Analysis & Reports

Ukrainian forces reportedly struck a Russian airbase in Rostov Oblast on September 17, 2026, damaging six aircraft. This attack is considered one of the most significant against Russian aviation infrastructure in the past year. While Russian officials confirmed the activation of air defense systems, they did not disclose the extent of the damage, indicating a successful strike by Ukrainian forces.

Dmitri VolkovThu Sep 17 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy is developing the Lada-class submarines to replace the older Kilo-class, with plans to commission a total of nine vessels. The lead ship, Sankt Peterburg, faced significant design flaws and was decommissioned in 2024. The second and third submarines, Kronshtadt and Velikiye Luke, were commissioned in 2024 and 2025, respectively, featuring advanced stealth and combat capabilities.

The Royal Navy's Queen Elizabeth-class aircraft carriers, which include the HMS Queen Elizabeth, can only operate F-35B stealth fighters due to design constraints. The carriers left Portsmouth on September 5, 2024, for three months of operations and training across Northern Europe and Britain. This limitation stems from a previous decision to abandon plans for F-35C compatibility, which would have required significant modifications to the carriers.

Russian drones are utilizing Belarusian LTE networks for command and control during attacks on Ukraine, as reported by Ukrainian officials on September 14, 2026. This development allows for more complex operations and enhances the effectiveness of the Shahed drones. The attacks have targeted the Rivne, Volyn, and Lviv regions, indicating a strategic use of Belarusian infrastructure to support Russian military actions.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 16 2026Loading...

The Admiral Nakhimov battlecruiser of the Russian Navy, equipped with 176 vertical launch cells and advanced weaponry, is undergoing a significant refurbishment after 25 years and $5 billion in investment. In contrast, the proposed Trump-Class battleship of the U.S. Navy, which would feature 128 Mk 41 cells and advanced systems, has not yet been funded or constructed. This comparison underscores the ongoing naval arms race between the U.S. and Russia, reminiscent of Cold War dynamics.

Russia increased its drone operations by launching 102 Shahed drones overnight on September 14, 2026, while Ukraine is developing faster interceptors to counter this threat. The introduction of jet variants of the Shahed drones alters the dynamics of the air war, as they can evade detection and engage Ukrainian defenses more effectively. Ukraine continues to target Russian military infrastructure, including radar systems.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 15 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy completed the modernization of the nuclear battlecruiser Admiral Nakhimov in 2025 after 26 years in dock. The refurbishment cost around $5 billion, enhancing its capabilities with new weapon systems, including up to 80 anti-ship missiles. The ship is now equipped with advanced radar and communication systems, allowing it to operate effectively in modern naval warfare. Following its trials, Admiral Nakhimov is set to rejoin the Northern Fleet.

A Russian Navy corvette at the Leningrad Naval Base was painted to resemble a waterfront building and fitted with anti-drone netting on August 22, 2026. This modification follows recent Ukrainian drone strikes targeting Russian naval vessels, aiming to confuse drone operators. The ship is part of the Baltic Fleet, which has seen similar adaptations to enhance its defenses against aerial threats.

The Russian satellite Kosmos-2558 fell back to Earth on September 12, 2025. Object C, which separated from Kosmos-2558, continues to perform maneuvers in orbit. This satellite was part of the Nivelir program, designed for close inspection of foreign spacecraft, and had been tracking a U.S. reconnaissance satellite prior to its descent.

Russia launched a massive barrage of 863 Geran-2 attack drones at western Ukraine early Sunday, with some drones reaching the Polish border. Ukrainian air defenses managed to shoot down or jam 409 of the drones. A drone strike hit a passenger train locomotive in the Volyn region, while separate strikes in Odesa resulted in injuries. The operation was conducted under heavy cloud cover, complicating Ukrainian air defense efforts.

Germany developed the Panzer VIII Maus tank between 1942 and 1944, completing only two prototypes that never saw combat. Hitler ordered five tanks before the design was finalized, aiming for mass production. The Maus featured heavy armor and powerful armament but was ultimately deemed impractical for warfare. Both prototypes were destroyed by German forces as Soviet troops advanced, with one later displayed in the Kubinka Tank Museum.

Ukrainian Defense Forces struck the Volgogradpromproekt chemical plant in Volgograd on September 10-11, 2026, using FP-5 Flamingo cruise missiles, causing significant damage. The attack targeted a facility known for producing components used in Russian missile systems. Fire Point confirmed the direct hit, which ignited a large fire at the site, while Russian officials provided a more limited account of the incident.

The Ukrainian Sargan-3000 destroyed a Russian drone in the Black Sea on September 12, 2026. This incident is noted as a potential first in naval drone combat, with Ukrainian military intelligence detecting the target before the Sargan-3000 executed the attack using a remote-controlled weapon system. The engagement highlights the evolving nature of naval warfare, emphasizing unmanned operations.

Dmitri VolkovSun Sep 13 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces are actively developing and deploying unmanned combat systems, including ground vehicles and boats, to enhance their military capabilities. The 3rd Army Corps is establishing workshops for experimental robots along the front lines. Unmanned boats have been reported to strike targets up to 700 kilometers away, significantly impacting the Black Sea operational environment. The Ukrainian defense industry is rapidly expanding, producing hundreds of drones daily.

The Ukrainian Navy's Sargan-3000 destroyed a Russian drone boat in the Black Sea, marking the first-ever battle between uncrewed naval vessels. The engagement involved a remote-controlled 12.7mm machine gun turret and was supported by Ukraine's Defense Intelligence. This incident highlights ongoing military operations in the region, with Ukraine successfully targeting Russian naval assets.

Uralvagonzavod delivered a new batch of T-90M and T-72B3M tanks to the Russian Army, featuring upgraded protection systems. This delivery coincided with Tank Crew Day, highlighting the ongoing efforts to enhance Russia's armored capabilities amid significant losses in Ukraine. The tanks include advanced protective features developed over two years, aimed at improving battlefield survivability.

Nuclear-armed states expanded their arsenals in 2025, with the global count of nuclear warheads reaching approximately 12,187. The United States and Russia continue to lead in warhead numbers, while China and India also increased their stockpiles. The expiration of the New START treaty in February 2026 has reduced transparency regarding nuclear deployments. Tensions in South Asia escalated with significant conflict between India and Pakistan.

The Tupolev Design Bureau has been developing the PAK-DA stealth bomber since 2007, but the program has faced significant delays with no prototype or official images released. The bomber is expected to carry a 35-ton payload and have a range of 12,000 km, but its future remains uncertain due to ongoing development challenges.

The Tupolev Design Bureau has been developing the PAK-DA stealth bomber since 2007, but the program has faced significant delays with no prototype completed. The bomber is expected to carry a 35-ton payload and have a range of 12,000 km, resembling the U.S. B-2 Spirit. As of 2023, the future of the program is uncertain, influenced by geopolitical factors and previous missed deadlines.

Kremlin-backed actors are utilizing AI to develop autonomous lethal drones capable of selecting targets and issuing commands without human intervention. The group GTG-27005 has created AI models for this purpose, while also engaging in data theft and disinformation campaigns. These operations are part of a broader strategy to enhance Russian influence through automated systems and fake media.