Analysis & Reports

The Tupolev Design Bureau has been developing the PAK-DA stealth bomber since 2007, but the program has faced significant delays with no prototype completed. The bomber is expected to carry a 35-ton payload and have a range of 12,000 km, resembling the U.S. B-2 Spirit. As of 2023, the future of the program is uncertain, influenced by geopolitical factors and previous missed deadlines.

The Tupolev Design Bureau has been developing the PAK-DA stealth bomber since 2007, but the program has faced significant delays with no prototype or official images released. The bomber is expected to carry a 35-ton payload and have a range of 12,000 km, but its future remains uncertain due to ongoing development challenges.

Kremlin-backed actors are utilizing AI to develop autonomous lethal drones capable of selecting targets and issuing commands without human intervention. The group GTG-27005 has created AI models for this purpose, while also engaging in data theft and disinformation campaigns. These operations are part of a broader strategy to enhance Russian influence through automated systems and fake media.

The Russian Army is recruiting foreign nationals from approximately 40 countries to address personnel shortages, as reported by Amnesty International. This recruitment process has been linked to human trafficking practices, with around 28,000 foreign nationals currently serving in the military. The methods used include misleading job offers and coercion, leading to significant challenges for the recruits on the battlefield.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 11 2026Loading...

Uzbekistan received its first C-390 Millennium military transport aircraft on September 10, 2026, marking its entry as the first operator of this model in Central Asia. The acquisition includes two aircraft, enhancing the capabilities of the Uzbek Air Force, which also operates other transport aircraft. This move is part of Uzbekistan's broader strategy to modernize its military fleet with Western and Chinese equipment.

Iranian engineers are collaborating with Russian military technology sectors, focusing on UAVs and navigation systems as of 2026. Nearly 10,000 Iranian specialists are being trained in Russia, enhancing Iran's military capabilities. This partnership allows Iran to access advanced technologies while providing Russia with expertise in circumventing sanctions. The collaboration emphasizes dual-use technologies and the evolution of military systems.

Dmitri VolkovThu Sep 10 2026Loading...

Dmitry Medvedev, Vice Chairman of the Russian Security Council, declared that Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons if its security is threatened. He emphasized that any aggression against Russia or Belarus, even from a non-nuclear state with nuclear power support, would be viewed as a joint attack. Medvedev criticized Western nations for their support of Ukraine, claiming it risks nuclear disaster.

U.S. diplomatic envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner held talks with Vladimir Putin in Moscow and Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv, aiming for a ceasefire in Ukraine. No breakthroughs were achieved, highlighting Washington's misreading of the conflict's stakes. The ongoing war is expected to continue, with Putin confident in his strategy against Ukraine's energy infrastructure. The U.S. faces challenges in establishing a sustainable security framework in Eastern Europe.

Russia allocated 44% of its federal budget to military needs in the first half of 2026, reflecting a significant increase in military spending. This allocation represents 10.5% of GDP and 57.3% of federal revenues, indicating a shift in economic priorities towards defense. The report highlights concerns over the sustainability of such spending amid declining energy revenues and the implications for the civilian economy.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 09 2026Loading...

Russia's military spending reached a record 44% of its federal budget in the first half of 2026, totaling 10.7 trillion rubles ($125 billion). This marks a 30% increase from the previous year, largely driven by classified spending. The military's share of the budget has risen significantly since the invasion of Ukraine, with classified expenditures making up a substantial portion of military needs. Oil and gas revenue has declined, further straining the budget.

The Russian army is depriving contract soldiers of bonuses for legal violations, tightening recruitment policies for 2026. This change aims to control soldier behavior outside combat and reflects a shift in military recruitment strategy. The new policy is intended to reduce budgetary risks and combat issues like desertion and misconduct. The Russian military continues to face challenges in maintaining troop quality amid ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 08 2026Loading...

U.S. and European defense analysts express concerns over potential Russian attacks on NATO, particularly targeting Poland and the Baltic states. The report highlights the possibility of cyber-attacks and missile strikes, as well as the implications of a nuclear conflict. Analysts suggest that Russia may miscalculate its military strength and that the international community should consider the dismantlement of Russia post-conflict.

The August 1st Air Demonstration Team of the Chinese Air Force has participated in numerous international airshows from 2013 to 2026, including events in Moscow, Malaysia, and the UAE. The team showcased advanced aircraft like the Y-20 and J-10C, demonstrating China's growing military capabilities and fostering international military relations. This participation reflects China's strategic intent to enhance its global military presence and share technological advancements.

Four Soviet-built aircraft carriers have had varied fates: one is a luxury hotel in Tianjin, another serves as a theme park in Shenzhen, one is operational in the Indian Navy as INS Vikramaditya, and the last is being scrapped. The Admiral Kuznetsov remains with Russia but is plagued by mechanical issues and is likely to be scrapped. The collapse of the USSR has left the Russian Navy struggling to maintain its naval capabilities.

HMS Queen Elizabeth (R08) of the British Royal Navy deployed from Portsmouth on September 5, 2023, carrying over 800 sailors. This marks its first extended sea period as NATO's afloat command platform for the Allied Reaction Force. The deployment aims to enhance NATO's crisis response capabilities and includes training alongside allied forces over the next three months.

Chinese President Xi Jinping attended the 2026 Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Kyrgyzstan, where he emphasized the importance of strengthening defense and security cooperation among member states. The SCO has organized various military exercises and professional exchanges to enhance collaboration. The organization aims to maintain regional stability and address security challenges, with China committed to deepening military ties with other SCO nations.

Ukrainian long-range drones are impacting Russian airspace and logistics in September 2026, creating uncertainty in the rear areas of Russia. President Zelensky has advised airlines to evaluate risks for flights over Russia, while the Russian military is reallocating air defense resources in response to these threats. This shift indicates that the traditional concept of strategic depth for Russia is becoming increasingly costly and uncertain.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

On September 1, 2023, the Russian Foreign Ministry condemned the planned deployment of the U.S. Aegis missile system in Japan, labeling it as 'absolutely unacceptable.' Russia expressed concerns over joint military exercises involving Japan, the U.S., and Australia scheduled for September 8-24, warning that such actions threaten its security. The ministry indicated that Russia would take countermeasures to protect its defense interests.

Uzbekistan received its first batch of six J-10CE fighter jets from China on August 30, 2026, marking a significant shift in its military procurement strategy. The total order includes 24 aircraft valued at approximately $1 billion. This move indicates Uzbekistan's transition from reliance on Russian military equipment to Chinese systems, reflecting a broader change in regional defense dynamics.

Li MinghuiMon Aug 31 2026Loading...

U.S. intelligence reports indicate that Russia perceives a significant weakening of U.S. military capabilities due to the depletion of air defense missiles from the Iran war. This perception may embolden Putin to take more aggressive actions in Europe. The 69th Air Defense Artillery Brigade conducted live fire training with Patriot missiles, highlighting ongoing U.S. military readiness efforts despite concerns over stock levels.