently, the JNIM claimed an attack on a Malian army convoy in another region, highlighting the ongoing violence in Mali.

Marie DuboisWed Jun 24 2026Loading...

U.S. Africa Command conducted 68 airstrikes against al-Shabaab in Somalia since early 2026, with four strikes reported in June alone. The airstrikes aim to disrupt al-Shabaab's operations, but political instability in Mogadishu complicates the situation. Reports indicate civilian casualties from previous strikes, raising concerns about the effectiveness and consequences of the air campaign.

Marie DuboisWed Jun 24 2026Loading...

The Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) claimed responsibility for two attacks in Nigeria in 2026, resulting in the deaths of 17 soldiers near Giro Masa and Rumji Dan Tudu. This marks the first official acknowledgment of ISSP operations in Nigeria since 2019, indicating a significant shift in the jihadist landscape. The report emphasizes the operational challenges posed by the ISSP's presence in the northwestern region, complicating the Nigerian military's response.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 23 2026Loading...

Anti-immigration groups, including Operation Dudula, are mobilizing for potential violence against undocumented foreigners in South Africa, with June 30 set as a critical date for action. Planned attacks and lynchings are anticipated, particularly in KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng, as tensions rise ahead of local elections. Recent violence has already resulted in multiple casualties, prompting several African nations to repatriate their citizens.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 23 2026Loading...

JNIM launched an attack on Niamey on June 19, 2026, targeting the Diori Hamani International Airport and a nearby military base, resulting in 13 government personnel killed and 22 attackers killed. This marks the second assault on this strategic location within five months, indicating a shift in jihadist tactics towards urban centers in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 22 2026Loading...

In May 2026, Nigeria experienced 842 deaths and 279 kidnappings across 156 violent incidents, marking a significant increase in violence compared to the previous year. Armed groups, including Boko Haram and ISWAP, are actively involved in these incidents, indicating a dangerous escalation in insecurity across the country. The data suggests a shift in the nature of violence, with multiple conflict zones becoming interconnected.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 22 2026Loading...

JNIM conducted an attack on Niamey airport and the adjacent military base on June 19, 2026, resulting in 35 fatalities, including 13 Nigerien personnel. The assault involved a prolonged engagement with Nigerien forces, highlighting the vulnerability of key strategic locations in the Sahel. This incident marks the second attack on the airport complex within six months, indicating a troubling trend in regional security.

Marie DuboisSun Jun 21 2026Loading...

Over 1,000 civilians were killed by drone strikes in El-Obeid, Kordofan-North, between January and May 2026, attributed to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). The strikes targeted various civilian locations, including a funeral and humanitarian aid transport, reflecting a significant escalation in the ongoing conflict that began in April 2023. The use of drones has dramatically increased, contributing to a high number of civilian casualties and altering the dynamics of warfare in Sudan.

Marie DuboisSun Jun 21 2026Loading...

JNIM exerts control over rural Mali through social governance, while the Malian junta attempts military reconquest. A coordinated attack on April 25 involved JNIM and Azawad separatists targeting Bamako and other cities. The junta responds with increased military pressure, but JNIM's tactics create a state of uncertainty in supply routes and daily life in Bamako. The presence of Russian forces adds complexity to the security dynamics.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 20 2026Loading...

On June 18, 2026, JNIM launched an armed attack on Diori Hamani International Airport and a nearby military base in Niamey, resulting in the deaths of 11 soldiers and 2 civilians, while 22 attackers were reportedly killed. This incident underscores the vulnerabilities of the Nigerien regime's security narrative and serves as a strategic message to both local communities and rival jihadist groups.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 20 2026Loading...

Tshisekedi's government faces a political crisis in Kinshasa as the Senate approved a constitutional referendum that may allow him to seek a third term. The M23 has intensified its military operations in the East, supported by Rwandan troops, while over seven million Congolese remain displaced. The situation is exacerbated by rising security incidents in the region, indicating a complex interplay between political instability and military challenges.

Marie DuboisFri Jun 19 2026Loading...

JNIM launched an attack on the Diori Hamani International Airport in Niamey on June 18, 2026, resulting in 13 fatalities, including 11 soldiers and 2 civilians. The assault also led to the deaths of 22 attackers and the arrest of 20 suspects. This operation highlights the group's capability to strike significant military and civilian targets, following a similar attack by ISIS earlier in the year.

Marie DuboisFri Jun 19 2026Loading...