Analysis & Reports

Ukraine launched large-scale drone attacks on Russian energy facilities across Leningrad, Bryansk, Belgorod, and Yaroslavl Oblasts from July 4 to 6, 2023, using 625 drones. In response, Russia conducted airstrikes on July 6 against Ukrainian military-industrial and energy facilities in Kyiv and Kherson, resulting in casualties. The attacks included targeting oil refineries and logistics routes.

Gazprom signed a contract with the Russian Ministry of Defense to establish mobile fire groups for protecting gas infrastructure in July 2026. Participants will receive 200,000 rubles per month during training. Ukrainian forces have reportedly increased successful strikes on Russian infrastructure, prompting a shift in defense strategy that now includes corporate entities. This indicates a significant adaptation in Russia's military logistics and defense approach.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 06 2026Loading...

Russia launched 653 drones and 51 missiles in a large-scale attack on Ukraine's energy infrastructure on July 5-6, 2023. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted 585 drones and 30 missiles, but significant damage occurred, including to the Fastiv railway station and the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant. In response, Ukraine targeted Russian positions in Crimea, demonstrating an ongoing exchange of strikes between the two nations.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 05 2026Loading...

A T-90M main battle tank equipped with the Arena-M active protection system was spotted on a transporter in Russia in January 2026. This sighting indicates the movement of advanced military equipment, as the Arena-M system represents a significant upgrade in Russia's tank defense capabilities. The tank's transport suggests ongoing logistics operations, potentially in response to previous tank losses in the conflict.

In July 2026, Russia began importing up to 400,000 tons of gasoline monthly from India and other countries due to domestic shortages, impacting military logistics. Reports indicate fuel shortages at gas stations in Moscow, and Ukrainian forces have conducted numerous strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, exacerbating logistical challenges for the Russian military. This situation reflects a significant shift in the operational capabilities of Russian forces as they struggle with fuel supply issues.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck the NIIIFI in Penza, the Ufa oil refinery, and a satellite communication center in Dubna on July 1, 2026. These attacks targeted critical infrastructure supporting Russian missile systems and military operations, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to the conflict. The strikes aim to disrupt the production and logistical capabilities of the Russian military.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 01 2026Loading...

Explosions rocked Kurganmashzavod, a defense manufacturing facility in Kurgan, Russia, on July 1, 2026, likely due to drone strikes. The facility, responsible for producing BMP-2 and BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles, may face production disruptions. This incident underscores the evolving capabilities of Ukrainian forces to strike targets deep within Russia, as confirmed by independent monitoring and geolocation analysis.

Russian investigators opened criminal cases against officials and contractors for embezzling approximately 500 million rubles ($6.4 million) intended for naval infrastructure at the Caspian Flotilla's base in Kaspiysk. The defendants allegedly fabricated documents to divert funds to shell companies, impacting military readiness and logistics. This case is part of a broader pattern of corruption in Russian defense procurement, with the same individuals linked to multiple fraud investigations across various regions.

Russian forces launched 108 drones in a strike on June 28-29, 2023, with 82 intercepted by Ukraine. Concurrently, Ukraine targeted Russian logistical infrastructure, including railway bridges and command posts, in occupied territories. The situation reflects ongoing military operations with no confirmed territorial advances by either side, highlighting the pressure dynamics in the conflict.

Alexandra ReevesTue Jun 30 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones struck S-300 and S-400 air defense systems near Kerch and an energy substation in Maryanovka on June 29, 2026. This action reflects a strategic shift in the conflict, as Ukraine applies pressure on Russian logistics and air defense capabilities. The attacks reveal vulnerabilities in the Russian military's ability to protect critical infrastructure in Crimea.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo struck the Titan-Barrikady factory in Volgograd on June 27, causing significant damage to three workshops and a fire. This strike highlights Ukraine's evolving long-range strike capabilities and poses a logistical challenge to Russian defense production. The Russian military reported intercepting 175 drones but did not acknowledge the missile strike, indicating a potential vulnerability in their air defense system.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces launched an airstrike using FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles against the Titan-Barricades plant in Volgograd on the night of June 26-27, 2026. The attack resulted in at least three confirmed hits, one fatality, and eleven injuries. This facility is crucial for the production of Russian missile systems, marking a significant escalation in Ukraine's targeting strategy.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck a key military industrial site in Volgograd on June 27, 2026, using FP-5 Flamingo missiles, highlighting the limitations of Russian defense systems. This attack is part of a larger Ukrainian strategy to disrupt Russian military production capabilities, as Russia has reportedly deployed around 1400 strike drones and 1500 guided bombs in recent operations. The incident underscores the evolving nature of the conflict, with Ukraine increasingly targeting critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jun 27 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked the NORSI oil refinery in Kstovo on June 25-26, 2026, damaging a CDU-5 unit and disrupting 25% of its production capacity. This strike highlights vulnerabilities in the Russian military's logistics, particularly regarding fuel supply. Following the attack, fuel prices in Russia rose by 3%, indicating significant economic repercussions. Concurrently, Ukrainian drones targeted Tula Oblast and Crimea, further stressing Russian military resources.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jun 26 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Russian oil infrastructure in Krasnodar Krai and Ufa in June 2026, leading to a 3% increase in gasoline prices in Russia. This has resulted in significant fuel shortages across most Russian regions, affecting military logistics. The Russian Central Bank's interest rate cuts are being challenged by rising fuel costs, which may impact inflation expectations among the public.

Alexandra ReevesFri Jun 26 2026Loading...

Ukrainian President Zelensky announced preemptive strikes against Russian facilities on October 24, following reports that Russian drones ceased operations along the Belarus-Ukraine border. Ukraine targeted oil storage and refineries in Krasnodar Krai, leading to significant fuel shortages in Russia. Russian air defense systems intercepted 269 drones over various regions, indicating ongoing military engagements.

The Russian Navy is developing the Gorshkov-class frigates, with three currently operational and plans for up to 30. The program has faced significant delays due to engine supply issues from Ukraine and various technical problems. The frigates are equipped with advanced missile systems and designed for anti-air, anti-ship, and land-attack operations, showcasing Russia's efforts to modernize its naval capabilities.

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on energy infrastructure in Crimea on June 25, 2026, leading to significant disruptions in power supply and transportation. The Russian military is reportedly redeploying air defense systems to Moscow and the Kerch Bridge in response to these attacks. The situation has resulted in long queues of vehicles at the Kerch Bridge and a reduction in train services to Crimea, highlighting the increasing vulnerability of the region.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

Gasoline production in Russia decreased by 25% from June 15 to June 21, 2025, revealing vulnerabilities in the Russian war effort. Fuel supply restrictions have been implemented across various regions, and the government is contemplating increasing fuel imports to address the crisis. The situation is exacerbated by Ukrainian drone strikes targeting oil refining facilities, affecting military logistics and operations.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

Russian forces took control of the Ivorzhanskoye settlement in the Sumy region on the 24th and conducted strikes against Ukrainian military positions and infrastructure. In response, Ukrainian forces launched airstrikes on a gas refinery and helium plant in Orenburg Oblast, over 1200 km from the front line, causing fires at both facilities. Additionally, Ukrainian forces targeted a drone warehouse in Belgorod Oblast.