Analysis & Reports

The U.S. is expanding its military base in Bosaso, Somalia, following a meeting with U.S. General Claude K. Tudor Jr. This expansion aims to enhance counter-terrorism operations while the U.S. ends its support for the UN logistics office for AUSSOM. Puntland forces, supported by U.S. airstrikes and intelligence, have regained territory from ISIS. The operational costs of the UN support office are significant, raising concerns about the future of AUSSOM's logistics capabilities.

Marie DuboisMon Aug 03 2026Loading...

The Front de libération de l'Azawad (FLA) publicly displayed a video of 200 captured Malian soldiers on August 1, impacting the military narrative in Mali. This event follows accusations of the execution of soldiers after surrender during an ambush on July 18. The FLA's actions, alongside the JNIM, indicate a tactical convergence against the Malian state, complicating military operations in the Gao-Anefis-Kidal region.

Marie DuboisSun Aug 02 2026Loading...

China aims to expand its aircraft carrier fleet to nine by 2035, with three currently in commission and one under construction in Dalian. The People's Liberation Army Navy is increasing its naval operations in the Indo-Pacific, evidenced by five carrier deployments in 2025. The expansion necessitates the development of air wings and logistical support to enhance operational capabilities.

Military leaders from troop-contributing countries met in Kampala on July 29, 2023, to address the future of the African Union Support and Stabilization Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM) after the U.S. announced it would cease funding after December 31, 2026. The mission, which currently relies on U.S. logistical support, faces significant challenges from al-Shabaab and uncertainties regarding its operational capacity without American assistance.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 31 2026Loading...

China attempted to persuade Somaliland to abandon its ties with Taiwan by offering over $250 million in aid, which Somaliland rejected. Following this, China instigated an insurgency in Somaliland and pressured the Somali government to expand its Air Defense Identification Zone over Somaliland, complicating foreign access. The situation highlights China's strategic maneuvers in the region and the implications for U.S. interests.

Malian Foreign Minister Abdoulaye Diop stated on July 24, 2023, that Mali has not received official confirmation of U.S. military action against JNIM. The conflict has evolved, with JNIM and FLA conducting coordinated operations against Malian forces. The U.S. perceives an opportunity for intervention in Mali, particularly after its withdrawal from Niger, as the situation has become increasingly complex with jihadist and separatist groups involved.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 30 2026Loading...

China seeks to achieve 'mission kill' on US aircraft carriers in the Indo-Pacific by damaging critical systems to prevent flight operations. This strategy aims to reduce US air power during conflicts without necessarily sinking the carriers. The Chinese military may employ a combination of anti-ship ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and cyber warfare to overwhelm defenses and inflict cumulative damage.

A naval officer's use of the Strava app revealed the location of the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle in the eastern Mediterranean, highlighting the risks of ubiquitous technical surveillance (UTS) to military operations. The U.S. Navy emphasizes the need for improved digital discipline and protection measures for troops. Congressional actions are underway to address UTS vulnerabilities and enhance force protection through new legislation.

General Abdourahamane Tiani accused France of orchestrating attacks on Niamey's Diori Hamani International Airport on January 28-29 and June 18, 2026, framing it as part of an information war. The JNIM group is implicated in these attacks, which are seen as a strategic move against Western influence. Niger's military is increasingly aligning with Russia, marking a significant shift in its defense posture.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

U.S. President Trump stated he is willing to negotiate with Iran but will resume military strikes if no agreement is reached. He emphasized the U.S. military's readiness and sufficient ammunition stockpiles. Ongoing negotiations involve Iran and Oman, with participation from Qatar, Pakistan, and Egypt. Trump also mentioned a sense of urgency in reaching an agreement before military action is considered.

ISWAP lost three propagandists, including Abu Salim al-Barnawi, during an attack in Cross Kauwa on July 12. The Nigerian military identified the casualties and recovered video equipment, highlighting ISWAP's reliance on media for propaganda. Concurrently, a coordinated attack by ISWAP was repelled at Logomani, resulting in one Nigerian soldier's death. Unconfirmed reports suggest 104 soldiers may be missing following a prior engagement.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

Germany withdrew the mine countermeasure vessel Fulda and supply tanker Mosel from Djibouti to the Eastern Mediterranean in 2026 due to operational and environmental concerns. This decision reflects Europe's challenges in translating political commitments into effective military operations, particularly in the context of the Strait of Hormuz. The ships are not adequately equipped for the extreme conditions in the Gulf, raising questions about European maritime capabilities and readiness for future missions.

Dr. Klaus WeberSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

On July 18, 2023, an ambush by JNIM and the Front for the Liberation of Azawad killed at least 50 Malian soldiers near Anefis, Gao, in Northern Mali. The U.S. is contemplating military strikes against JNIM as the situation in Mali becomes increasingly complex with Russian support for Malian forces and ongoing threats from armed groups. This incident highlights the challenges faced by the Malian military in securing key routes.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

The Pentagon nominated Lt. Gen. Kevin D. Admiral to command U.S. Army Europe and Africa, succeeding Gen. Christopher Donahue, who stepped down unexpectedly. Admiral, currently the commander of III Corps at Fort Hood, Texas, would also lead NATO’s Allied Land Command if confirmed. Maj. Gen. Christopher Norrie is currently acting commander following Donahue's departure.

The Houthi militia declared an embargo on Saudi oil shipments through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, escalating tensions in the region. Iran's IRGC has reportedly sent military support to the Houthis, including commanders and missile systems. This blockade has already impacted global oil prices, prompting shipping companies to consider alternative routes. U.S. President Trump warned of potential military action against Iran and the Houthis in response to their recent aggression.

In July 2026, the Nigerian Armed Forces mobilized 28,000 recruits in response to ongoing security challenges, including the recent kidnapping of over 40 individuals in Zamfara. The attacks are linked to Kachalla Sa'idu's gang, highlighting the escalating violence in the region. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu announced the expansion of the military to address these threats.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 24 2026Loading...

The U.S. government is considering military action against the extremist group JNIM in Mali, as reported on October 23, 2023. This potential action could make Mali the eighth country targeted for military strikes during President Trump's term. Internal divisions exist within the U.S. regarding this decision, and the U.S. has increased intelligence sharing with Mali to bolster counter-terrorism efforts.

The U.S. administration is considering military airstrikes against Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) in Mali following an ambush that killed at least 50 Malian soldiers. This discussion emerged publicly on July 22, 2026, amid concerns over the effectiveness of Russian security partnerships in the region. The attack highlights operational coordination between JNIM and the Front de libération de l'Azawad (FLA), complicating the military landscape in northern Mali.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

The European Union has authorized its naval mission, Operation Atalanta, to intercept Russian shadow fleet tankers in the Indian Ocean. This decision allows EU forces to stop and board vessels suspected of operating under false flags, expanding their operational reach against illicit maritime activities. The announcement was made by EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, emphasizing the EU's commitment to enforcing sanctions against Russia's oil trade.

Two Russian nationals, Igor Ratchin and Lev Lakshtanov, were sentenced to 8 and 11 years in prison by the Angolan judiciary on July 23, 2026, for conspiracy, espionage, terrorism, and illegal currency possession. They were accused of conducting political influence operations aimed at destabilizing the Angolan government and manipulating public perception. This case underscores Russia's continued efforts to exert influence in Africa, particularly through disinformation and local recruitment.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 23 2026Loading...