UN Report: Large-Scale Wars Rapidly Climb in Global Risk Rankings

Source: Global Times
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Report Content

On September 15, Xinhua News Agency reported from the United Nations (Reporter Shang Xuqian) that the "2026 Global Risk Report" released by the United Nations on the 15th shows that the ranking of large-scale war in global risks has rapidly risen.

The report states that compared to the first survey in 2024, the ranking of large-scale war among 28 global risks has risen by 16 places, the largest increase. 36% of respondents believe that a large-scale war will occur within a year, and 76% expect it to happen within seven years. Other significant increases in ranking include global financial crises, supply chain collapses, and cybersecurity issues. The largest decreases in ranking were seen in biodiversity degradation, widespread environmental pollution, and scarcity of natural resources.

The report points out that respondents' emphasis on environmental risks has decreased for 2026. Nevertheless, the risks of inaction on climate change, natural disasters, and shortages of natural resources are still considered significant challenges.

This report is based on a survey of approximately 1,300 individuals from governments, businesses, civil society, and the United Nations system around the world, inviting respondents to assess the likelihood, severity, urgency, and preparedness of multilateral institutions for 28 global risks across five areas: political, technological, economic, environmental, and social.

Classification
Region
East Asia & Pacific
Analytical Domain
Strategic
Primary Category / Secondary Categories
Strategic Assessment / Political-Military
SALUTE Report
Size
Not applicable
Activity
The report indicates a rising risk of large-scale war globally, as assessed by survey respondents.
Location
United Nations
Unit
United Nations
Time
September 15, 2023
Equipment
-
Summary

The United Nations report reveals a significant increase in the perceived risk of large-scale war, with 36% of surveyed individuals believing it could occur within a year. The report highlights a 16-place rise in the risk ranking since 2024, alongside growing concerns about financial crises and supply chain issues. In contrast, environmental risks have seen a decline in urgency among respondents.

Key Facts
  • The UN report indicates a significant rise in the risk ranking of large-scale war, moving up 16 places since the last survey in 2024.
  • 36% of respondents believe a large-scale war could occur within a year.
  • 76% expect such a war to happen within seven years.
  • Other rising risks include global financial crises and supply chain disruptions.
  • Environmental risks have seen a decrease in concern among respondents.