Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Two Tankers Full of Saudi Oil Just Turned Around in the Red Sea — and the Houthis Didn’t Have to Fire a Single Shot
Two tankers, the Xin Long Yang and Rodos, reversed course in the Red Sea on Tuesday due to Houthi threats against vessels loading at Saudi ports. The Xin Long Yang was en route to China, while the Rodos was headed for India. The Houthi warnings effectively deterred the tankers from proceeding, highlighting the impact of perceived risks on shipping routes for Saudi oil exports.
Threat to Close the Mandeb Strait Intensifies Global Energy Crisis, Houthis "Blockade" Saudi Arabia, Middle East Crisis Escalates
Houthi forces announced a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia on October 20, 2023, in retaliation for Saudi actions in Yemen. Saudi Arabia condemned the blockade and pledged to protect its shipping. This escalation could disrupt global oil supply, as the Mandeb Strait is a critical shipping route.
Threat to Close the Mandeb Strait Intensifies Global Energy Crisis, Houthi Forces "Blockade" Saudi Arabia, Middle East Crisis Escalates
Houthi forces announced a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia on October 20, 2023, in retaliation for Saudi's blockade of Yemen. Saudi Arabia condemned the blockade and pledged to take necessary measures to protect its vessels. This escalation could disrupt global oil supply, particularly if the Mandeb Strait is closed, as it is a critical shipping route for Saudi oil exports.
Ansaru loses two leaders in Nigeria in 2026 — 32 charges expose its Sahel network
Two leaders of Ansaru pleaded guilty to multiple charges, including terrorism and kidnapping, in Abuja on July 21, 2026. This development highlights the group's operational capabilities and connections to Al-Qaeda affiliates, posing a significant threat to security in Nigeria. The government is pursuing the death penalty, indicating a strong stance against the group's activities.
Marie DuboisTue Jul 21 2026Loading...Navy Hospital Ship "Auspicious Ark" to Carry Out "Harmonious Mission - 2026" in Africa and South Asia
The Chinese Navy's hospital ship 'Peace Ark' will deploy to Africa and South Asia starting in late July 2026 to conduct medical services and cultural exchanges as part of the 'Harmonious Mission - 2026'. This marks the ship's first overseas mission since its commissioning, aimed at strengthening ties with partner nations and promoting global security initiatives.
China Is Building Toward Nine Aircraft Carriers. America Has Eleven — and Can’t Replace Them Fast Enough
China operates three aircraft carriers and plans to expand its fleet to nine by 2035, enhancing its naval capabilities in the Western Pacific. The Fujian carrier, which entered service in November 2025, is equipped with advanced systems and is expected to improve China's operational readiness. This expansion poses a strategic challenge to the U.S. Navy, which currently operates 11 carriers but faces production delays.
Saudi-led coalition: Will protect member state vessels in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait
The Saudi-led coalition has initiated protective measures for member state vessels in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as of July 20, responding to threats from Houthi forces in Yemen. The coalition's spokesperson stated that they will act decisively against any threats, following the Houthis' announcement of a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia. Tensions have escalated due to recent airstrikes on Sana'a International Airport, attributed to the coalition.
Egypt’s Octagon, NATO and how Mideast nations are adapting to the Iran conflict
Egypt is developing large military facilities while Turkey responds to NATO summit outcomes. Middle Eastern nations are adjusting their military strategies in light of the US-Israeli war on Iran. Additionally, South Korean defense firm Hanwha has partnered with Emirati firm Generation 5 Holding to enhance regional defense capabilities.
El-Obeid under threat from RSF — 100,000 displaced expose the new lock of Sudan
The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) are exerting pressure on El-Obeid, Sudan, where over 100,000 displaced individuals are surviving in camps with reduced rations. The G7 has urged the RSF to halt actions that could lead to civilian atrocities. The situation is critical as supply routes are threatened, impacting humanitarian aid and increasing the risk of a humanitarian crisis.
Marie DuboisSat Jul 18 2026Loading...
Army stands up new PSYOP Company focused on Africa
The U.S. Army activated Delta Company, 7th Psychological Operations Battalion at Fort Bragg, North Carolina, on July 15. This new unit will focus on psychological operations in Africa, supporting U.S. Africa Command's mission. The company, nicknamed 'Drongo,' is part of a broader transformation within the Army's special operations forces.
The Impact of the US-Iran Conflict Further Spreads, Pakistan Draws a "Red Line"
Pakistan has declared that any attack on Saudi Arabia will be viewed as an attack on itself, marking a significant diplomatic stance amid escalating tensions between Saudi Arabia and Houthi forces. The Houthis have retaliated against Saudi airstrikes, and Pakistan's military leadership has communicated its position to Iran. Concerns are rising that renewed conflict could disrupt the Mandeb Strait, a vital shipping route for global energy supplies.
Boko Haram and ISWAP Use AI in 2026 — Lake Chad Changes Doctrine
Boko Haram and ISWAP are employing artificial intelligence in 2026 to enhance their tactical capabilities in Maiduguri, Borno, Nigeria. They are using AI tools for training in operational tactics, including improving explosive devices and motorcycle maneuvers. This shift indicates a significant evolution in their military operations, with ISWAP demonstrating superior organizational discipline in integrating these technologies.
Marie DuboisWed Jul 15 2026Loading...
U.S. Military Resumes Naval Blockade, Iran Declares Continued Retaliation, Trump Announces Re-Engagement in War Against Iran
U.S. Central Command conducted airstrikes against Iranian military targets in Bushehr, Chabahar, and Abbas Port on October 13-14, 2023. President Trump announced the restoration of a maritime blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, asserting U.S. control over shipping in the area. In retaliation, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps attacked the U.S. Fifth Fleet in Bahrain. The situation escalates tensions between the U.S. and Iran, with potential implications for global energy security.
US plans to create ‘drone academy’ in Morocco amid strategy shift
U.S. Africa Command announced plans to establish a drone academy and training center in Tan-Tan, Morocco, by 2030 to enhance African forces' counterterrorism capabilities. This initiative is part of a broader strategy shift, emphasizing empowerment over dependency as the U.S. reduces its military presence in Africa. The center will facilitate multi-domain training and innovation, with the African Lion exercise in 2027 serving as a proof of concept.
Congress moves to check terror ties in allied countries
The U.S. House of Representatives passed the Major Non-NATO Ally Terror Threat Assessment Act on July 13, 2023, requiring a report on terrorist organizations in allied countries. This legislation aims to enhance oversight of security cooperation with nations like Egypt, Jordan, and Qatar, where terrorist groups operate. The Secretary of Homeland Security will provide assessments every two years to Congress, detailing the activities of these organizations and the effectiveness of partner governments in addressing them.
Russia strengthens the AES in 2026 — Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso seek military depth
On July 9, 2026, Russia announced plans to strengthen military cooperation with the Sahel Alliance (AES) amid ongoing jihadist attacks in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso. This cooperation aims to enhance military capabilities, including the provision of drones and electronic warfare systems. The AES faces challenges in maintaining security and effective military operations against insurgent threats in the region.
Marie DuboisMon Jul 13 2026Loading...
Algiers and Bamako reopen the sky in 2026 — Tinzaouaten changes the calculations of the Sahel
On July 11, 2026, Algeria and Mali reopened their airspace for civilian and military flights after a 15-month closure due to a drone incident. This development marks a significant step in restoring diplomatic relations between the two nations, which had been strained following the downing of a Malian drone. The reopening is crucial for military operations and regional security, as it allows for better coordination against armed groups in the Sahel region.
Marie DuboisSun Jul 12 2026Loading...Sources: Egypt Discusses Implementation of Gaza Ceasefire with Hamas
A Hamas delegation discussed the implementation of the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement with Egyptian officials in Cairo on July 9. They confirmed plans to transfer administrative control of Gaza to the Gaza National Administrative Committee and agreed to facilitate peacekeeping efforts. Additionally, a proposal for a pilot area in Rafah was received from a U.S.-initiated 'Peace Committee'.
South Korea’s K9 Thunder Is Outselling America and Germany in Artillery. The Reason Isn’t the Gun.
The K9 Thunder howitzer, produced by South Korea's Hanwha Aerospace, has become the most exported tracked self-propelled howitzer globally, outselling competitors like the American M109 Paladin and German PzH 2000. Its success is attributed to rapid delivery, technology transfer, competitive pricing, and a self-sufficient production model. Eleven nations, including Poland and India, have adopted the K9, which is designed for quick firing and mobility, making it a preferred choice in the defense market.
France’s Dassault Rafale Doesn’t Care One Bit About Stealth or the F-35
The Dassault Rafale has secured over 640 orders by the end of 2024, becoming a preferred choice for countries like Egypt, Qatar, and India. It is marketed as a sovereign purchase, free from American control, appealing to nations seeking operational independence. The aircraft's continuous upgrades further enhance its attractiveness, contrasting with the F-35's market dominance.
