Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Russian "Geranium-4/5" reaches 3,000 per month, while drone debris is already falling in Moldova
On August 17, 2026, debris from a Russian Geran drone fell in Moldova, causing an explosion near the village of Talmadge. Russia is producing around 3000 Geran-4 and Geran-5 drones monthly, indicating a significant increase in drone warfare capabilities. The production facility in Tatarstan is strategically located far from Ukraine, allowing for sustained drone operations. This incident underscores the growing impact of the drone war beyond Ukraine's borders.
Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 18 2026Loading...
Strike 2026 on Anna in the Caspian Sea Reveals the Russian-Iranian Drone Route
Ukrainian forces struck the Iranian vessel Anna in the Caspian Sea on 27-28 July 2023, targeting a supply route for drones between Russia and Iran. This operation is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to disrupt Russian logistics and military supply chains. Iranian officials reported casualties among the crew, indicating the strike's impact on the ongoing military cooperation between Russia and Iran.
Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...
Chinese MLRS Type 63 on the Liman Direction Shows Shortage of Russian Light Artillery 2026
Ukrainian forces destroyed a Chinese Type-63 multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) operated by Russian troops in Lyman on May 21, 2026. This incident reflects a shortage of Russian light artillery and highlights the effectiveness of Ukrainian aerial reconnaissance. The engagement resulted in the reported destruction of multiple Russian artillery pieces and personnel.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 21 2026Loading...
Gerasimov paints 85 percent of Liman and reveals the crisis of accountability of the Russian army in Ukraine
Russian General Valery Gerasimov claimed 85% control of Lyman on May 16, 2026, but this is disputed by the Institute for the Study of War, which estimates actual control at only 0.06%. Russian forces are reportedly advancing towards Shevchenkove, yet the situation in Kupiansk remains unclear. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported significant drone interceptions and personnel losses, raising concerns about the accuracy of their operational reports.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 17 2026Loading...
The Ceasefire Paradox: Putin Declares the War Nearing Its End as Battlefield Intensity Holds Steady
Russian forces conducted extensive drone and artillery attacks against Ukrainian positions from May 9 to 11, 2026, resulting in 180 combat engagements and significant losses for both sides. President Putin claimed the war was nearing its end, despite ongoing military operations and a recent three-day ceasefire brokered by U.S. President Trump. Notably, drones from Russian territory crashed in Latvia, highlighting the conflict's regional implications.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 12 2026Loading...
The Ceasefire Paradox: How Moscow's Victory Day Truce Masked an Escalating Cross-Border Drone War
Russian forces launched 78 airstrikes and 9,317 kamikaze drones against Ukrainian positions on May 7, 2026. Ukrainian drones struck the Mosfilm Tower in Moscow, while two drones crashed in Latvia, damaging an oil facility. Total Russian military losses reached approximately 1,342,030 personnel. Three ceasefire proposals were made within a week, but combat operations continued unabated.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 11 2026Loading...
Russia's Spring 2026 Offensive: Force Buildup and Ukraine's Counteroffensive Disruptions
Russia is mobilizing over 400,000 additional troops for a Spring-Summer 2026 offensive, while Ukraine's counteroffensive has disrupted these plans. Ukrainian forces regained significant territory in February 2026, forcing Russia to shift to defensive operations. Concurrently, Russia's aerial campaign has intensified, utilizing advanced drone technology to target Ukrainian infrastructure. Belarus is also enhancing its military presence near the Ukrainian border.
Dmitri VolkovSat Apr 04 2026Loading...
The Diplomacy of Delay: How Russia's Negotiating Strategy Extends the Ukraine War While NATO Rearms
Russian forces conducted mechanized assaults near Lyman in March 2026, utilizing over 20 armored vehicles. Ukraine's air defense effectiveness has declined due to ammunition shortages, while NATO members collectively increased defense spending to over $1.4 trillion. Ongoing negotiations between Kyiv and Moscow have stalled, with no progress made on key issues. Poland has notably ramped up its military rearmament efforts in response to regional threats.
Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 29 2026Loading...Russia's Spring Offensive Stalls as Ukrainian Counterattacks Reshape the Battlefield
Russian forces' spring-summer offensive against Ukraine stalled in March 2026, with Ukrainian forces successfully counterattacking and liberating Berezove. Ukrainian long-range strikes have disrupted Russian oil exports significantly. Public criticism from Russian military commentators highlights systemic issues within the Russian military. Additionally, Russia plans to train over 70,000 drone operators to address operational challenges.
Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 28 2026Loading...
Russia's Spring Offensive Stalls as Systemic Failures and Ukrainian Resilience Reshape Eastern Front
Russian forces launched mechanized assaults in Borova and Lyman in March 2026 but faced significant challenges due to inadequate preparation and systemic failures. Ukrainian forces successfully advanced in multiple sectors and conducted deep strikes against Russian infrastructure in Leningrad Oblast. The operational situation reflects ongoing difficulties for Russia, including high casualties and logistical issues.
Dmitri VolkovThu Mar 26 2026Loading...
Russia's Spring Offensive Stumbles as Internal Criticism Mounts: Analysis of March 2026 Developments
The Russian military's spring offensive in March 2026 faced significant challenges, with internal criticism highlighting operational dysfunction and personnel losses. Ukrainian forces successfully counterattacked, regaining territory and executing deep strikes into Russian infrastructure. Russian combat losses reached approximately 1.29 million personnel, while drone strikes targeted critical Russian facilities. The ongoing conflict reflects a stalemate, with neither side achieving decisive victory.
Dmitri VolkovThu Mar 26 2026Loading...Russia Launches Spring Offensive: Shift to Mechanized Warfare Marks New Phase in Eastern Ukraine
Russian forces launched a comprehensive spring offensive across eastern Ukraine from March 17 to March 23, 2026, marking a shift to mechanized warfare. They conducted 619 offensive operations, focusing on the strategic town of Lyman in Donetsk Oblast. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces engaged in 134 combat encounters, reporting significant Russian losses. The offensive is supported by extensive airstrikes and drone attacks, indicating a high operational tempo.
Dmitri VolkovWed Mar 25 2026Loading...Russia's Spring 2026 Offensive: Strategic Redeployments Signal Shift in Eastern Ukraine Campaign
Russian forces launched a Spring 2026 offensive in eastern Ukraine on March 19, employing battalion-sized mechanized assaults in the Lyman direction. Despite initial attacks being repelled by Ukrainian forces, Russia is redeploying elite units to bolster its operations. Concurrently, Ukrainian counteroffensives have disrupted Russian plans, leading to significant territorial gains. The air campaign has intensified, with numerous drone strikes targeting Ukrainian infrastructure.
Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 24 2026Loading...Oil Windfall Reshapes Russia's War Economy: Sanctions Relief and Iran Crisis Extended Moscow's Timeline
The Russian Army plans to expand its Unmanned Systems Forces to 101,000 personnel by April 1, 2026, amid a significant increase in oil revenue due to temporary US sanctions relief. Russian forces conducted reinforced assaults near Shandryholove and targeted Ukrainian logistics and artillery. Ukrainian forces successfully disrupted Russian operations through targeted strikes. Additionally, Russia launched missile and drone attacks against Ukrainian infrastructure on March 12-13, 2026.
Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 22 2026Loading...
Ukraine Intensifies Deep Strikes as France Delivers Next-Generation Air Defense
Ukrainian forces intensified their medium and long-range strike campaign against Russian military infrastructure in March 2026, targeting locations such as Krasnodar Krai and Belgorod City. France committed to supplying Ukraine with SAMP/T NG air defense systems for battlefield testing. Ukrainian operations included strikes on oil facilities and air defense systems, while Russian forces launched a significant number of drones and missiles. The situation indicates a strategic effort by Ukraine to degrade Russian capabilities ahead of anticipated offensives.
Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 16 2026Loading...Russia's Spring Offensive Unravels as Ukrainian Gains Expose Strategic Vulnerabilities
Ukrainian forces liberated over 400 square kilometers in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast since late January 2026, disrupting Russian military operations. They advanced 10-12 kilometers in two drives, liberating settlements and revealing vulnerabilities in Russian defenses. Russian forces are facing significant casualties and logistical challenges, with reports of 1.315 million killed and wounded. The situation indicates a strategic setback for Russia as Ukrainian counterattacks continue to gain momentum.
Dmitri VolkovThu Mar 12 2026Loading...
Russia's Attrition Strategy Meets Ukrainian Tactical Innovation: Analyzing the Eastern Front, February 2026
Russian forces conducted massed infantry assaults across eastern Ukraine from February 21-23, 2026, focusing on multiple tactical areas including Kupyansk and Pokrovsk. Ukrainian forces executed counteroffensive operations, maintaining control of 97% of Kupyansk and utilizing advanced drone technology to strike deep into Russian territory. The operational tempo reflects ongoing attrition warfare, with significant casualties on both sides and challenges in Russian force generation.
Dmitri VolkovTue Feb 24 2026Loading...
B-52 Stratofortress vs Tu-95 Bear vs B-2 Spirit: Cold War Giants and Stealth Revolution
The B-52H Stratofortress, Tu-95MS Bear, and B-2 Spirit are actively utilized in military operations as of 2026, with the B-52H serving as a versatile platform for standoff strikes. The Tu-95MS has been employed in Russia's strategic air campaign against Ukraine, launching Kh-101 missiles from a distance. The B-2 Spirit remains the only aircraft capable of penetrating advanced air defenses, underscoring its critical role in nuclear deterrence.
Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...
