Analysis & Reports

The Sahel States Alliance (AES) became fully operational with 6,000 troops on February 27, 2026, following a strategic meeting in Ouagadougou. This force aims to counter intensified jihadist operations by Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) in the region. Concurrently, the Mali army conducted successful airstrikes against JNIM fighters, demonstrating increased military capabilities. The CEDEAO is also planning to deploy a smaller force to address regional security threats.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 28 2026Loading...

The U.S. Africa Command deployed 100 military advisors to Nigeria in February 2026 to train local forces in counter-terrorism operations amid a significant increase in jihadist violence in the Nigeria-Benin-Niger border area. The report notes a 262% rise in militant-related deaths from 2024 to 2025, with groups like JNIM and ISSP expanding their influence. U.S. precision strikes against ISSP in Sokoto were conducted in December 2025, reflecting a strategic repositioning in response to growing threats.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 27 2026Loading...

Delegations from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger approved the AES roadmap for 2026 during a strategic meeting in Ouagadougou on February 25-26, 2026. The discussions focused on enhancing cooperation in defense, diplomacy, and economic development to address ongoing security challenges in the Sahel region. This meeting reflects the commitment of the three nations to strengthen their alliance amid regional instability and the withdrawal from ECOWAS.

Marie DuboisFri Feb 27 2026Loading...

The Sahel States Alliance (AES) is consolidating its military strategy through a ministerial meeting in Ouagadougou from February 24-26, 2026, finalizing a roadmap for defense, diplomacy, and economic development. The alliance is deploying a joint military force of 5,000 troops to combat terrorism, while also responding to increasing Russian influence in the region. Recent military operations have intensified against terrorist groups in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso, reflecting a significant shift in regional security dynamics.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

France maintains a military presence in the Middle East, with 1,500 personnel in Djibouti and 1,000 in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon, amid rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran. The French Armed Forces are navigating their strategic autonomy while recognizing their dependence on U.S. military support. This situation highlights the complexities of France's role in regional security and its diplomatic efforts to mitigate potential conflicts.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 25 2026Loading...

The Nigerian government allegedly paid millions to Boko Haram for the release of 230 hostages taken from St. Mary’s School in Papiri on November 21, 2022. Negotiations were led by National Security Adviser Nuhu Ribadu, despite official denials of ransom payments. The payment, reportedly delivered by helicopter, raises concerns about Nigeria's counter-terrorism strategy and its implications for regional security.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 23 2026Loading...

In February 2026, 100 U.S. troops were deployed to Bauchi, Nigeria, to provide training and advisory support to Nigerian forces in combating terrorism. This mission, confirmed by General Samaila Uba, aims to address threats from groups like Boko Haram and ISWAP. The deployment reflects a strategic partnership between the U.S. and Nigeria, focusing on enhancing the capabilities of Nigerian armed forces.

Marie DuboisSun Feb 22 2026Loading...

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) is expanding its operational pressure beyond its traditional strongholds in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger as of January 2026. The group is demonstrating resilience and a deliberate strategy of gradual expansion, while facing challenges in establishing a durable presence in coastal countries like Benin and Togo. The CEDEAO plans to deploy 1,650 personnel in 2026 to counter the jihadist threat, amidst significant political shifts in the region.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 21 2026Loading...

In February 2026, the Islamic State targeted Niger's main airport and a military base, marking a significant escalation in jihadist violence. A coordinated ambush by Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimin (JNIM) resulted in the deaths of at least 36 Nigerien soldiers. The deteriorating security situation is exacerbated by the withdrawal of international forces and the increasing sophistication of terrorist tactics.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 21 2026Loading...

The Alliance of Sahel States announced the formation of a joint military force of 5,000 soldiers in January 2025 to conduct counter-terrorism operations in the Sahel region. This development comes amid rising attacks on military and civilian targets, highlighting the urgent need for enhanced security measures. Concurrently, Terra Industries is advancing its autonomous defense systems to support regional stability.

Marie DuboisThu Feb 19 2026Loading...

Captain Ibrahim Traoré dissolved all political parties in Burkina Faso on January 29, 2026, including those that supported his 2022 coup. This move eliminates potential challengers and creates a political vacuum that may benefit jihadist groups like JNIM. The dissolution is viewed as a significant step in consolidating Traoré's power and undermining civil political structures that could oppose him.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

General Amadou Ibro announced the mobilization of hundreds of young Nigeriens against France during a speech in Niamey on February 11, 2026. He declared preparations for war, following accusations that France sponsored a recent attack on the airport. The junta's rhetoric aims to consolidate power amid internal challenges, leveraging historical grievances against France.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

Niger accused France of financing the January 28-29 attack on Niamey airport, claiming that French intelligence agencies supplied mercenaries with weapons since April 2025. The Nigerien Armed Forces reported neutralizing 20 mercenaries and capturing 11 others. This accusation represents a significant diplomatic escalation, with the Russian ambassador supporting Niger's claims, further complicating the geopolitical landscape in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 16 2026Loading...

Nigerien President Abdourahamane Tiani announced an increase in the unified force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) from 5,000 to 6,000 soldiers on February 14, 2024, in Niamey. This move reflects the strategic ambitions of the military regimes in Mali, Niger, and Burkina Faso amid ongoing jihadist threats. The AES, formed in response to regional pressures and the withdrawal of French forces, aims to establish operational capability without Western support, while also signaling a shift towards closer ties with Russia.

Marie DuboisSun Feb 15 2026Loading...

On February 12, 2026, Russia formalized its military presence in the Sahel by signing a strategic agreement with Burkina Faso, focusing on security and counter-terrorism. This agreement marks a transition from private military contractor involvement to state-level cooperation, with Russian forces now operating under a formal diplomatic framework. The presence of Russian military personnel is increasing in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, as Moscow seeks to enhance its influence in the region amid a withdrawal of Western forces.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 14 2026Loading...

On February 3, 2023, U.S. Secretary of State Nick Checker arrived in Bamako to discuss counter-terrorism cooperation and economic relations with Mali's Foreign Minister. The U.S. is shifting its strategy in the Sahel, moving away from democracy promotion and focusing on intelligence sharing and potential arms supplies to combat jihadist threats. Russian contractors are currently operating in the region, complicating the security landscape.

Marie DuboisWed Feb 11 2026Loading...

On February 7, 2025, U.S. officials engaged with the Malian junta in Bamako, marking a shift in U.S. policy after years of military cooperation suspension. The U.S. aims to address security threats, particularly from jihadist groups, while navigating the presence of Russian mercenaries in the region. Recent attacks have resulted in significant casualties among Nigerien soldiers, highlighting the ongoing instability in the Sahel.

Marie DuboisMon Feb 09 2026Loading...

U.S. Secretary of State Nick Checker visited Mali in January 2024, signaling a strategic shift in U.S. policy towards the Sahel. The U.S. plans to offer intelligence and potential arms to Sahelian juntas in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger, moving away from previous democratic conditionality. This engagement aims to counter the growing jihadist threat and Russian influence in the region.

Marie DuboisSat Feb 07 2026Loading...