Analysis & Reports

Terrorist groups, including JNIM and ISSP, have escalated their operations in the Sahel, utilizing forests as strategic bases for attacks and illegal activities. In 2025, over 9,362 people were killed in security incidents across Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger. The U.S. has deployed drones to Nigeria to assist in counter-terrorism efforts, while the region faces increasing violence and humanitarian crises due to armed groups blocking aid and targeting civilians.

Marie DuboisTue Mar 24 2026Loading...

A fire broke out in the laundry facilities of the USS Gerald R. Ford on March 12, 2026, displacing 600 sailors who are now sleeping on floors. The fire, which lasted over 30 hours, was not combat-related and has led to speculation about possible sabotage by crew members. The aircraft carrier is currently docked in Souda Bay, Crete, for repairs after departing the northern Red Sea.

Jama'at al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) conducted coordinated attacks across Burkina Faso in February 2026, demonstrating significant operational capability. The Islamic State in the Sahel Province (ISSP) targeted military infrastructure in Niger in January 2026. In response, ECOWAS announced plans to form a 2,000-soldier counter-terrorism force by the end of 2026. Concurrently, the U.S. deployed MQ-9 Reaper drones and 200 troops to Nigeria, marking a strategic repositioning in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Mar 23 2026Loading...

The USS George H.W. Bush Carrier Strike Group is deploying to the Middle East in February 2026 to enhance U.S. naval presence and relieve the USS Gerald R. Ford after an extended deployment. This deployment is part of Operation Epic Fury and follows the completion of the Bush's Composite Training Unit Exercise. The presence of three carrier strike groups allows for increased operational capabilities and geographic coverage in the region, particularly in response to ongoing tensions with Iran.

USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) is undergoing urgent repairs at Souda Bay, Crete, after a fire in the aft laundry on March 12, 2026, displaced over 600 sailors. The Navy airlifted 1,000 mattresses from the future USS John F. Kennedy (CVN-79) to replace those damaged. More than 200 crew members were treated for smoke inhalation, and one sailor was medevac'ed due to injuries sustained during damage control efforts.

USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN-78) departed the Red Sea for Souda Bay, Crete, on March 12, 2026, following a significant fire that displaced over 600 sailors and damaged living quarters. The carrier's withdrawal temporarily reduces U.S. airpower in the Iran theater, prompting preparations for the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) to relieve it. The fire was not combat-related and is under investigation.

The U.S. military is rapidly depleting its Tomahawk missile inventory due to ongoing operations in the Middle East, raising concerns about production capacity to meet future demands, especially in the Indo-Pacific. Raytheon faces challenges in replenishing stocks due to supply chain bottlenecks and labor shortages. This situation could force the U.S. to make difficult choices between engagements in different theaters.

The U.S. Navy is currently experiencing a shipbuilding crisis, with 82% of new warships behind schedule, jeopardizing its ability to address global threats. This situation is exacerbated by production delays, maintenance backlogs, and workforce shortages, leading to a shrinking fleet despite increased budgets. The Navy's strategic goals include expanding its fleet to 381 manned ships and 134 unmanned vessels by 2025, but achieving this remains uncertain due to ongoing logistical challenges.

USS Gerald R. Ford experienced a fire in the laundry room on March 12, 2023, affecting over 600 sailors and leading to significant operational disruptions. The fire resulted in injuries, with over 200 sailors treated for smoke inhalation, and necessitated repairs at a U.S. Navy base in Crete. The incident has raised concerns regarding the ship's extended deployment and equipment failures, impacting U.S. Navy operations in the region.

On March 12, 2023, a fire broke out in the main laundry spaces of the USS Gerald R. Ford while operating in the Red Sea, displacing over 600 sailors. The ship is now en route to Crete for repairs, as its laundry facilities remain inoperable. Two sailors were treated for injuries, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has declared the carrier strike group a military target.

The Alliance of Sahel States (AES) is operationalizing a unified force of 6,000 troops to combat jihadist threats in the Sahel, following a critical meeting in Ouagadougou on February 26, 2026. Concurrently, ECOWAS announced the activation of its standby force to deploy 2,000 soldiers by the end of 2026. The security situation continues to deteriorate, with increased attacks by groups like Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) and the Islamic State's Sahel Province (ISSP), leading to significant civilian casualties and a fragmented security landscape.

Marie DuboisWed Mar 18 2026Loading...

The USS Gerald R. Ford is expected to temporarily pull into Souda Bay, Crete, after a fire on board resulted in nearly 200 sailors being treated for smoke-related injuries. The fire, which occurred in the ship's main laundry area, took hours to control and affected approximately 100 sleeping berths. The carrier, with over 5,000 sailors and 75 military aircraft, has been deployed for nine months, participating in operations against Iran and Venezuela.

A fire aboard the USS Gerald R. Ford lasted over 30 hours, leaving over 600 service members without beds as they are forced to sleep on floors and tables. The fire, which originated in the main laundry room, caused non-life-threatening injuries to two sailors, while a third was flown off for treatment. The aircraft carrier remains fully operational and is currently stationed in the Red Sea.

The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps warned of targeting logistics for the USS Ford aircraft carrier as U.S. plans to form a maritime coalition in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has reportedly destroyed four U.S. missile defense systems and launched around 700 missiles and 3600 drones against U.S. and Israeli targets. Meanwhile, Israeli attacks in Lebanon have resulted in 850 deaths since March 2.

The Central Theater Command Air Force conducted a comprehensive practical exercise to test its integrated support capabilities, including emergency response and the establishment of a field airport in an unfamiliar region. The exercise involved firefighting units, drones, and support vehicles, demonstrating rapid response to simulated enemy attacks and ensuring operational readiness.

The U.S. Navy has extended the service life of the USS Nimitz until March 2027, reversing plans to retire the aircraft carrier. The Nimitz recently completed a nine-month deployment supporting U.S. Central Command and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, including operations against ISIS in Somalia. It will now shift to Naval Station Norfolk for inactivation and defueling.

The U.S. Navy is transitioning the design of America-class amphibious assault ships to restore the well deck, enhancing amphibious operations by 2026. This change addresses previous design criticisms that favored aviation capabilities over logistical support for heavy equipment. The USS Bougainville (LHA-8) will lead this transition, reflecting a balanced approach to modern expeditionary warfare.

Malian, Burkinabè, and Nigerien forces conducted coordinated military operations from February 21 to March 9, 2026, eliminating over 100 terrorists. The Malian Armed Forces executed a surgical airstrike in Yanfolila, while the Burkinabè army launched a counter-offensive in Northern Sahel. Nigerien forces successfully repelled an attack on the Tahua airport. These actions reflect an intensified commitment to counter-terrorism amid evolving geopolitical dynamics in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisThu Mar 12 2026Loading...

The U.S. military has expended over 400 Tomahawk cruise missiles in the first 72 hours of Operation Epic Fury against Iran, prompting a shift to Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAMs) to conserve high-end munitions for the Indo-Pacific. General Dan Caine warned that continued military operations could deplete U.S. munitions stockpiles, affecting commitments to allies. Lockheed Martin and RTX are ramping up production of precision munitions to address the crisis.

ECOWAS activated a regional force of 2,000 soldiers in March 2026 to address escalating terrorist threats in the Sahel. The main terrorist groups, JNIM and ISSP, continue to conduct sophisticated attacks, including a drone assault on Niamey's airport. JNIM has imposed a blockade on fuel convoys in Mali, while the AES has launched a unified force of 6,000 men to combat the crisis. The situation remains critical as these groups threaten regional stability.

Marie DuboisMon Mar 09 2026Loading...