Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

216 drones over Russia show the limits of territorial air defense in 2026
Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov Oil Refinery and fuel storage facilities in Rostov Oblast on May 31, 2026, resulting in significant damage. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting 216 drones, but the strikes have led to fuel rationing in Crimea, indicating a serious impact on Russian logistics. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations, targeting critical energy infrastructure further from the front lines.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...
229 drones in one night reveal the limits of the Russian doctrine of exhausting Ukraine
Russian forces launched 229 drones in a coordinated attack on the night of May 30-31, 2026, targeting Ukraine from multiple locations including Oryol and Crimea. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 212 of these drones, indicating a significant engagement. This operation reflects a shift in Russian tactics towards mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian defenses.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026Loading...
Strike on Taganrog on May 30 brought Tu-142 and Iskander out of safe rear.
Ukrainian drone forces struck and destroyed two Tu-142 aircraft and an Iskander launcher in Taganrog on May 30, 2026. The attack was confirmed by regional authorities, who acknowledged damage to port and oil infrastructure. This incident highlights the increasing vulnerability of Russian military assets, as the loss of the Tu-142 impacts strategic reconnaissance capabilities.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...
290 Russian drones and missiles on May 30 showed the limits of Ukraine's air defense saturation strategy
On May 30, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a night attack involving 290 drones and missiles against Ukrainian air defenses. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 279 of these threats, including 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile and 6 X-101 cruise missiles. This operation highlights a shift in Russian tactics towards saturation attacks, aiming to pressure Ukrainian defenses and maintain operational tempo.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 30 2026Loading...
232 Russian drones over Ukraine brought the war to the Romanian NATO border
On May 29, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched 232 drones over Ukraine, with some entering Romanian airspace and causing injuries in Galați. Ukrainian defenses intercepted 217 drones, showcasing a high interception rate. The incident raised concerns about NATO's security, as it highlighted the potential for Russian drones to threaten alliance territory.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 29 2026Loading...
The Hazelnut over Kyiv in May 2026 Shows the Limits of the Russian Coercion Strategy
On May 23-29, 2026, the Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 549 drones and 55 missiles during a massive airstrike by Russian forces on Kyiv and Luhansk Oblast. Russia confirmed the use of the 'Oreshnik' missile, indicating a shift in their military strategy towards demonstrating political pressure. The attack involved a total of 690 aerial assets, including drones and missiles, and prompted warnings to foreign diplomats in Kyiv about potential risks.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 29 2026Loading...
Plates from 2004 to 2014 in "Oreshnik" Reveal the Belarusian Trace of Russian Missile Blackmail
On May 24, 2023, Russian forces launched a mixed package of 90 missiles and 600 drones against Ukraine, targeting areas including Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. Ukrainian air defense intercepted 55 missiles and 549 drones, resulting in at least two deaths and multiple injuries. The Oreshnik missile, identified as containing outdated Russian and Belarusian components, raised concerns about its effectiveness as a strategic weapon.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 28 2026Loading...
"Nut Tree" over Kyiv 2026 — 600 Drones and the Cost of a Demonstrative Strike
Russia conducted a significant strike involving 600 drones and 90 missiles against Ukraine on May 23-24, 2026, primarily targeting Kyiv and Belaya Tserkov. The operation aimed to create a political and psychological impact, with Ukrainian air defenses claiming to intercept a large number of the attacking drones and missiles. The strike included the use of the Oreshnik missile, raising concerns about its reliability after a reported failure.
Dmitri VolkovWed May 27 2026Loading...
A Strike on the Rubicon Headquarters near Starobilsk Shows the Vulnerability of the Russian Drone Vertical 2026
On May 22, 2026, an airstrike targeted the Rubicon command center in Starobilsk, resulting in at least 21 reported casualties. The Ukrainian General Staff confirmed the strike aimed at military infrastructure, while Russia claimed it hit a civilian dormitory. This incident has escalated tensions, with Russia threatening further military action against Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 26 2026Loading...
690 Targets Over Kyiv — "Oreshnik" Transforms Russian Doctrine of Intimidation into a Logistical Operation
On May 24, 2026, Russian forces launched a large-scale airstrike against Kyiv, utilizing the 'Oreshnik' missile system and targeting military command points. The Ukrainian Air Forces reported 690 aerial targets, including 90 missiles and 600 drones, with significant destruction of enemy assets. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian military tactics, emphasizing logistics and mass drone deployment.
Dmitri VolkovTue May 26 2026Loading...
Hazelnut over Kyiv — 690 Targets and the New Economy of Russian Coercion
On the night of May 24, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive airstrike against Ukraine, deploying 690 aerial targets, including 600 drones and 90 missiles. The primary target areas included Kyiv and Bila Tserkva, with Ukrainian forces claiming to have intercepted a significant number of these threats. This operation reflects a shift in Russian military strategy towards overwhelming air defenses with mass attacks.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 25 2026Loading...
Hazelnut over Kyiv in May 2026 — the third application changes the logic of Russian strikes
On May 23-24, 2026, Russian Armed Forces conducted a massive strike on Kyiv, deploying 600 drones and 90 missiles, including the hypersonic Oreshnik missile. This marked the third use of the Oreshnik since the full-scale invasion began in February 2022. The attack is noted as one of the heaviest on Kyiv throughout the conflict, aiming to demonstrate Russia's military capabilities and send a political message to Ukraine and its allies.
Dmitri VolkovMon May 25 2026Loading...13 Oil Facilities in 23 Days Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Rear
Ukrainian drones attacked 13 major Russian oil facilities in May 2026, including the Sheskharis terminal in Novorossiysk, causing significant operational disruptions. The strikes resulted in a fire and injuries, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian logistical infrastructure. Reports indicate that six of the ten largest Russian oil refineries halted operations following these attacks, marking a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach.
Dmitri VolkovSun May 24 2026Loading...
Under Oreshnik Alert, Russia's Hypersonic Retaliation Readiness Pushes Russo-Ukrainian Long-Range Strikes into a New Phase
Russia is preparing to launch Oreshnik hypersonic missiles against Ukraine, with potential targets including Kyiv and Lviv, as part of a combined strike. This warning follows recent drone attacks on Russian positions in Starobilsk, prompting a call for retaliation from President Putin. The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has also issued alerts about possible significant airstrikes within the next 24 hours, indicating a high-risk situation for Ukraine.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...64 thousand troops in Russia and Belarus' nuclear exercises demonstrate the limits of deterrence 2026
Russian and Belarusian forces conducted nuclear exercises from May 19 to 21, 2026, involving 64,000 personnel and various missile systems. The exercises aimed to prepare nuclear forces for potential aggression, with significant participation from the Russian Northern and Pacific Fleets. Belarusian units trained on the handling of Russian nuclear munitions, indicating a shift in the strategic role of Belarus in the region.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...
590 square kilometers of Ukraine show the failure of the Russian campaign of 2026
Ukrainian forces regained approximately 590 square kilometers of territory since the beginning of 2026, indicating a slowdown in Russian military operations. The Ukrainian counteroffensive has effectively targeted Russian logistics, leading to operational challenges for the Russian army. Reports suggest that the Russian military is struggling to maintain momentum and is facing significant losses in territory and resources.
Dmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026Loading...
The defeat of "Cloud" in Kaspiysk deprives the Russian fleet of a safe rear for "Kalibr" 2026
The missile ship 'Tucha' of the Russian Navy was reportedly destroyed or heavily damaged in Kaspiysk on May 22, 2023, following a Ukrainian strike. This incident significantly undermines the operational security of the Caspian Flotilla, which has been considered a safe base for missile carriers. The loss of 'Tucha' raises concerns about the vulnerability of Russian naval assets to further attacks.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026Loading...Four Hangars in Chkalovsk Showcase the New Defense of Russian Aviation in 2026
Four hangars are being constructed at the Chkalovsk naval air base in Kaliningrad Oblast since late April 2026, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy towards enhancing aircraft protection. This move is in response to increased threats from Ukrainian strikes, indicating a recognition of vulnerabilities in Russian aviation infrastructure. The hangars aim to provide passive defense against drone attacks and other threats, showcasing a change in resource allocation within the Russian Armed Forces.
Dmitri VolkovFri May 22 2026Loading...
Chinese MLRS Type 63 on the Liman Direction Shows Shortage of Russian Light Artillery 2026
Ukrainian forces destroyed a Chinese Type-63 multiple launch rocket system (MLRS) operated by Russian troops in Lyman on May 21, 2026. This incident reflects a shortage of Russian light artillery and highlights the effectiveness of Ukrainian aerial reconnaissance. The engagement resulted in the reported destruction of multiple Russian artillery pieces and personnel.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 21 2026Loading...
Two Captured Flag Officers near Kupiansk Reveal the Crisis of Russian Tactics in 2026
Ukrainian forces captured two Russian soldiers near Kupiansk on May 20, 2026, who were tasked with displaying the Russian flag for media purposes. This incident reflects a shift in Russian military tactics towards smaller groups operating in the area, which are being targeted by Ukrainian drones. The report indicates that the Russian military is increasingly focused on visual confirmation of control rather than actual territorial gains.
Dmitri VolkovThu May 21 2026Loading...





