Analysis & Reports

Ukrainian forces conducted a coordinated nighttime long-range strike operation on June 3, targeting multiple important facilities within Russian territory, including key logistical sites in Saint Petersburg and Kronstadt. The operation involved the Ukrainian Security Service, drone units, special operations forces, and military intelligence, with strikes also hitting enterprises in the Tambov region responsible for weapon production.

Ukraine struck the St. Petersburg Oil Terminal and military targets near Kronstadt on June 2-3, 2026, as part of its long-range sanctions campaign against Russia. President Zelenskyy confirmed the operations, which included strikes on a weapons production facility in Tambov. The attacks coincided with the opening of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, highlighting Ukraine's strategy of targeting significant Russian events.

On June 2, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a mass strike involving 656 drones and 73 missiles against Ukraine, resulting in significant civilian casualties and damage. Ukrainian defenders managed to intercept a large number of the drones and missiles, but 38 sites were still hit, leading to at least 18 civilian deaths and 131 injuries. The attack underscored the challenges faced by Ukraine's air defense systems and raised questions about NATO's ability to support Ukraine amid ongoing procurement issues.

Alexandra ReevesTue Jun 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces have expanded their strikes on Russian logistics, targeting key nodes in Luhansk and disrupting supply routes. The 3rd Army Corps has taken control of areas such as Izvarino, significantly impacting Russian operational capabilities. This strategy, termed 'Logistical Lockdown', aims to weaken Russian supply chains and has already led to confirmed losses in personnel and equipment for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jun 01 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov Oil Refinery and fuel storage facilities in Rostov Oblast on May 31, 2026, resulting in significant damage. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting 216 drones, but the strikes have led to fuel rationing in Crimea, indicating a serious impact on Russian logistics. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations, targeting critical energy infrastructure further from the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on multiple Russian oil and gas facilities and military targets from May 30 to 31, 2023. Key locations included the Saratov oil refinery, which caught fire, and various military installations across Kirov, Rostov, and Kursk Oblasts. The attacks also targeted drone command centers and oil storage facilities in Crimea and Donetsk.

Uralvagonzavod unveiled the DT-3PM all-terrain vehicle at the Gas. Oil. Technologies exhibition in Ufa. This vehicle is designed for military and civilian use in extreme terrains, featuring a payload capacity of 3.5 tonnes and the ability to carry 17 passengers. It can operate in temperatures from -50°C to +45°C and is capable of crossing vertical walls and ditches that standard vehicles cannot. The development indicates a focus on enhancing military logistics in Arctic operations.

Ukraine conducted a series of airstrikes on May 27, 2026, targeting Russian military installations including the Baltimor Air Base near Voronezh, the naval headquarters in Sevastopol, the 325th Aviation Repair Plant in Taganrog, and the Tuapse oil terminal. This operation represents one of Ukraine's most ambitious deep-strike campaigns, utilizing Storm Shadow missiles and drones to hit multiple locations simultaneously, thereby complicating Russian military logistics and operations.

Rostec announced the delivery of a new batch of Su-35S multirole fighters to the Russian Aerospace Forces, continuing production despite ongoing sanctions and combat losses. The Su-35S, a fourth-generation aircraft, is crucial for various missions including air superiority and reconnaissance. Russia has lost at least 140 combat jets since the start of the invasion, highlighting the importance of maintaining production capabilities.

Ukrainian special operations forces attacked a fuel pumping station in Vladimir Oblast, Russia, on May 24, 2023. The station was responsible for supplying fuel to major airports around Moscow. The attack resulted in a significant fire, covering over 800 square meters, but no injuries were reported.

Ukrainian drones attacked 13 major Russian oil facilities in May 2026, including the Sheskharis terminal in Novorossiysk, causing significant operational disruptions. The strikes resulted in a fire and injuries, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian logistical infrastructure. Reports indicate that six of the ten largest Russian oil refineries halted operations following these attacks, marking a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach.

Dmitri VolkovSun May 24 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted strikes on Ukrainian military industrial enterprises and energy facilities on the 23rd, while Ukrainian forces targeted key Russian facilities along the Black Sea coast and in the Perm region. The Russian air defense reported the downing of 8 guided bombs and 800 fixed-wing drones. Ukrainian President Zelensky confirmed a strike on a significant chemical enterprise in Russia.

Monocrystal, a major producer of synthetic sapphire, announced its intention to file for bankruptcy in 2025 following significant damage from Ukrainian drone strikes and the impact of Western sanctions. The company, which supplied critical materials for Russian missiles and drones, has seen its workforce cut nearly in half and is facing severe financial difficulties. This collapse threatens Russia's defense-industrial supply chain for precision optical components.

Russian forces maintain control over Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, employing drones and artillery to suppress Ukrainian positions and logistics. A 25-kilometer kill zone has been established, complicating Ukrainian operations. The report highlights the effective coordination of Russian infantry, drones, and artillery, indicating a shift in tactics. Logistical challenges are significant for both sides, particularly affecting Ukrainian capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026Loading...

In 2026, the Russian military faces significant economic challenges as 400 oil wells have been closed, leading to a 10% reduction in oil processing. This decline is contributing to a federal budget deficit nearing $80 billion and labor shortages impacting military production. Ukrainian strikes on oil infrastructure are altering the cost dynamics of the ongoing conflict, indicating that the sustainability of the Russian military economy is under pressure.

Dmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on the Angstrom plant in Zelenograd on May 16-17, 2023, targeting critical microelectronics production for precision weapons. This operation reflects a strategic shift towards disrupting Russian military logistics and industrial capabilities. Russian defense officials reported intercepting numerous drones, but the effectiveness of the strikes on high-value targets remains significant.

Dmitri VolkovMon May 18 2026Loading...

Ukraine launched a large-scale retaliatory strike campaign overnight into May 15, targeting Russian military and industrial infrastructure across multiple regions. Key strikes included the Ryazan oil refinery, resulting in casualties, and attacks on military assets such as aircraft and air defense systems in Crimea and Luhansk Oblast. This operation aimed to disrupt Russian military capabilities and logistics.

The Russian Airborne Forces established multiple drone repair battalions responsible for maintaining UAVs and ground robotic systems. These units operate near the frontline to facilitate rapid repairs and return of equipment to combat. Each battalion includes specialized teams for fixed-wing drones, multi-rotor drones, and ground robotic systems, and they also handle the repair of captured enemy drones for reuse.

Russian forces conducted 150 assaults and over 100 artillery shelling incidents during a ceasefire from May 9-11, 2026, revealing a significant military operation despite diplomatic efforts. The Russian military's territorial losses and reliance on infiltration tactics indicate a decline in offensive capabilities. Concurrently, Germany strengthened defense ties with Ukraine, signaling a shift in European military support. The overall strategic situation increasingly favors the defender, with Russia's operational challenges becoming more pronounced.

Dmitri VolkovTue May 12 2026Loading...

Russia has dispatched upgraded T-90M, T-80BVM, and T-72B3M tanks to its armed forces, incorporating combat lessons and feedback from frontline troops. The delivery, announced by Rostec, highlights ongoing production despite Western sanctions and includes significant upgrades to electronic warfare protection and armor. This shipment reflects the current state of Russian armored forces and their adaptation to battlefield challenges.