Analysis & Reports

Finland is acquiring 65 F-35A Lightning II fighters to replace its F/A-18 Hornets, enhancing its air deterrence capabilities against Russia. This transition marks Finland's entry into the fifth-generation fighter realm and contributes to a broader European Joint Strike Fighter network projected to reach 700 jets by 2030. The move is part of NATO's strategy to bolster its defenses amid rising tensions with Russia.

Japan is overhauling its defense strategy by inducting 105 F-35A and F-35B stealth fighters by 2026 in response to China's military expansion, particularly the J-20 fleet. This shift marks a significant change in Japan's defense policy, moving away from its historical pacifism. The new aircraft will enhance Japan's military capabilities, but concerns remain about their effectiveness against China's larger fleet of advanced warplanes.

The US delegation arrived at the Munich Security Conference, signaling a potential shift towards New American Imperialism. This event is expected to set the stage for discussions on security and defense matters.

Germany is considering joining the Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP) and is exploring collaboration with Sweden for fighter jet development as an alternative to its failed joint project with France and Spain. The GCAP, involving Japan, the UK, and Italy, aims to deploy new fighter jets by 2035. Italy's Prime Minister has shown support for Germany's potential involvement in GCAP, while challenges persist in the Franco-German fighter jet project.

The Munich Security Conference 2026 will focus on major geopolitical shifts and emerging security risks, including AI and cyberattacks. The European Security & Defence (ESD) has published a special edition to contribute to the discussions, featuring insights from decision-makers and experts. The digital edition is available for free download.

Algeria received two Su-57 stealth fighters from Russia in November 2025, part of a larger deal for 12 Su-57s and 14 Su-34s worth approximately $2 billion. This marks Algeria as the first foreign customer for the Su-57, raising concerns about regional military balance and potential U.S. sanctions. The arms acquisition is viewed as a strategic move to enhance Algeria's military capabilities amid ongoing tensions with Morocco.

Alexandra ReevesTue Feb 10 2026Loading...

Lithuania plans to allocate 4.79 billion euros for defense in 2026, representing 5.38% of its GDP, while facing challenges in military autonomy due to reliance on U.S. support. The Baltic states, including Estonia and Latvia, are recognized for their high defense spending but struggle to build substantial military capabilities independently. This situation raises concerns about the sustainability of such expenditures and their impact on other public services.

Dr. Klaus WeberTue Feb 10 2026Loading...

Saudi Arabia's General Authority for Defense Development is evaluating the integration of AI in military systems, considering both AI-enhanced and AI-native platforms. This discussion took place at the World Defense Show in Riyadh in 2026, highlighting the importance of human oversight in AI decision-making. The initiative aligns with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 development strategy, emphasizing responsible AI use in military applications.

Taiwan's defense department is considering deploying the HIMARS system to Penghu and Dongyin to potentially strike PLA positions in Fujian and Zhejiang. Major General Jiang Bin criticized Taiwan's preemptive strike concept as unrealistic, warning that any aggression would lead to severe consequences for Taiwan. This statement was made on February 10.

On February 9, the U.S. approved the sale of 22 M109A7 self-propelled howitzers to Taiwan, valued at approximately $450 million. This sale highlights Taiwan's reliance on outdated artillery systems while the People's Liberation Army has advanced its long-range firepower capabilities. The report raises concerns about Taiwan's artillery supply in the event of a conflict, given the limitations in modern equipment procurement.

Li MinghuiTue Feb 10 2026Loading...

The Chinese Defense Ministry stated that Huangyan Island is an inherent part of China and has never been within Philippine territory. On February 10, a spokesperson criticized the Philippines for allegedly using its fishermen to provoke tensions and emphasized China's commitment to defending its sovereignty over the area.

Japan's government is pursuing constitutional amendments to formally recognize the Self-Defense Forces as a military entity, a move criticized by China as a step towards re-militarization. This development was highlighted by a statement from the Chinese Defense Ministry on February 10, emphasizing concerns over Japan's military policy changes.

On February 10, the Chinese Ministry of Defense reiterated its commitment to being a reliable partner for African nations in military cooperation. The ministry highlighted the long-standing relationship since the 1950s, emphasizing joint training, peacekeeping, and humanitarian efforts. China aims to strengthen its strategic partnerships with African countries to promote mutual development and security.

On February 10, the Chinese Ministry of Defense criticized the Philippines for its maritime actions near Huangyan Island, asserting that the island is Chinese territory. The ministry accused the Philippines of using fishermen as tools for provocation and urged them to cease political manipulation. China reaffirmed its commitment to exercising sovereignty over the area.

The Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) gained over 233 seats in the House of Representatives election on February 8, 2023, signaling a shift in Japan's defense policy. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's endorsement of increased defense spending to 2% of GDP and potential constitutional amendments regarding the Self-Defense Forces reflects a changing military posture. The election results have intensified discussions on defense spending and Japan's response to regional security threats, including North Korea's missile launches.

Tanaka TakashiTue Feb 10 2026Loading...

Congress is preparing to potentially halt the sale of Virginia-class submarines to Australia due to production shortfalls and Australia's uncertain commitment to support the U.S. in a Taiwan conflict. The U.S. Navy currently has 49 attack submarines, falling short of its goal of 66, and the production capacity has not met the required output for both U.S. needs and AUKUS commitments. Australia has already invested significantly in the AUKUS program, but the timeline for receiving submarines is uncertain.

Marcus ChenTue Feb 10 2026Loading...

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu announced a meeting with President Trump on February 11, 2023, to discuss Iran's ballistic missile threat. Israel considers unilateral military action if Iran crosses red lines regarding missile capabilities. Military experts suggest that coordination with the U.S. would enhance the effectiveness of any potential strikes against Iran.

On February 8, the Yili Border Management Detachment awarded honors to three distinguished police officers in Yili, Xinjiang. The event was marked by celebrations, with community members expressing their support and pride for the officers' achievements. The awards included first and second-class merit certificates, recognizing their contributions to border security.

The U.S. Navy cancelled the A-12 Avenger II program in 1991 due to significant cost overruns and technical failures, including an excessive weight that hindered carrier operations. Despite its cancellation, the A-12's design contributed to the development of future stealth aircraft. The decision was made to prevent further waste of taxpayer money on an unproven platform.

Iran and the U.S. are engaged in nuclear negotiations, with Iran asserting its red lines on uranium enrichment and missile capabilities. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is set to visit the U.S. to pressure for restrictions on Iran's missile program. Iran's nuclear chief stated that uranium enrichment could be diluted if all sanctions are lifted, while emphasizing that missile discussions are off the table. The situation remains tense, with both sides indicating a willingness to negotiate.