Analysis & Reports

The U.S. Navy is facing a submarine crisis, with its attack boat fleet projected to decline to 47 hulls by 2028. To address this, the Navy is shifting towards unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) for persistent ISR and seabed warfare, aiming to maintain operational effectiveness in the Western Pacific. This strategic pivot is necessary as older submarines retire faster than new ones are delivered, highlighting the need for a robust unmanned layer to support naval operations.

Defense One launched 'Fictional Intelligence' on February 6, 2026, a new column by Peter W. Singer and August Cole that explores future warfare and security through fictional narratives. The column aims to provide insights into national security challenges, with the first installment focusing on space operations and China's growing presence in Latin America. This initiative reflects a trend in using narrative to enhance strategic thinking in military and policy contexts.

Moscow expresses concern over U.S. military expansion in Greenland, fearing it may threaten Russian submarine operations. Russian officials view the situation as a validation of their power projection stance, while also indicating potential complications for their naval operations in the Atlantic. The crisis is seen as a strategic opportunity for Russia amidst perceived divisions within NATO.

Somalia and Saudi Arabia signed a memorandum of understanding on military cooperation in Riyadh on February 9, 2026. The agreement aims to enhance defense ties and improve the capabilities of the Somali National Armed Forces amid rising regional tensions. Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud criticized Israel's recognition of Somaliland, framing the pact as a political signal of support for Somalia's territorial integrity. This agreement follows Somalia's recent termination of defense agreements with the UAE and a new partnership with Qatar.

Germany is urged to provide military aid to Poland, including submarines and tanks, as Poland demands $1.3 trillion in WWII reparations. Poland plans to increase its defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2026, while Germany's military aid is viewed as a symbolic gesture rather than a substantive solution to historical grievances. The report critiques Germany's approach to defense cooperation, emphasizing the need for a more integrated European defense strategy.

Dr. Klaus WeberMon Feb 09 2026Loading...

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman received a promise from the U.S. for the sale of F-35 fighter jets in November 2025. This potential sale could break Israel's military advantage in the region, but the U.S. has not yet issued a formal notification to Congress. The cost for 48 aircraft could reach 15-20 billion dollars, and Saudi Arabia is also exploring alternatives like the Turkish KAAN fighter.

Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 09 2026Loading...

Egypt has developed a range of military capabilities, including over 1,000 Walid armored vehicles and various aircraft, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE are significantly expanding their defense industries. Saudi Arabian Military Industries (SAMI) aims to ensure 50% of military spending occurs domestically by 2030, and EDGE Group in the UAE is consolidating defense enterprises to enhance capabilities and pursue international markets. Both countries are leveraging their financial resources to modernize and expand their military production.

Hamas leader Khaled Mashal stated that the group will not disarm and rejects any external governance over Gaza during a speech in Doha, Qatar on February 8, 2023. He emphasized the right to resistance against occupation, countering Israeli demands for disarmament before reconstruction efforts can begin. Additionally, a senior official from the Palestinian Islamic Jihad affirmed the consensus among Palestinian factions to retain their weapons.

Kim Jong-un inspected the Ministry of National Defense in Pyongyang on February 8, 2023, to congratulate the Korean People's Army on its 78th anniversary. He emphasized military readiness and encouraged troops, particularly those in overseas special operations. Kim stated that the upcoming year would be transformative for the military, with an expansion of its capabilities.

Rising costs of the F-35 and other U.S. military aircraft are prompting Southeast Asian nations to seek alternatives, such as South Korea's FA-50. The F-35's lifetime cost is projected to reach $2 trillion, significantly impacting U.S. defense relationships. Countries like the Philippines are increasing their FA-50 fleets in response to budgetary concerns and regional tensions with China.

Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is visiting the United States this week to discuss Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities with President Trump. Israel's security assessments indicate that Iran is relocating some missiles to complicate potential strikes, and if unchallenged, Iran's missile inventory could reach around 2000. Concerns are raised about potential missile threats from Hezbollah and Houthi forces in response to U.S. actions against Iran.

Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov warned that if European countries prepare for war and attack Russia, the response will not be limited to special military actions but will involve a complete military response. He emphasized that Russia has no plans to attack Europe and criticized certain European leaders for escalating tensions.

Lockheed Martin projected nearly 300 F-35s will be deployed by U.S. allies in the Asia-Pacific by 2035, emphasizing the aircraft's role in enhancing regional air power and interoperability among allies. Japan, Australia, South Korea, and Singapore are key players in this buildup, with Japan acquiring 147 F-35s and Singapore receiving its first F-35B this year. This strategic shift is a response to China's military modernization and aims to strengthen collective defense capabilities in the region.

The World Defense Show 2026 commenced in Saudi Arabia, showcasing full-sized defense platforms and attracting military delegations from various countries. The exhibition features advanced military equipment, including F-35s and naval vessels, highlighting international military collaboration and defense procurement efforts.

On October 8, the Palestinian Ministry of Foreign Affairs condemned Israeli decisions regarding the West Bank, labeling them as war crimes. The ministry asserted that Israel has no sovereignty over Palestinian territories and called for international condemnation and investigations into these actions.

Hamas spokesperson Qassem stated that Israel is seeking to expand its genocidal war and eliminate Palestinian presence across various regions. The Israeli cabinet's recent decisions regarding the West Bank confirm a colonialist agenda aimed at annexing Palestinian land and expelling its indigenous population. Hamas calls for a unified Palestinian stance to resist these aggressive policies.

Emirati defense firms did not attend the World Defense Show 2026 in Saudi Arabia, despite 30 entities being listed as exhibitors. This absence is attributed to deteriorating relations between the UAE and Saudi Arabia, particularly over the Yemen conflict. Analysts suggest this could signal displeasure and may lead to a soft boycott of conventions between the two nations.

Ukrainian President Zelensky announced that the U.S. has proposed negotiations for a ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia before June 2023, coinciding with the U.S. midterm elections. Zelensky confirmed Ukraine's willingness to participate in talks in the U.S. amid concerns about potential U.S. pressure on Ukraine regarding territorial issues. The situation remains complex as both sides continue to negotiate amidst ongoing military actions.

The U.S. plans to deploy 4 submarines to Stirling Base in Australia to enhance military integration and deter China, starting from 2027. This deployment is part of the AUKUS agreement, with Australia investing $5.6 billion in infrastructure. Concerns about sovereignty and safety have been raised, and the U.S. may reconsider selling nuclear submarines to Australia due to political considerations.

General George Patton, influenced by a martial family legacy, overcame early struggles with dyslexia to become a prominent military leader. His upbringing included mentorship from Confederate officer John Singleton Mosby and significant literary exposure from his mother, which shaped his leadership philosophy. Patton's quote emphasizes the importance of empowering individuals rather than micromanaging them.