Analysis & Reports

The Komsomolsk-on-Amur plant in Russia completed 20 Su-35 jets for Iran, causing delays for the Russian Aerospace Forces as export orders take precedence. Deliveries to Russia's air force are expected to slow for the next two to three years, highlighting logistical challenges in military aircraft production amid multiple international commitments.

Ukrainian forces struck nine Russian fuel tankers in the Azov Sea and targeted oil refineries in Saratov and Nizhnekamsk from July 7-8, 2026. These actions disrupted fuel logistics, forcing Russia to rely more on vulnerable maritime transport. The strikes indicate a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to degrading Russian military supply lines, increasing operational costs for the Russian military in Crimea and the southern theater.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 09 2026Loading...

A fire broke out at the fuel storage area of Borisoglebsk military airfield on July 8 following a drone attack. The airfield, part of the Russian Aerospace Forces, is a known target for Ukrainian strikes due to its role in military aviation and pilot training. This incident highlights ongoing efforts to disrupt Russian military logistics and operations.

Ukrainian forces targeted Russian logistics in Crimea in July 2026, striking 8 tankers and 44 electrical substations. This campaign has disrupted supply lines and raised concerns about the operational capacity of Russian forces in the region. The strikes indicate a shift in the Ukrainian strategy to target critical infrastructure supporting Russian military operations.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 08 2026Loading...

A Ukrainian drone struck the Omsk oil refinery in Siberia on 6 July 2023, causing it to cease operations. This attack, one of Ukraine's longest-range strikes, has exacerbated the fuel crisis in Russia, leading to fuel shortages and long queues at petrol stations. Central Asian countries reliant on Russian fuel are also facing supply disruptions and increased prices.

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on July 7, 2026, targeting Russian military-industrial facilities in Bryansk and Belgorod, including a chemical plant and a fuel depot. These strikes aimed to disrupt supply chains and production capabilities, impacting the Russian military's operational effectiveness. Additionally, two railway bridges in Crimea were targeted, further complicating logistics for Russian forces. The operation reflects Ukraine's strategy to undermine Russian military infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026Loading...

Russian forces attempted to advance in the Donetsk region, gaining 30.42 square kilometers in June 2026 but suffering 39,490 casualties. The situation around Konstantinovka shows a 36.98% presence of Russian troops, yet they lack sustainable control. Ukrainian forces successfully targeted Russian logistics, complicating their operational capabilities. The ongoing conflict reflects a significant shift in the dynamics of the war, with increasing costs for territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 07 2026Loading...

Ukraine launched large-scale drone attacks on Russian energy facilities across Leningrad, Bryansk, Belgorod, and Yaroslavl Oblasts from July 4 to 6, 2023, using 625 drones. In response, Russia conducted airstrikes on July 6 against Ukrainian military-industrial and energy facilities in Kyiv and Kherson, resulting in casualties. The attacks included targeting oil refineries and logistics routes.

Gazprom signed a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense to establish mobile fire groups for protecting gas infrastructure in July 2026. Participants will receive 200,000 rubles per month during training. Ukrainian forces have reportedly increased successful strikes on Russian infrastructure, prompting a shift in defense strategy that now includes corporate entities. This indicates a significant adaptation in Russia's military logistics and defense approach.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 06 2026Loading...

Russia launched 653 drones and 51 missiles in a large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on July 5-6, 2023. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 585 drones and 30 missiles, but significant damage occurred, including to the Fastiv railway station and the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. In response, Ukraine targeted Russian positions in Crimea, demonstrating an ongoing exchange of strikes between the two nations.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 05 2026Loading...

A T-90M main battle tank equipped with the Arena-M active protection system was spotted on a transporter in Russia in January 2026. This sighting indicates the movement of advanced military equipment, as the Arena-M system represents a significant upgrade in Russia's tank defense capabilities. The tank's transport suggests ongoing logistics operations, potentially in response to previous tank losses in the conflict.

In July 2026, Russia began importing up to 400,000 tons of gasoline monthly from India and other countries due to domestic shortages, impacting military logistics. Reports indicate fuel shortages at gas stations in Moscow, and Ukrainian forces have conducted numerous strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, exacerbating logistical challenges for the Russian military. This situation reflects a significant shift in the operational capabilities of Russian forces as they struggle with fuel supply issues.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck the NIIIFI in Penza, the Ufa oil refinery, and a satellite communication center in Dubna on July 1, 2026. These attacks targeted critical infrastructure supporting Russian missile systems and military operations, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to the conflict. The strikes aim to disrupt the production and logistical capabilities of the Russian military.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 01 2026Loading...

Explosions rocked Kurganmashzavod, a defense manufacturing facility in Kurgan, Russia, on July 1, 2026, likely due to drone strikes. The facility, responsible for producing BMP-2 and BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles, may face production disruptions. This incident underscores the evolving capabilities of Ukrainian forces to strike targets deep within Russia, as confirmed by independent monitoring and geolocation analysis.

Russian investigators opened criminal cases against officials and contractors for embezzling approximately 500 million rubles ($6.4 million) intended for naval infrastructure at the Caspian Flotilla's base in Kaspiysk. The defendants allegedly fabricated documents to divert funds to shell companies, impacting military readiness and logistics. This case is part of a broader pattern of corruption in Russian defense procurement, with the same individuals linked to multiple fraud investigations across various regions.

Russian forces launched 108 drones in a strike on June 28-29, 2023, with 82 intercepted by Ukraine. Concurrently, Ukraine targeted Russian logistical infrastructure, including railway bridges and command posts, in occupied territories. The situation reflects ongoing military operations with no confirmed territorial advances by either side, highlighting the pressure dynamics in the conflict.

Alexandra ReevesTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck S-300 and S-400 air defense systems near Kerch and an energy substation in Maryanovka on June 29, 2026. This action reflects a strategic shift in the conflict, as Ukraine applies pressure on Russian logistics and air defense capabilities. The attacks reveal vulnerabilities in the Russian military's ability to protect critical infrastructure in Crimea.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo struck the Titan-Barrikady factory in Volgograd on June 27, causing significant damage to three workshops and a fire. This strike highlights Ukraine's evolving long-range strike capabilities and poses a logistical challenge to Russian defense production. The Russian military reported intercepting 175 drones but did not acknowledge the missile strike, indicating a potential vulnerability in their air defense system.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces launched an airstrike using FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles against the Titan-Barricades plant in Volgograd on the night of June 26-27, 2026. The attack resulted in at least three confirmed hits, one fatality, and eleven injuries. This facility is crucial for the production of Russian missile systems, marking a significant escalation in Ukraine's targeting strategy.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck a key military industrial site in Volgograd on June 27, 2026, using FP-5 Flamingo missiles, highlighting the limitations of Russian defense systems. This attack is part of a larger Ukrainian strategy to disrupt Russian military production capabilities, as Russia has reportedly deployed around 1400 strike drones and 1500 guided bombs in recent operations. The incident underscores the evolving nature of the conflict, with Ukraine increasingly targeting critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 27 2026Loading...