Analysis & Reports

The U.S. announced temporary sanctions relief for Russian oil, allowing increased revenue that may bolster military operations. Russia plans to expand its Unmanned Systems Forces to 101,000 personnel by April 1, 2026, amid ongoing military actions in Kostyantynivka and other regions. Ukrainian forces continue to advance despite Russian offensives, while both sides engage in long-range strikes.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 22 2026Loading...

The report contains vague content labeled as 'Test content' without any specific military or operational details. It lacks clarity on any activities, locations, or involved units, making it difficult to assess its relevance to military intelligence.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 22 2026Loading...

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree increasing the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel in March 2026, reflecting a significant military expansion. Ukrainian forces regained territory in February, while Russia's shift to offensive nuclear deterrence raises concerns about escalation. The military situation remains fluid, with ongoing operations in Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, and other regions, as both sides adapt to the evolving battlefield dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 15 2026Loading...

Russia is planning a strategic redeployment of its military forces to sustain offensive capabilities through 2026. The report indicates that the Russian Armed Forces are preparing for long-term military operations, although specific troop numbers and locations are not detailed.

Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 10 2026Loading...

In March 2026, President Putin expanded the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel to address recruitment challenges amid high casualties. Despite operational setbacks in Ukraine, where Ukrainian forces gained 244 square kilometers, Russia continues to invest heavily in military capabilities, including the development of advanced weaponry like the Shahed-136 loitering munition.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 09 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces disrupted the Russian military's Spring-Summer 2026 offensive in early March, particularly in the Donbas region. Russia has intensified long-range strike operations against Ukrainian infrastructure, utilizing over 400 drones and missiles. Concurrently, hybrid warfare tactics have escalated across Eastern Europe, including cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns targeting NATO cohesion. The situation reflects a significant strain on Russian military capabilities and a shift in operational priorities.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 07 2026Loading...

On March 4, 2026, President Putin authorized a significant expansion of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel, including 1,502,640 military personnel. This expansion coincided with a slowdown in Russian territorial advances in Ukraine, where Ukrainian forces liberated 244 square kilometers. The disruption of Russian access to Starlink satellite communications has degraded their operational capabilities, while Ukraine has intensified strikes on Russian military infrastructure. Additionally, Russia's military is adapting its tactics and expanding its capabilities, posing new challenges for NATO.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 07 2026Loading...

On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel conducted airstrikes against Iran, prompting the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to close the Strait of Hormuz. By March 2, all shipping traffic was halted, leading to over 150 vessels anchoring outside the strait and a spike in Brent crude prices to $89 per barrel. The closure was primarily enforced through drone threats and insurance market reactions, resulting in an 80% drop in seaborne traffic.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 06 2026Loading...

Operation Epic Fury commenced on 28 February 2026, involving 50,000 U.S. personnel and 200 aircraft targeting Iran's military infrastructure. On 4 March, IDF precision strikes destroyed six IRGC headquarters in Tehran, significantly degrading Iran's command structure and nuclear capabilities. The operation demonstrates advanced U.S.-Israeli military coordination and aims to disrupt Iran's regional influence.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 06 2026Loading...

Russia is preparing for a major spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with intensified drone operations and missile strikes targeting Ukrainian logistics. Ukrainian forces successfully struck Russian naval assets in Novorossiysk, damaging key vessels. Concurrently, Russia is conducting information operations to influence NATO's nuclear strategy and deter troop deployments. The strategic landscape in Eastern Europe is shifting, with NATO responding to increased threats along its eastern flank.

Dmitri VolkovThu Mar 05 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces captured more territory in February 2026, reversing previous Russian gains. Russia is adapting its military strategy, shifting targeting from energy to logistics and water infrastructure. The development of a modernized Shahed-136 drone enhances Russia's long-range strike capabilities. European security architecture is evolving to address these multifaceted threats, with Ukraine integrating into European defense systems.

Dmitri VolkovWed Mar 04 2026Loading...

Russia continues its military operations in Ukraine, facing staggering casualties of nearly 1.2 million since 2022, with 415,000 in 2025 alone. Despite significant defense spending, territorial gains remain minimal, with only 0.6% of Ukraine captured in 2024 and 0.8% in 2025. The conflict's attritional nature is evident as Russian forces struggle with high losses and slow advances, particularly in Donetsk Oblast.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 01 2026Loading...

Russia conducted a strategic endurance test to assess military capabilities. Specific details regarding troop numbers, locations, and equipment involved were not disclosed. The source of this information is considered to have moderate reliability.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 01 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces launched successful counteroffensives in Kupyansk, Zaporizhia, and Dnipropetrovsk, liberating significant territory and disrupting Russian military operations from December 2025 to February 2026. Russian casualties exceeded recruitment rates, prompting preparations for involuntary reserve callups. The Kremlin's communication issues and military setbacks indicate a critical turning point in the conflict, with implications for domestic stability and military effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

Russia and Iran conducted naval exercises in the Gulf of Oman from February 19-21, 2026, involving one Russian frigate, two Iranian destroyers, and three Chinese warships. This event coincided with the U.S. assembling a significant military presence in the region, serving as a political signal of solidarity among the three nations. The exercises highlighted the ongoing military cooperation between Russia and Iran, despite existing limitations on their partnership.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

Russia is laying the groundwork for a potential limited reserve mobilization amid ongoing manpower challenges. Ukrainian forces are advancing in southern Ukraine, particularly near Kupyansk and Oleksandrivka, while Russian forces maintain pressure in the Donbas region. Russia has intensified strikes against Ukrainian military targets and is enhancing its electronic warfare capabilities. The situation remains fluid as both sides prepare for renewed operations as winter transitions to spring.

Dmitri VolkovTue Feb 24 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces recaptured 86 square kilometers and 18 settlements in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts from February 20-22, 2026, disrupting Russian offensive operations. Russian claims of territorial gains were found to be inflated, with independent assessments verifying only 572 square kilometers seized. The denial of Starlink access has significantly impacted Russian command and control capabilities, leading to operational challenges. Russian forces continue to conduct strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure, despite facing increasing manpower pressures and recruitment issues.

Dmitri VolkovSun Feb 22 2026Loading...

In February 2026, Russian forces claimed significant territorial gains in Ukraine, but independent assessments revealed only marginal advances at a high human cost, with 35,000 Russian deaths reported in December 2025 and January 2026. The operational tempo is challenged by economic strains and tactical setbacks, as Ukrainian forces have successfully retaken territory. Russian military operations are increasingly characterized by information warfare aimed at shaping perceptions of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovSat Feb 21 2026Loading...

In January 2026, Russian losses on the battlefield exceeded recruitment by 9000 personnel, marking a significant failure of the voluntary recruitment system. This situation has prompted the Russian government to prepare legislative measures for potential forced conscription, as the current model of 'war without mobilization' has reached its limits. The inability to replace personnel threatens the ongoing military operations in Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 19 2026Loading...

The Geneva negotiations on February 18, 2026, concluded after just two hours without any significant agreements. Ukraine reported 740 casualties among Russian forces, highlighting the ongoing conflict. Russia's demands for territorial recognition remain unchanged, complicating the peace process. The situation around the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant continues to be a critical point of contention.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...