Analysis & Reports

The CSIS report highlights the vulnerabilities of the Chinese Navy's anti-submarine capabilities, identifying U.S. nuclear submarines as a major threat in the Western Pacific. It emphasizes that the narrow waterways of the first island chain increase the risks for Chinese naval operations. The report suggests that the U.S. should focus on making Chinese aircraft carriers a costly burden rather than just defending against missile threats. It also notes that China's underwater warfare capabilities are still developing and require time to improve.

Li MinghuiMon Aug 17 2026Loading...

A researcher from China's National Development and Reform Commission called for the requisition of civilian vessels to support military operations, citing the UK's Falklands War as a model. The report highlights China's merchant fleet as the largest globally, totaling 320.3 million gross tons. It emphasizes the need for a comprehensive survey of civilian ships and raises concerns about the challenges of mobilizing these vessels in high-threat environments.

Li MinghuiMon Aug 17 2026Loading...

The Chinese Air Force and Egyptian Air Force will conduct joint training exercises named 'Civilization Eagle-2026' in Egypt from mid-August to early September 2026. The exercises will focus on air combat tactics and troop deployment, marking the second iteration of this collaboration. The Chinese will deploy J-10C fighters and other aircraft, highlighting Egypt's efforts to diversify its military partnerships beyond U.S. support.

Li MinghuiSat Aug 15 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army Navy and the Indonesian Navy conducted a joint naval exercise east of Taiwan on August 12, involving the 054A-class frigate Honghe and the Martadinata-class frigate Lay. The exercise included communication drills and naval maneuvers, marking China's first joint operation with a foreign navy in this area. Following the exercise, the U.S. urged China to stop military pressure on Taiwan and engage in meaningful dialogue.

Li MinghuiFri Aug 14 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is focusing on modernization goals set for 2027, 2035, and 2049, emphasizing system integration over individual equipment. Key advancements include dual aircraft carrier operations and improvements in naval capabilities. The PLA aims to address historical weaknesses through the integration of unmanned systems and enhanced operational capabilities, with a long-term goal of becoming a world-class military by 2049.

Li MinghuiMon Aug 03 2026Loading...

On July 29, 2026, the U.S. and Taiwan Coast Guards showcased their cooperation in maritime law enforcement through shared operational photos. This development follows China's increased Coast Guard patrols in waters east of Taiwan, indicating a shift in regional maritime dynamics. The U.S. aims to enhance Taiwan's international visibility in maritime operations, while Taiwan's air defense pressure has decreased, with a corresponding rise in maritime patrol activities.

Li MinghuiWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

The U.S. Congress approved $500 million in military aid to Taiwan on July 27, 2023, amid ongoing discussions about military support. This aid is part of a broader context where Taiwan faces delays in receiving previously approved military equipment. The Chinese military is recalibrating its assessments based on Taiwan's incremental military improvements, which include various U.S. weapon systems.

Li MinghuiTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

On July 24, China imposed export controls on 14 EU entities, including Wrocław University, in response to EU sanctions. This action targets the European military supply chain, affecting dual-use technologies and materials. The inclusion of a university indicates China's strategy to disrupt connections within the European defense sector.

Li MinghuiMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

A new type of attack submarine has been identified under construction at Jiangnan Shipyard in Shanghai as of July 24, 2026. The submarine measures approximately 120 meters in length and features a smaller sail, which may enhance its stealth capabilities. This development suggests an expansion of the People's Liberation Army Navy's underwater platform capabilities, addressing previous deficiencies in underwater operations.

Li MinghuiMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

China's aerospace industry is facing systemic bottlenecks that could hinder its ability to meet defense modernization goals from 2026 to 2030. The disconnect between national policy and corporate execution poses challenges for the Chinese People's Liberation Army in achieving sustainable operational capabilities for advanced military platforms. The report emphasizes the need for improved training and supply chain consistency to support military readiness.

Li MinghuiSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun visited Thailand on July 24, 2026, to discuss enhancing military cooperation with the Royal Thai Armed Forces. The talks emphasized joint training exercises and equipment procurement, reflecting a strategic partnership. China expressed support for Thailand in maintaining peace and resolving disputes with Cambodia, while Thailand seeks to balance its military relationships with both the U.S. and China.

Li MinghuiFri Jul 24 2026Loading...

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) emphasizes the strategic implications of Japan's planned 1 trillion yen investment in unmanned systems, which aims to enhance its reconnaissance capabilities in the East China Sea. This development is viewed as a response to Japan's efforts to establish asymmetric advantages in regional defense. The PLA is particularly concerned about the potential for increased surveillance and the impact on military operations in the area.

Li MinghuiTue Jul 21 2026Loading...

Yunnan is recognized as a vital resource hub for China's defense mobilization, particularly for gallium and rare earth elements essential for advanced weaponry. The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is shifting its supply chain focus towards land routes to Southeast Asia, enhancing logistical capabilities. This strategic move aims to mitigate vulnerabilities associated with maritime transport, particularly in high-intensity conflicts. The report emphasizes the importance of resource security in maintaining military readiness and industrial continuity.

Li MinghuiMon Jul 20 2026Loading...

The Chinese Navy is expanding its recruitment and training for carrier-based pilots and support personnel as of July 13. This initiative is part of a strategic shift to enhance the operational capabilities of its aircraft carriers, particularly the Fujian, which will utilize advanced technologies. The focus is on creating a stable pipeline of trained personnel to support long-term naval operations.

Li MinghuiWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

The Long March 10B rocket successfully completed its first flight and controlled recovery on July 10 at the Wenchang launch site in Hainan. This marks China's first achievement in controlled rocket stage recovery, enhancing its capabilities for deploying satellites to low Earth orbit. The rocket can carry 16 tons, which is significant for military applications in satellite communications and reconnaissance.

Li MinghuiSat Jul 11 2026Loading...

Serbia confirmed the procurement of the Chinese Hongqi-9 long-range air defense system on July 2, 2026. This acquisition is part of a broader strategy to enhance its air defense capabilities, integrating it with existing systems like the FK-3 and Hongqi-17AE. The development may increase operational costs for NATO in the Balkans, as it necessitates consideration of Chinese radar and missile systems in crisis scenarios.

Li MinghuiSat Jul 04 2026Loading...

The third Yue Lu Arms Control Forum is set to take place from July 7-8 at the National Defense Science and Technology University, involving approximately 140 representatives discussing military control cooperation and global governance. This forum marks a significant shift in China's approach to military modernization, emphasizing the importance of technology governance and verification mechanisms in military control discussions.

Li MinghuiFri Jul 03 2026Loading...

The Nanning Ship (DDG-162) and Hengyang Ship (FFG-568) of the People's Liberation Army Navy visited Hong Kong from July 2-6, 2023, for public engagement and cultural exchange. This visit marks the 29th anniversary of Hong Kong's return and showcases the operational capabilities of the PLA Navy. The ships are representative of the navy's routine operational units, emphasizing their role in regional presence and public diplomacy.

Li MinghuiTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

Six senior officers of the People's Liberation Army were removed from their representative positions on June 27, 2023, as part of an ongoing anti-corruption campaign. This restructuring indicates a significant shift in military command and may impact equipment procurement and project management within the PLA. The announcement was made by the National People's Congress, but no reasons were provided for the removals.

Li MinghuiSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

The Fujian aircraft carrier transited the Taiwan Strait on June 23, 2026, as part of its training operations. This movement highlights the ongoing development of the People's Liberation Army Navy's capabilities, although the carrier currently lacks a complete set of operational aircraft. The transition is viewed as a routine training exercise, but it underscores the strategic implications for regional security and the need for further development of carrier-based aviation.

Li MinghuiSat Jun 27 2026Loading...