Analysis & Reports

Armed men on motorcycles attacked the villages of Tungan Makeri, Konkoso, and Alissa in Borgu, Nigeria, on February 15, resulting in 46 deaths and numerous kidnappings. The attacks, attributed to groups like Lakurawa and JNIM, highlight the growing insecurity in the region, prompting local leaders to call for military intervention. This incident reflects a concerning trend of jihadist expansion in the area.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 16 2026Loading...

Kalashnikov showcased the RUS-PE loitering munition at the World Defense Show in Riyadh. This system includes two types of munitions, UB-1 and UB-2, designed for infantry use with a flight endurance of 30 minutes and a cruise speed of 140 km/h. The RUS-PE features a gimballed sensor suite for target detection and can operate in various modes. Kalashnikov is currently looking for a launch customer for this new weapon system.

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy conducted a military exercise named 'Smart Control of the Strait of Hormuz' in the Strait of Hormuz on the 16th. The exercise aimed to assess combat readiness and review security plans against potential threats, emphasizing a rapid and decisive response to maritime security challenges.

On February 13, 2026, Gulf countries, including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Jordan, officially refused to allow their airspace to be used for military operations against Iran. Despite this, they host US military bases that would be targeted in any Iranian retaliation. This contradiction highlights the Gulf states' desire to avoid direct involvement in conflict while providing logistical support for US operations.

Ahmed Al-RashidMon Feb 16 2026Loading...

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced the deployment of a carrier strike group led by HMS Prince of Wales to the North Atlantic and Arctic regions in 2023. This action aims to deter Russia and protect critical underwater infrastructure, as the UK faces an increased threat from Russian naval activity. The deployment includes Royal Navy warships, F-35 aircraft, and helicopters, demonstrating the UK's commitment to European and Atlantic security.

U.S. military and intelligence officials are discussing support for Israeli airstrikes on Iran's missile facilities, as President Trump promised Prime Minister Netanyahu assistance if no agreement is reached with Iran. The discussions include air refueling and securing overflight permissions from other countries, although Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE have stated they will not permit their airspace to be used for such operations.

An Israeli drone strike targeted a vehicle in Majdal Anjar, Lebanon, on February 15, 2024, resulting in the deaths of four individuals. The strike was aimed at members of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad organization, and local residents reported hearing significant explosions following the attack.

Trump expressed support for Israeli airstrikes on Iranian missile facilities if US-Iran negotiations fail. This promise was made during a meeting with Netanyahu in Florida. US military officials are discussing how to assist Israel, including air refueling and airspace agreements, while Jordan and Saudi Arabia have publicly stated they will not allow their airspace to be used for such operations.

On January 2, 2026, the Saudi Air Force bombed the port of Mukalla in Yemen, targeting an Emirati weapons shipment. This airstrike resulted in the deaths of 20 separatist fighters supported by the UAE. This incident marks a significant escalation in the conflict between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, indicating a shift in regional alliances and military dynamics.

Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 15 2026Loading...

The U.S. is deploying the Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier to the Gulf within three weeks as part of preparations for extended military operations against Iran. This deployment will complement the existing Abraham Lincoln carrier in the region, enhancing U.S. military capabilities. U.S. officials indicate that the operations will target Iranian state and security facilities, anticipating a significant response from Iran.

Ahmed Al-RashidSun Feb 15 2026Loading...

Israel operates 46 F-35I Adir stealth fighters from Nevatim Airbase, utilizing them for high-end military missions, including strikes against Iranian targets. The aircraft is uniquely customized with Israeli systems, enhancing its operational capabilities and stealth performance. Israel plans to expand its fleet to 75 by 2030, solidifying its strategic advantage in the region.

Israeli Defense Forces conducted airstrikes on Hezbollah weapon storage facilities and rocket launch sites in Southern Lebanon on November 15, 2024. This action was taken in response to Hezbollah's alleged violations of a ceasefire agreement established earlier that month.

U.S. Central Command conducted 10 airstrikes against over 30 Islamic State positions in Homs, Syria, from February 3-12, 2024, as part of Operation Hawkeye Strike. This operation aims to maintain military pressure on ISIS remnants while U.S. forces completed troop withdrawals from the al-Tanf Garrison. Additionally, over 5,700 ISIS captives were transferred to Iraq during this period.

The Israeli Air Force (IAF) deployed its F-35I Adir fleet to conduct airstrikes against Iranian targets during a 12-day conflict. The operations involved beyond-visual-range strikes and drone swarms, highlighting a shift towards distributed and unmanned warfare. Despite the F-35I's use, critics argue that it was not the decisive weapon and emphasize the need for a focus on drone technology instead of costly manned aircraft.

Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) Chief of Staff conducted an inspection in Rafah on October 13, asserting that the IDF has destroyed all Hamas frontline combat camps and is ready to shift to offensive operations if needed. The IDF is currently monitoring border crossings into Gaza and aims to demilitarize the region, having recently established the 38th Brigade to enhance ground combat capabilities.

Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) will not abandon the goal of demilitarizing Gaza and disarming Hamas, as stated by IDF Chief of Staff in Rafah on February 13. The IDF is preparing for offensive operations and focusing on dismantling underground military infrastructure in the area. Hamas officials have declared that resistance will persist as long as Israel continues its attacks.

The U.S. Navy has deployed a large fleet in the Persian Gulf and a small fleet near Cuba and Venezuela as part of its strategy to address rising international tensions. Admiral Darryl Caudle highlighted the ongoing strategic importance of aircraft carriers and the Navy's commitment to countering illegal activities in the Caribbean. Additionally, the Navy is enhancing its capabilities through technological advancements and plans to strengthen its presence in the Arctic region.

The commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy stated that they continuously monitor enemy movements, highlighting Iran's deterrent capabilities. This statement reflects Iran's military posture amid ongoing tensions in the region.

U.S. President Trump is considering the deployment of a second aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East as tensions with Iran escalate. Iran's Foreign Minister stated the country is preparing for potential conflict while remaining committed to diplomatic solutions. Concurrently, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu met with Trump to discuss Iran's nuclear program and regional security concerns. U.S. military assets, including Patriot missiles, are being positioned in the region.

The U.S. Navy is preparing for potential military action against Iran, deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln and the USS George H.W. Bush to the region. Over 80 cargo flights have bolstered air defenses, and coalition forces, including the Royal Air Force, are positioned for possible airstrikes. Israeli PM Netanyahu is pushing for a complete dismantling of Iran's nuclear program, indicating a significant escalation in military readiness.