Analysis & Reports

From August 15 to 16, Russian air defense forces intercepted 822 Ukrainian drones targeting the Moscow region. The attacks resulted in one death and fires at two warehouses. A total of 600 drones were reported to have flown towards Moscow, with 201 shot down within the region.

A-50U aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces transitioned to daily operational duty in response to increased Ukrainian missile threats, conducting reconnaissance over Ulyanovsk and Samara from June 23, 2023. Significant activity included a crucial role in countering a missile attack on July 4, with four aircraft simultaneously deployed on July 7. The operational fleet is limited to about 10 aircraft, highlighting the strategic importance and vulnerability of these assets.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 16 2026Loading...

On August 15, 2026, the Ukrainian Armed Forces launched a strike using the 'Flamingo' cruise missile against the Savasleyka airbase in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, reaching a distance of 700 kilometers from Ukraine. This operation also targeted the Samara rocket and space center, indicating a significant enhancement in Ukraine's missile capabilities. President Zelensky confirmed the strikes, which challenge previous assumptions about the safety of Russian military installations.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 15 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones targeted and struck over 20 logistics centers of Wildberries from July 7 to August 14, 2026, causing significant damage and casualties. The strikes incapacitated eight major hubs and resulted in the destruction of approximately 1.18 million square meters of warehouse space. At least 13 employees were killed, and the company's turnover fell by about 25% due to the loss of logistics capacity.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 15 2026Loading...

UFORCE promoted the combat effectiveness of its Magura naval drones following successful strikes by Ukraine's Group 13 against Russian air defenses in Crimea in early August. The operations reportedly destroyed key Russian equipment, including S-400 and Pantsir-S1 systems, causing significant financial losses. UFORCE aims to leverage these successes in its bid for U.S. military contracts.

Ukrainian long-range strikes hit an industrial site in Samara, Russia, overnight into August 15, causing significant explosions. The attack likely involved FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles targeting Building 106A at the Progress facility, which is vital for producing Soyuz launch vehicles. Recovery from the damage is expected to take months due to the facility's specialized cleanroom requirements.

On August 13, 2023, President Putin visited the Northern Territories, marking his first visit as president during a large-scale military exercise involving 60 ships and over 13,000 personnel. This visit is viewed as a declaration that the territorial dispute is not open for negotiation. In response, Japan's government lodged a formal protest and is contemplating additional sanctions against Russia, reflecting the escalating tensions between the two nations.

Tanaka TakashiSat Aug 15 2026Loading...

Ukraine conducted strikes on the Sheskharis terminal and a naval base in Novorossiysk on August 14, 2023, disrupting Russian oil exports and military logistics. The Sheskharis terminal, processing 700,000 barrels of oil daily, ceased operations, leading to fuel rationing in several Russian regions. President Zelensky emphasized the connection between sanctions and military operations, indicating a strategic approach to weaken Russia's military capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 14 2026Loading...

Ukraine proposed a ceasefire in the Black Sea to halt mutual attacks on civilian targets, as ongoing strikes have severely impacted grain exports from both Ukraine and Russia. Russian ports have ceased operations, leading to a significant drop in grain shipments, while Ukraine faces substantial losses in export revenue. Turkey has suggested a pause in hostilities, but Russia has yet to respond officially.

Ukrainian Special Operations Forces conducted strikes on Russian radar systems, including a Nebo-U radar, over Crimea on August 12-13, 2023. The operations targeted multiple military infrastructures, including a 5N84A Oborona-14 radar near Yevpatoria, significantly degrading Russia's air defense capabilities. This campaign aims to blind Russian forces and facilitate further strikes on military targets.

Alexandra ReevesFri Aug 14 2026Loading...

Russia rejected Ukraine's proposal for a ceasefire regarding attacks on civilian vessels in the Black Sea on August 13-14, 2023. This rejection indicates that Russia considers the grain corridor a military tool rather than a humanitarian initiative, leading to a 76% drop in Ukrainian grain exports. The Russian Foreign Ministry emphasized that there are no grounds for temporary measures, reflecting a strategic approach to the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 14 2026Loading...

Ukraine's Alfa special operations unit has conducted drone strikes over the past month, targeting Russian supply routes and destroying nearly 2,400 vehicles. The operations focus on oil infrastructure and logistics, aiming to cut off Russian forces from essential supplies. Notable strikes occurred in Dzhankoy, Crimea, and Toropets, utilizing various Ukrainian-made drones.

Ukrainian forces have developed the MICH 2000 drone, a deep-strike weapon, which has been successfully deployed in operations against various targets, including Moscow and military installations. The drone, capable of flying 2,000 km and carrying up to 60 kg of explosives, has been used extensively by the Alfa special operations center since its first combat sortie in October 2024. The company behind the MICH 2000 aims to scale production significantly in the coming years.

Russian President Vladimir Putin visited the Northern Territories, prompting a formal protest from Japan. Japan's Foreign Minister summoned the Russian Ambassador, stating the visit is unacceptable and offends Japanese sentiments. The visit follows military drills conducted by Russia in the region, highlighting ongoing tensions between the two nations over the disputed territory.

Ukrainian forces attacked a large oil refinery in Bashkortostan, Russia, on August 13, 2023, causing a significant fire. This refinery, owned by Salavatnefteorgsintez, is one of Russia's largest, with an annual capacity of 10 million tons. The Ukrainian military aims to systematically weaken Russian operational capabilities by targeting critical infrastructure.

Satellite imagery confirmed damage to the Russian frigates Admiral Essen and Admiral Makarov at Novorossiysk on August 12, 2023, following a Ukrainian strike. The damage primarily affects the Kalibr missile launchers, although the severity remains undetermined. Ukrainian forces reported hitting four Russian warships during the operation, indicating ongoing military engagement in the Black Sea region.

Ukrainian forces struck Novorossiysk on Wednesday night, targeting four Russian warships and damaging two grain export terminals. The attack resulted in three fatalities and 24 injuries, prompting an emergency declaration in the city. This operation undermines the Russian Black Sea Fleet's safety, as Novorossiysk was its last secure harbor, raising concerns about the fleet's operational viability.

Alexandra ReevesThu Aug 13 2026Loading...

The Russian Pacific Fleet conducted military exercises involving over 13,000 personnel and 60 ships in the Pacific Ocean, signaling readiness to engage Western commercial vessels. President Putin threatened mirror seizures of Western ships in response to sanctions, emphasizing that Russia would act in any waters deemed necessary. The exercises included inspections of 'unfriendly' vessels, and Putin's visit to the Kuril Islands reinforced Russia's territorial claims.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 13 2026Loading...

Ukrainian Armed Forces struck four ships of the Black Sea Fleet in Novorossiysk on August 12, causing significant damage to naval vessels and military infrastructure. The operation utilized Palianytsia drones and Neptune missiles, resulting in three fatalities and 24 injuries. This attack disrupted operations at major grain terminals, indicating a shift in the operational capacity of the Black Sea Fleet.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the Russian naval base at Novorossiysk on August 12, 2026, damaging four warships, including the frigates Admiral Makarov and Admiral Essen. The attack also impacted grain and oil terminals, halting operations at two major grain terminals. President Zelensky confirmed the use of drones, missiles, and uncrewed naval vessels in the operation, which was noted as highly successful against a heavily defended target.