Analysis & Reports

The U.S. conducted 74 airstrikes against Al-Shabaab in Somalia in 2026, primarily around Baidoa, where federal troops are engaged in conflict with local forces. Al-Shabaab retains control over key areas and continues to exploit the political instability in the region. The shift in U.S. focus back to Al-Shabaab indicates a response to the group's persistent threat despite ongoing military operations.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 18 2026Loading...

The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) are exerting pressure on El-Obeid, Sudan, where over 100,000 displaced individuals are surviving in camps with reduced rations. The G7 has urged the RSF to halt actions that could lead to civilian atrocities. The situation is critical as supply routes are threatened, impacting humanitarian aid and increasing the risk of a humanitarian crisis.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 18 2026Loading...

JNIM claims to have taken control of a Volunteers for the Defense of the Homeland (VDP) post in Daka, Burkina Faso, on July 15. This action highlights the group's strategy to undermine state authority in the region. The capture of Daka is significant as it affects local security dynamics and the state's ability to maintain control. The situation in Tougan remains precarious, with potential implications for surrounding villages and state presence.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 17 2026Loading...

The Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) launched three attacks around Beni between July 12 and July 15, resulting in over 20 deaths. The assaults targeted civilians and Congolese soldiers, highlighting the ongoing violence in the region. Local sources report that the ADF's actions are part of a strategy to instill fear and disrupt communication between villages and the Congolese armed forces.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 17 2026Loading...

On July 14, 2026, attacks in Ondo Ugboju and surrounding areas of Benue State resulted in the deaths of 20 civilians. The Nigerian Senate has called for urgent military deployment to address the coordinated violence, which has caused panic and displacement among local communities. Concurrently, military operations in Zamfara successfully rescued 13 hostages, highlighting the ongoing security challenges across Nigeria.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 16 2026Loading...

Al-Shabaab lost 46 militants in a series of operations across Somalia from July 11 to 13, 2023. Somali forces killed 26 militants in Middle Shabelle, 7 in Lower Shabelle, and 11 near Mandera. The operations indicate ongoing military pressure on Al-Shabaab, which continues to pose a regional threat despite these losses.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

Boko Haram and ISWAP are employing artificial intelligence in 2026 to enhance their tactical capabilities in Maiduguri, Borno, Nigeria. They are using AI tools for training in operational tactics, including improving explosive devices and motorcycle maneuvers. This shift indicates a significant evolution in their military operations, with ISWAP demonstrating superior organizational discipline in integrating these technologies.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

On July 13, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) reported the destruction of two CH-95 combat drones used by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan. One drone was shot down in flight by a missile from a Bayraktar Akinci, while the other was destroyed on the ground. This incident highlights a significant evolution in drone warfare in the region, with implications for both tactical and operational strategies.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 15 2026Loading...

ISWAP attempted an infiltration at Cross Kauwa on July 11, 2026, but was repelled by Nigerian forces from the 19th Brigade, resulting in two soldiers injured. A recovered Sony camcorder revealed operational footage and connections to foreign facilitators. The attack aimed to loot medical supplies amid a cholera outbreak, highlighting logistical challenges for ISWAP. A foreign suspect was arrested and evacuated by the Nigerian air force.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 14 2026Loading...

Mali and Algeria reopened their airspace after 15 months, while JNIM and FLA launched coordinated attacks on Anéfis and surrounding areas in April 2025. The control of Anéfis is critical for logistics between Kidal and Gao, and the situation has led to increased human rights abuses in the region. The Malian army faces significant challenges from these armed groups.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 14 2026Loading...

On July 5-7, 2026, JNIM and FLA insurgents launched coordinated attacks on multiple Malian military installations from Gao to Sévaré, with significant fighting reported near Anefis. Malian forces, supported by Russian paramilitaries from Africa Corps, faced ambushes and logistical challenges, leading to losses in reinforcements. The alliance between JNIM and FLA poses a new threat to the Malian military, complicating their operational capabilities in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 13 2026Loading...

On July 9, 2026, Russia announced plans to strengthen military cooperation with the Sahel Alliance (AES) amid ongoing jihadist attacks in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso. This cooperation aims to enhance military capabilities, including the provision of drones and electronic warfare systems. The AES faces challenges in maintaining security and effective military operations against insurgent threats in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 13 2026Loading...

On July 9, 2026, a Russian convoy transporting Malian soldiers and Russian paramilitaries was ambushed near Tabankort, Mali. The FLA claims control of Anéfis, while Russian forces remain in the main camp. Coordinated attacks by the FLA and JNIM targeted several positions, indicating a serious military challenge for the Malian government. Reports also mention the destruction of military vehicles in ambushes against reinforcements.

Marie DuboisSun Jul 12 2026Loading...

On July 11, 2026, Algeria and Mali reopened their airspace for civilian and military flights after a 15-month closure due to a drone incident. This development marks a significant step in restoring diplomatic relations between the two nations, which had been strained following the downing of a Malian drone. The reopening is crucial for military operations and regional security, as it allows for better coordination against armed groups in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisSun Jul 12 2026Loading...

On July 10, 2026, the Malian army conducted 15 airstrikes, destroying 12 combat vehicles and reportedly killing around 100 insurgents. The Azawad Liberation Front (FLA) began withdrawing from Anéfis following these strikes and the arrival of a convoy from Gao. This operation temporarily reopened the Gao-Anéfis route, marking a tactical victory for the Malian forces amid ongoing conflict in the region.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 11 2026Loading...

Boko Haram conducted a kidnapping operation in Oyo, Nigeria, resulting in the release of 46 hostages after 56 days. The Nigerian Army, Police, and Department of State Services executed a successful rescue operation, arresting 8 kidnappers. This incident highlights a strategic vulnerability in a region not typically associated with Boko Haram's activities, as over 40 other children remain captives in Borno.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 11 2026Loading...

ISSP launched attacks on military positions in In-Ates and Banibangou, Niger, on June 17, 2026, resulting in heavy losses for Nigerien forces. JNIM attempted an incursion at Niamey's airport the following day. On June 30, JNIM conducted further attacks in Makalondi, Torodi, and Diagourou, alongside operations in Burkina Faso, indicating a coordinated strategy between the two jihadist groups. The situation highlights the escalating conflict in the Tillabéri region.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

On July 9, 2026, a Russian convoy was ambushed near Tabankort by FLA and JNIM forces, resulting in ongoing combat. The convoy, consisting of dozens of vehicles and including Malian soldiers and Russian mercenaries, was en route to Anefis, a key location for controlling access to Kidal. This incident follows a pattern of coordinated attacks in the region, highlighting the challenges faced by the Malian Army and its Russian allies.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 10 2026Loading...

Armed groups attacked the MINUSCA base in Am-Dafock on June 30, 2026, injuring three Zambian peacekeepers. Over 16,000 displaced persons have gathered near the base, complicating humanitarian efforts. The attackers are reportedly affiliated with the FPRC and MDRPC, with possible involvement from RSF. This incident raises concerns about local security and the effectiveness of peace agreements in the region.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 08 2026Loading...

Multiple attacks on military posts in Burkina Faso resulted in at least 22 fatalities, including 14 soldiers and 7 Volunteers for the Defense of the Homeland (VDP). The attacks occurred in Di, Solhan, and Séguénéga, with the JNIM group claiming responsibility. This series of assaults underscores the operational vulnerabilities faced by the Burkinabè Armed Forces and the VDP amid ongoing violence in the region.

Marie DuboisWed Jul 08 2026Loading...