Analysis & Reports

JNIM launched a series of coordinated large-scale assaults in Burkina Faso in February 2026, resulting in over 130 casualties. The attacks focused on strategic areas, including Titao and Fada N'Gourma, highlighting the weaknesses in the Burkinabè military's counter-insurgency strategy. This offensive indicates a tactical adjustment by JNIM, which is also expanding its influence into neighboring countries.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 28 2026Loading...

The U.S. Africa Command deployed 100 military advisors to Nigeria in February 2026 to train local forces in counter-terrorism operations amid a significant increase in jihadist violence in the Nigeria-Benin-Niger border area. The report notes a 262% rise in militant-related deaths from 2024 to 2025, with groups like JNIM and ISSP expanding their influence. U.S. precision strikes against ISSP in Sokoto were conducted in December 2025, reflecting a strategic repositioning in response to growing threats.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 27 2026Loading...

Delegations from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger approved the AES roadmap for 2026 during a strategic meeting in Ouagadougou on February 25-26, 2026. The discussions focused on enhancing cooperation in defense, diplomacy, and economic development to address ongoing security challenges in the Sahel region. This meeting reflects the commitment of the three nations to strengthen their alliance amid regional instability and the withdrawal from ECOWAS.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 27 2026Loading...

The Sahel States Alliance (AES) is consolidating its military strategy through a ministerial meeting in Ouagadougou from February 24-26, 2026, finalizing a roadmap for defense, diplomacy, and economic development. The alliance is deploying a joint military force of 5,000 troops to combat terrorism, while also responding to increasing Russian influence in the region. Recent military operations have intensified against terrorist groups in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso, reflecting a significant shift in regional security dynamics.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

On February 14, 2026, JNIM ambushed Ghanaian tomato traders in Titao, Burkina Faso, killing eight. The group claimed additional Burkinabé soldier casualties. This incident underscores the expanding threat of jihadist violence in West Africa, as JNIM continues to extend its operations beyond the Sahel into coastal nations.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

France maintains a military presence in the Middle East, with 1,500 personnel in Djibouti and 1,000 in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, amid rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran. The French Armed Forces are navigating their strategic autonomy while recognizing their dependence on U.S. military support. This situation highlights the complexities of France's role in regional security and its diplomatic efforts to mitigate potential conflicts.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

JNIM attacked Burkinabè military forces in Tandjari, killing at least 50 soldiers. In retaliation, Burkinabè forces eliminated 29 presumed fighters. The situation in Burkina Faso is dire, with the country being the most affected by terrorism globally, and the regime's repression of dissent exacerbating the crisis.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

Saa'd defected from Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimeen to the Islamic State, triggering violent clashes in Burkina Faso. Malian forces neutralized 35 jihadists on February 9, while Nigerien forces arrested 28 suspects involved in arms trafficking. On February 13, 24 Nigerien soldiers were killed in an attack, and JNIM claimed responsibility for the deaths of 50 Burkinabè soldiers. The report highlights escalating violence and military operations in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisTue Feb 24 2026Loading...

Burkina Faso faces an acute security crisis, with the Malian Army neutralizing 35 jihadists on February 9, 2026, and JNIM claiming the deaths of at least 50 Burkinabé soldiers on February 6. The jihadist landscape is fragmenting, highlighted by the defection of JNIM commander Saa'd to the Islamic State on February 11. The situation is exacerbated by increasing violence and government repression under President Ibrahim Traoré, leading to a humanitarian catastrophe.

Marie DuboisTue Feb 24 2026Loading...

The Nigerian government allegedly paid millions to Boko Haram for the release of 230 hostages taken from St. Mary’s School in Papiri on November 21, 2022. Negotiations were led by National Security Adviser Nuhu Ribadu, despite official denials of ransom payments. The payment, reportedly delivered by helicopter, raises concerns about Nigeria's counter-terrorism strategy and its implications for regional security.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 23 2026Loading...

The Sahel region has become the epicenter of global terrorism, with over half of the world's terrorism-related deaths occurring there. Between January and November 2025, 450 attacks resulted in more than 1,900 fatalities, primarily attributed to groups like JNIM and ISWAP. These groups have expanded their operations into coastal states, threatening regional stability and exacerbating a humanitarian crisis that requires urgent funding and coordinated action.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 23 2026Loading...

In February 2026, 100 U.S. troops were deployed to Bauchi, Nigeria, to provide training and advisory support to Nigerian forces in combating terrorism. This mission, confirmed by General Samaila Uba, aims to address threats from groups like Boko Haram and ISWAP. The deployment reflects a strategic partnership between the U.S. and Nigeria, focusing on enhancing the capabilities of Nigerian armed forces.

Marie DuboisSun Feb 22 2026Loading...

The Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) launched a coordinated attack on Diori Hamani International Airport and Air Base 101 in Niamey, Niger, in early February 2026, resulting in approximately 20 attackers killed and 11 captured. The operation showcased advanced capabilities, including the use of drones and explosives, and indicated transnational coordination with ISWAP militants. Following this, the ISSP claimed responsibility for further attacks in Niger and Mali, highlighting a sustained operational tempo.

Marie DuboisSun Feb 22 2026Loading...

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) is expanding its operational pressure beyond its traditional strongholds in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger as of January 2026. The group is demonstrating resilience and a deliberate strategy of gradual expansion, while facing challenges in establishing a durable presence in coastal countries like Benin and Togo. The CEDEAO plans to deploy 1,650 personnel in 2026 to counter the jihadist threat, amidst significant political shifts in the region.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 21 2026Loading...

In February 2026, the Islamic State targeted Niger's main airport and a military base, marking a significant escalation in jihadist violence. A coordinated ambush by Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) resulted in the deaths of at least 36 Nigerien soldiers. The deteriorating security situation is exacerbated by the withdrawal of international forces and the increasing sophistication of terrorist tactics.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 21 2026Loading...

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) conducted coordinated attacks on military positions and civilian targets in Burkina Faso from February 14 to 19, 2026. The assault on the Titao military base involved hundreds of fighters and resulted in at least 20 deaths, including Ghanaian traders. This operation marks a significant escalation in the jihadist threat, showcasing advanced tactical coordination and operational capabilities.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 20 2026Loading...

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) conducted coordinated attacks in Burkina Faso in February 2026, targeting military bases and civilian markets across multiple locations including Bilanga and Titao. These operations resulted in over 180 fatalities, including soldiers and civilians, and involved hundreds of fighters, indicating a significant escalation in jihadist activities. The attacks demonstrate JNIM's enhanced operational capabilities and strategic intent to undermine state authority and disrupt local economies.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 20 2026Loading...

The Alliance of Sahel States announced the formation of a joint military force of 5,000 soldiers in January 2025 to conduct counter-terrorism operations in the Sahel region. This development comes amid rising attacks on military and civilian targets, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced security measures. Concurrently, Terra Industries is advancing its autonomous defense systems to support regional stability.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 19 2026Loading...

ISWAP launched a coordinated attack on the military base in Cross Kauwa, Nigeria, on February 17, 2023, killing eight soldiers and wounding 23 others. The assault involved approximately 70 fighters and resulted in the destruction of eleven armored vehicles. This operation marks a significant escalation in ISWAP's activities in the region, highlighting their strategic intent to undermine Nigerian military positions.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 19 2026Loading...

JNIM conducted three major operations in central Mali between January 29 and February 7, 2026, targeting economic infrastructure and local defense networks. The group ambushed a fuel convoy in Kayes, attacked Dozo militiamen in Kendié, and the Malian Army responded with airstrikes in Ségou, killing 35 militants. These actions indicate a coordinated effort to destabilize the region and disrupt supply lines.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 19 2026Loading...