Analysis & Reports

Ukraine has retaken 270 square miles of territory, while Russia faces significant fuel shortages and logistical challenges. The U.S. is deepening its military support for Ukraine, including new defense agreements. Russia is expected to mobilize an additional 300,000–500,000 troops by October 2023, as it struggles to maintain its hold on occupied territories, particularly Crimea.

In July 2026, the Russian Armed Forces deployed 24 Pantsir air defense systems around Moscow in response to increased drone threats from Ukraine. This deployment includes additional Pantsir-SMD systems and S-400 systems, indicating a strategic shift in protecting critical infrastructure. Ukrainian drone strikes targeted various locations, including Rostov and Sarapul, prompting this military adaptation.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike on the Iranian cargo ship Anna in the Caspian Sea on July 25, 2023, resulting in one sailor's death and damage to several vessels. This incident exposed vulnerabilities in the military logistics between Russia and Iran, as Ukraine asserts the ship was linked to military cargo transport. The strike signifies an expansion of Ukraine's operational reach, challenging Russian supply lines.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

On July 28, 2023, Russian forces conducted airstrikes on Ukrainian military facilities, including ammunition depots and drone production sites, while Ukrainian forces targeted a strategic fuel reserve in the Udmurt Republic. The strikes also affected energy and transportation infrastructure used by Ukrainian forces. Both sides reported multiple military engagements across various locations.

Ukrainian forces struck the Iranian vessel Anna in the Caspian Sea on 27-28 July 2023, targeting a supply route for drones between Russia and Iran. This operation is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to disrupt Russian logistics and military supply chains. Iranian officials reported casualties among the crew, indicating the strike's impact on the ongoing military cooperation between Russia and Iran.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

Twenty-four new Pantsir air defense systems were deployed around Moscow in July 2026, indicating a shift in Russian military strategy towards domestic defense. This deployment coincided with an increase in military personnel to 2,426,130, as President Putin recognized the need for enhanced internal security. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian infrastructure, highlighting the evolving nature of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

The U.S. Navy operates 11 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers, while France has the Charles de Gaulle and Russia is restoring the Admiral Nakhimov. The report highlights the strategic decisions behind the limited use of nuclear propulsion in surface warships, emphasizing the logistical challenges and costs associated with nuclear-powered vessels compared to conventional ones. The U.S. Navy's historical experience with nuclear cruisers illustrates the complexities of integrating nuclear power into surface fleets.

President Putin signed a decree on July 27, 2026, increasing the authorized size of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,426,130 personnel, including 1,535,000 uniformed troops. This decree, which amends a previous one from June 12, 2026, is linked to the establishment of new military construction units. This marks the third increase in force size within 2026, indicating a significant push to modernize military infrastructure and capabilities in Russia.

Ukrainian drones conducted deep-strike attacks on Russian targets, including an export terminal in Rostov Oblast and oil facilities in Udmurtia and Yaroslavl Oblast, on July 27, 2023. This campaign has forced Russia to defend its territory, including St. Petersburg, where the Navy Day parade was canceled for the second consecutive year. Ukraine's drone capabilities now allow strikes at distances exceeding 3,000 kilometers, impacting Russian logistics and naval operations.

Alexandra ReevesMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy canceled the Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg in July 2026 due to security concerns stemming from Ukrainian long-range strikes. President Zelensky announced Ukraine's capability to target locations over 3000 kilometers away, prompting a reassessment of Russian military logistics and air defense. This cancellation reflects a significant shift in the operational environment, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian defenses and the impact of Ukrainian drone operations on Russian military activities.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

Rostec delivered a new batch of upgraded BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles to the Russian Army in Russia. Production of these vehicles has tripled since the start of the invasion of Ukraine, reflecting increased wartime demand. The latest BMP-3s include enhanced protective measures and upgraded electronic warfare systems, addressing lessons learned from combat.

On the 26th, Russian forces gained control of the Shevchenko settlement in Donetsk Oblast and conducted airstrikes on Ukrainian military infrastructure. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces launched attacks on Russian oil and gas facilities in Crimea, targeting resources essential for Russian military operations. Russian air defenses intercepted several Ukrainian drones and guided bombs during these engagements.

Ukrainian forces attacked Iranian-linked military cargo vessels and a Russian warship in the Caspian Sea on July 26, resulting in one sailor's death and another injury. This incident marks a significant escalation, as Ukraine expands its military operations beyond traditional battlefields to disrupt Russian logistics. Iran condemned the attack, highlighting the growing complexity of the conflict involving multiple regional actors.

Alexandra ReevesSun Jul 26 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drone units have struck over 180 maritime targets around Crimea in the past three weeks, focusing on disrupting Russian supply routes. The campaign, which began in the Sea of Azov and expanded into the Black Sea, aims to create logistical challenges for Russia. Ukrainian forces are employing FP-1 and FP-2 drones to conduct these operations, indicating a shift in tactics to weaken Russian control over the region.

Alexandra ReevesSun Jul 26 2026Loading...

Uzbekistan's president recently toured the Nurafshon Makhsus Tekhnika facility in Nurafshan, showcasing new armored personnel carriers and a self-propelled howitzer. The factory, built with a $50 million investment, has produced significant military equipment, including modernized T-64 tanks. The company aims to expand its production capabilities and localize manufacturing efforts, marking a significant step in Uzbekistan's defense industry development.

In July 2026, Russian forces launched over 25 ballistic missiles and 125 drones against Ukraine, exceeding their monthly production capacity. Despite the extensive use of these weapons, the operations have not achieved a decisive breakthrough on the front lines. Ukrainian forces reported successful interceptions of many of these attacks, while also conducting strikes on Russian logistics and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted drone strikes on logistics warehouses belonging to the Russian online retailer Wildberries in Krasnodar Krai and Stavropol Krai, resulting in dozens of casualties. These attacks, confirmed by Ukrainian President Zelensky, aim to disrupt Russian military supply chains. Over the past week, four warehouses have been targeted, causing significant damage and operational losses for the company.

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on July 23, 2026, targeting a refinery in Ulyanovsk, a pumping station in Bashkortostan, and logistics centers in Voronezh. These operations involved 223 drones and aimed to disrupt Russian military logistics. The attacks have prompted evacuations and raised concerns about the vulnerability of Russian supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

Russian forces captured two settlements in Kharkiv and Zaporizhzhia regions on the 22nd. They also intercepted 80 Ukrainian drones. In response, Ukrainian forces launched long-range strikes on logistics centers supplying drone components and navigation equipment in Krasnodar and Stavropol regions, as well as targeting Russian tankers in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov.

Ukrainian drone strikes targeted logistics hubs owned by Wildberries in Krasnodar and Stavropol, injuring ten people. This follows earlier attacks on Tambov and Elektrostal, resulting in eight deaths and 62 injuries. President Zelensky described the strikes as 'long-range sanctions' aimed at disrupting supplies to the Russian military. Additionally, Maj. Gen. Mykhailo Drapatyi was appointed as the new commander in chief of Ukraine's armed forces.