Analysis & Reports

Representatives from Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso unified their military efforts under the Sahel Alliance (AES) on September 22, 2026. Turkey is supplying Bayraktar drones to enhance AES's military capabilities, aiming to provide a visible military presence without the political costs of Western deployments. However, the effectiveness of these drones is contingent on integrated intelligence and ground operations to counter groups like JNIM and ISIS.

Marie DuboisWed Sep 23 2026Loading...

Sudan accuses Ethiopia of permitting Rapid Support Forces (RSF) drones to launch strikes from its territory, particularly in the Blue Nile State. On September 17, 2026, General Malik Agar highlighted increasing hostility from Addis-Ababa. The ongoing drone activity raises concerns about potential cross-border conflicts, with humanitarian organizations reporting civilian impacts.

Marie DuboisSun Sep 20 2026Loading...

Paramount Group presented the Mbada, a light armored vehicle, at the Africa Aerospace and Defence 2026 exhibition in Centurion, South Africa. The vehicle is intended for patrolling and escorting under the threat of IEDs, addressing the needs of forces operating in irregular warfare. However, details on its protection level and operational deployment remain unclear.

Marie DuboisFri Sep 18 2026Loading...

The U.S. delivered military equipment to Nigeria in September 2026 while simultaneously reducing its troop presence. This shift aims to enhance the capabilities of the Nigerian Armed Forces against jihadist threats, particularly in the Lake Chad Basin. The U.S. strategy emphasizes local partnerships and operational support rather than direct military engagement, reflecting a broader reconfiguration of its military presence in West Africa.

Marie DuboisFri Sep 11 2026Loading...

ISWAP is sending 100 fighters to support ISSP in Ménaka, Niger, in 2026, utilizing drones for military operations. This collaboration marks a significant tactical shift, with ISWAP leveraging its operational experience from Lake Chad. The deteriorating political situation between Niger and Nigeria complicates security efforts, allowing jihadist groups to exploit the region's vulnerabilities. The alliance between ISWAP and ISSP poses an increasing threat across the Sahel.

Marie DuboisWed Sep 09 2026Loading...

On August 26, 2026, six Chinese J-16 fighters participated in military exercises with Egyptian Rafale fighters in Egypt, showcasing China's long-range operational capabilities. The J-16s, having traveled over 6,000 km from China, were supported by YY-20A tankers and other aircraft. This exercise is part of China's strategy to enhance military cooperation and test logistics in Africa, marking a significant shift in the region's strategic balance.

Marie DuboisTue Sep 08 2026Loading...

On September 3, 2026, foreign networks supplied 2,000 Colombian fighters to the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan, while the Sudanese Army utilized foreign-supplied drones in operations. This support has led to increased military capabilities and significant civilian casualties, with recent attacks resulting in over 180 deaths. The conflict is becoming more sophisticated and transnational, with logistics corridors extending beyond Sudan's borders.

Marie DuboisFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

The U.S. proposed to expand the arms embargo on Sudan to include drones and their components during a Security Council meeting on August 25, 2026. This move aims to address the rising civilian casualties attributed to drone strikes, which have reportedly killed over 1,120 civilians in the first half of 2026. Russia and China have opposed this proposal, emphasizing the need to respect Sudan's sovereignty and avoid exacerbating the conflict.

Marie DuboisWed Aug 26 2026Loading...

Algeria transferred four military helicopters, including two Mi-24V and two Mi-171, to Niger on August 9, 2026, marking the first direct military aid to a Sahel junta. This transfer, which doubles Niger's air support capacity, was officially received by General Salifou Mainassara. The move is part of Algeria's strategy to enhance regional security and normalize relations with Niger.

Marie DuboisThu Aug 13 2026Loading...

The U.S. conducted 74 airstrikes against Al-Shabaab in Somalia in 2026, primarily around Baidoa, where federal troops are engaged in conflict with local forces. Al-Shabaab retains control over key areas and continues to exploit the political instability in the region. The shift in U.S. focus back to Al-Shabaab indicates a response to the group's persistent threat despite ongoing military operations.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 18 2026Loading...

On July 13, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) reported the destruction of two CH-95 combat drones used by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan. One drone was shot down in flight by a missile from a Bayraktar Akinci, while the other was destroyed on the ground. This incident highlights a significant evolution in drone warfare in the region, with implications for both tactical and operational strategies.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

Africa Corps deployed FPV kamikaze drones in northern Mali in 2026 to target rebel and jihadist positions. This adaptation follows the loss of Kidal and aims to disrupt enemy movements. The use of these drones highlights both a tactical shift and challenges in local intelligence and logistics for Russian forces.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 01 2026Loading...

ISIS-Sahel exhibited captured weapons in a video, claiming responsibility for three attacks against the Nigerien army on June 28, 2023, in Inates, Tillabéri region. The group aims to demonstrate its ongoing threat in border areas, despite the lack of confirmed details regarding the weapons' origins. The situation highlights the challenges faced by Niger in maintaining security and sovereignty in the region.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

Colombian military contractors are operating alongside the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher, Sudan, participating in frontline combat and drone operations. U.S. sanctions have targeted networks recruiting these contractors, indicating a significant shift in the operational capabilities of the RSF. The presence of these contractors enhances the RSF's military effectiveness, particularly in drone warfare and coordination of military actions.

Marie DuboisThu May 28 2026Loading...

Terra Industries is constructing a drone manufacturing facility in Accra, Ghana, with a goal of producing 50,000 drones annually by 2028. This initiative aims to enhance local security capabilities against armed groups in the Sahel region. The facility will focus on producing surveillance and tactical drones, addressing the operational needs of security forces in West Africa.

Marie DuboisFri May 22 2026Loading...

The Malian Army conducted airstrikes last week in Oubder and Tadjmart, utilizing RBK-500 cluster munitions. These strikes are part of anti-terror operations aimed at denying territory to armed groups. The use of such munitions raises concerns about long-term civilian safety due to unexploded ordnance. The involvement of Africa Corps, a paramilitary force linked to Russia, highlights the complex military dynamics in the region.

Marie DuboisFri May 22 2026Loading...

Togo will receive four Embraer A-29 Super Tucano aircraft in 2026 to enhance its coastal air defense against the Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM). The aircraft will be based in Niamtougou, strategically located near the Burkina Faso border, where JNIM operates. This procurement aims to address the ongoing threat of terrorism in the region, despite previous incidents resulting in civilian and military casualties.

Marie DuboisWed May 20 2026Loading...

The Unified Force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) increased its troop strength to 6,000 soldiers by February 2026 to combat jihadist threats. In the same month, the JNIM executed coordinated attacks across Burkina Faso. The AES deployed 1,500 elite soldiers and air defense units near the Niger-Nigeria border, raising regional tensions. Concurrently, the U.S. sent 200 soldiers to Nigeria for intelligence and training missions, highlighting the complex geopolitical dynamics in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisWed Apr 15 2026Loading...

African Lion 2026 will occur from April 20 to May 9, 2026, in Morocco, Tunisia, Ghana, and Senegal, testing 43 advanced military systems. Concurrently, AFRIDEX will take place in Lagos from October 26 to 29, 2026, aiming to enhance Africa's defense industrial capabilities. Both events reflect a significant shift towards integrating advanced technologies in military operations and fostering local defense production.

Marie DuboisSat Apr 04 2026Loading...

On January 29, 2026, the Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) launched a coordinated attack on Niamey airport, utilizing armed drones and light weapons. In Burkina Faso, Jamaat Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) executed over 500 attacks in 2025, with a deadly assault in Titao resulting in 80 military casualties. ECOWAS announced plans to deploy 2,000 soldiers by the end of 2026 to address the escalating jihadist threat across the region.

Marie DuboisMon Mar 30 2026Loading...