Analysis & Reports

The Chinese support base in Djibouti is operating normally, according to a statement from the Ministry of Defense during a recent press conference. This assurance comes amid escalating conflict near the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait.

JNIM has imposed a blockade on Bamako since April 28, 2026, destroying over 300 fuel trucks and disrupting supply routes. The blockade has forced armed escorts for transport vehicles, significantly impacting fuel availability in the capital. JNIM's actions are accompanied by coercive public rules, while their coalition with the FLA adds to the threat against Bamako.

Marie DuboisThu Sep 24 2026Loading...

U.S. Navy destroyers are concentrated in the Middle East as U.S. forces conduct operations against Iran. As of September 14, 2023, 15 guided-missile destroyers are operating in the Red Sea and Arabian Sea. The USS Carney has conducted numerous engagements against Houthi-launched weapons, highlighting the operational demands on the fleet amid ongoing maintenance challenges.

The Royal Air Force (RAF) is refueling Saudi jets in the Red Sea to bolster their defensive operations against Houthi attacks as of September 21, 2026. This time-limited mission aims to enhance Saudi air defense capabilities amid a renewed Houthi campaign threatening military sites and energy infrastructure. The operation utilizes an Airbus A330 MRTT Voyager to extend the operational range of Saudi fighters.

Alexandra ReevesTue Sep 22 2026Loading...

Houthi forces captured strategic locations along the Red Sea coast and engaged in intense battles with Yemeni government forces in Taiz and Hajjah. Saudi Arabia conducted 300 airstrikes in support of the government forces, with 26 airstrikes reported in a 24-hour period. The conflict has displaced over 112,000 people, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis in Yemen. The U.S. approved a potential sale of F-35 fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, further intensifying military involvement in the region.

Paramount and Kalyani Strategic Systems Limited unveiled the Mbada, a new 4×4 light armored modular vehicle, at the Africa Aerospace and Defence exhibition in Pretoria on September 17, 2023. The vehicle is designed for various military roles and meets NATO ballistic protection standards. It targets militaries in Africa, India, and South Asia, and is built as a modular platform for adaptability.

Italy announced it will send warships to protect its commercial vessels through Bab el-Mandeb on September 18, 2026, while South Korea reiterated it will not send combat troops to the Strait of Hormuz. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and Houthi control of Bab el-Mandeb are testing the Gulf's ability to protect its exports. Saudi Arabia is resorting to ship-to-ship transfers to move oil due to threats from Houthi attacks.

Ahmed Al-RashidFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

JNIM and the Islamic State are expected to escalate violence in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, with over 3,000 incidents projected for 2026. Significant attacks have occurred, including a coordinated offensive on April 25 targeting multiple cities. The security situation has worsened, highlighted by the death of the Malian Defense Minister in a suicide attack, reflecting the growing influence of jihadist groups in the region.

Marie DuboisThu Sep 17 2026Loading...

Saudi air defenses intercepted a Houthi drone near Mecca on September 15, 2026, highlighting concerns over the depletion of Patriot missile stocks amid ongoing threats. Houthi forces claimed attacks on military and oil facilities, prompting Saudi Arabia to seek defensive assistance from multiple countries. The incident underscores the challenges faced by Saudi Arabia in maintaining air defense capabilities against Houthi aggression.

Ahmed Al-RashidThu Sep 17 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy is procuring seven LCU-1700 vessels to enhance logistics capabilities in the Indo-Pacific, with an initial construction obligation of $21.5 million. This move aims to address the logistical challenges of moving equipment from ships to shore, especially in the context of potential conflicts. The procurement involves multiple shipyards and is part of a broader strategy to improve maritime logistics in the region.

Marcus ChenWed Sep 16 2026Loading...

Russian-linked vessels unloaded military equipment at Tobruk port, Libya, indicating its growing role as a logistics hub for Russian military operations in North Africa. This follows multiple arms shipments since April and a transition of Russian personnel to formations under the Defense Ministry. Discussions are ongoing between Russia and Libyan National Army commander Khalifa Haftar regarding a defense arrangement.

On March 12, 2026, a fire erupted in the aft laundry space of the USS Gerald R. Ford while operating in the Red Sea, causing significant damage and interrupting combat operations. Over 200 sailors were treated for smoke inhalation, and the carrier is currently undergoing repairs at Norfolk Naval Shipyard. Investigations are ongoing regarding the fire suppression system's failure to contain the blaze effectively.

JNIM has seized control of gold mines in Burkina Faso, transforming them into operational bases as of 2026. The group capitalizes on the mining activities to tax local miners and transporters, creating a revenue stream and intelligence network. This situation has led to increased violence in the region, particularly as JNIM competes with ISSP for control over these valuable resources.

Marie DuboisMon Sep 14 2026Loading...

Saudi Arabia closed the East-West pipeline on September 10-11, 2026, following drone attacks launched from Iraq and Houthi advances in the Bab al-Mandab Strait. The Houthi movement captured key locations along the Red Sea coast, threatening Saudi oil exports and highlighting vulnerabilities in the kingdom's defense infrastructure. This situation raises concerns about regional security and the ability of Saudi forces to respond effectively to multi-front threats.

Ahmed Al-RashidSat Sep 12 2026Loading...

The Egyptian Air Force received its first CH-47F Chinook helicopter at the El Alamein Air Show on September 8. This delivery is part of a 12 aircraft order, with six more expected by the end of the year. The CH-47F offers enhanced capabilities over the older CH-47D variant, which Egypt has operated since 1981.

On September 3, 2026, foreign networks supplied 2,000 Colombian fighters to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan, while the Sudanese Army utilized foreign-supplied drones in operations. This support has led to increased military capabilities and significant civilian casualties, with recent attacks resulting in over 180 deaths. The conflict is becoming more sophisticated and transnational, with logistics corridors extending beyond Sudan's borders.

Marie DuboisFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

Multiple U.S. aircraft carriers are undergoing long-term repairs and will not be combat-ready for several years. The USS George Washington has been redeployed to the Middle East to replace the USS Abraham Lincoln, leaving the Western Pacific temporarily without U.S. carrier presence. The U.S. Navy currently has 11 aircraft carriers, with 4 deployed, while the USS Gerald R. Ford is also in repair after significant operational wear.

On September 2, a patrol from the 151 Task Force Battalion was attacked by an IED and gunfire along the Miyanti-Banki axis in Borno, resulting in the death of three assailants. Two ISWAP fighters surrendered in Monguno with assault rifles and personal items. Despite these events, the Nigerian Army struggles to maintain control over supply routes, indicating ongoing logistical challenges in the region.

Marie DuboisWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy is exploring foreign frigate designs from Japan, South Korea, and Turkey due to delays in domestic shipbuilding. The Constellation-class frigate program has encountered significant cost overruns and delivery delays, prompting the Navy to seek faster solutions. With China's shipbuilding capabilities expanding rapidly, the U.S. faces a pressing need for effective escort vessels in the Western Pacific.

Marcus ChenWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

The Chinese Air Force participated in the 'Civilization Eagle-2026' joint training exercise in Egypt on August 21, 2026, deploying multiple aircraft including 4 Y-20s and a Y-20 tanker. This operation covered over 6000 km and showcased the establishment of a logistical support chain, emphasizing sustained operational capabilities beyond initial reach. The exercise reflects a strategic shift towards integrated air operations and support.

Li MinghuiWed Sep 02 2026Loading...