Analysis & Reports

Malian Foreign Minister Abdoulaye Diop stated on July 24, 2023, that Mali has not received official confirmation of U.S. military action against JNIM. The conflict has evolved, with JNIM and FLA conducting coordinated operations against Malian forces. The U.S. perceives an opportunity for intervention in Mali, particularly after its withdrawal from Niger, as the situation has become increasingly complex with jihadist and separatist groups involved.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 30 2026Loading...

China seeks to achieve 'mission kill' on US aircraft carriers in the Indo-Pacific by damaging critical systems to prevent flight operations. This strategy aims to reduce US air power during conflicts without necessarily sinking the carriers. The Chinese military may employ a combination of anti-ship ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and cyber warfare to overwhelm defenses and inflict cumulative damage.

A naval officer's use of the Strava app revealed the location of the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle in the eastern Mediterranean, highlighting the risks of ubiquitous technical surveillance (UTS) to military operations. The U.S. Navy emphasizes the need for improved digital discipline and protection measures for troops. Congressional actions are underway to address UTS vulnerabilities and enhance force protection through new legislation.

General Abdourahamane Tiani accused France of orchestrating attacks on Niamey's Diori Hamani International Airport on January 28-29 and June 18, 2026, framing it as part of an information war. The JNIM group is implicated in these attacks, which are seen as a strategic move against Western influence. Niger's military is increasingly aligning with Russia, marking a significant shift in its defense posture.

Marie DuboisTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

U.S. President Trump stated he is willing to negotiate with Iran but will resume military strikes if no agreement is reached. He emphasized the U.S. military's readiness and sufficient ammunition stockpiles. Ongoing negotiations involve Iran and Oman, with participation from Qatar, Pakistan, and Egypt. Trump also mentioned a sense of urgency in reaching an agreement before military action is considered.

ISWAP lost three propagandists, including Abu Salim al-Barnawi, during an attack in Cross Kauwa on July 12. The Nigerian military identified the casualties and recovered video equipment, highlighting ISWAP's reliance on media for propaganda. Concurrently, a coordinated attack by ISWAP was repelled at Logomani, resulting in one Nigerian soldier's death. Unconfirmed reports suggest 104 soldiers may be missing following a prior engagement.

Marie DuboisMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

Germany withdrew the mine countermeasure vessel Fulda and supply tanker Mosel from Djibouti to the Eastern Mediterranean in 2026 due to operational and environmental concerns. This decision reflects Europe's challenges in translating political commitments into effective military operations, particularly in the context of the Strait of Hormuz. The ships are not adequately equipped for the extreme conditions in the Gulf, raising questions about European maritime capabilities and readiness for future missions.

Dr. Klaus WeberSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

On July 18, 2023, an ambush by JNIM and the Front for the Liberation of Azawad killed at least 50 Malian soldiers near Anefis, Gao, in Northern Mali. The U.S. is contemplating military strikes against JNIM as the situation in Mali becomes increasingly complex with Russian support for Malian forces and ongoing threats from armed groups. This incident highlights the challenges faced by the Malian military in securing key routes.

Marie DuboisSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

The Pentagon nominated Lt. Gen. Kevin D. Admiral to command U.S. Army Europe and Africa, succeeding Gen. Christopher Donahue, who stepped down unexpectedly. Admiral, currently the commander of III Corps at Fort Hood, Texas, would also lead NATO’s Allied Land Command if confirmed. Maj. Gen. Christopher Norrie is currently acting commander following Donahue's departure.

The Houthi militia declared an embargo on Saudi oil shipments through the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, escalating tensions in the region. Iran's IRGC has reportedly sent military support to the Houthis, including commanders and missile systems. This blockade has already impacted global oil prices, prompting shipping companies to consider alternative routes. U.S. President Trump warned of potential military action against Iran and the Houthis in response to their recent aggression.

In July 2026, the Nigerian Armed Forces mobilized 28,000 recruits in response to ongoing security challenges, including the recent kidnapping of over 40 individuals in Zamfara. The attacks are linked to Kachalla Sa'idu's gang, highlighting the escalating violence in the region. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu announced the expansion of the military to address these threats.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 24 2026Loading...

The U.S. government is considering military action against the extremist group JNIM in Mali, as reported on October 23, 2023. This potential action could make Mali the eighth country targeted for military strikes during President Trump's term. Internal divisions exist within the U.S. regarding this decision, and the U.S. has increased intelligence sharing with Mali to bolster counter-terrorism efforts.

The U.S. administration is considering military airstrikes against Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) in Mali following an ambush that killed at least 50 Malian soldiers. This discussion emerged publicly on July 22, 2026, amid concerns over the effectiveness of Russian security partnerships in the region. The attack highlights operational coordination between JNIM and the Front de libération de l'Azawad (FLA), complicating the military landscape in northern Mali.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

The European Union has authorized its naval mission, Operation Atalanta, to intercept Russian shadow fleet tankers in the Indian Ocean. This decision allows EU forces to stop and board vessels suspected of operating under false flags, expanding their operational reach against illicit maritime activities. The announcement was made by EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, emphasizing the EU's commitment to enforcing sanctions against Russia's oil trade.

Two Russian nationals, Igor Ratchin and Lev Lakshtanov, were sentenced to 8 and 11 years in prison by the Angolan judiciary on July 23, 2026, for conspiracy, espionage, terrorism, and illegal currency possession. They were accused of conducting political influence operations aimed at destabilizing the Angolan government and manipulating public perception. This case underscores Russia's continued efforts to exert influence in Africa, particularly through disinformation and local recruitment.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

The Houthi forces attacked the Saudi oil tanker 'Ensilia' in the Red Sea on July 23, causing a fire at the bow of the ship. All crew members are reported safe. The Houthis had previously declared a maritime blockade against Saudi vessels, warning of military action against those violating it.

Houthi forces announced a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia on October 20, 2023, warning vessels to avoid Saudi ports. As of October 22, five oil tankers have altered their routes in the Red Sea, with some heading to the Suez Canal. The EU military operation in the region has issued warnings about increased risks for vessels linked to Israel, the U.S., and Saudi Arabia.

Lockheed Martin and Leonardo signed an agreement on July 22, 2026, to enhance maintenance, repair, and overhaul services for the C-130J Super Hercules airlifters across Europe, the Middle East, and Northern Africa. This partnership aims to improve MRO capabilities and efficiency for over 570 C-130Js delivered to 27 countries, strengthening NATO's operational readiness. The agreement builds on a 20-year relationship between the two companies.

Lockheed Martin and Leonardo signed an agreement to enhance maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for the C-130J Super Hercules airlifters across Europe, the Middle East, and Northern Africa. This partnership aims to improve MRO capabilities and efficiency for over 570 C-130Js delivered to 27 countries, strengthening NATO's operational readiness. The agreement builds on a 20-year relationship between the two companies.

U.S. President Trump stated that the U.S. will take action if Houthi forces block the Red Sea. The Houthis announced a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia, prompting the Saudi-led coalition to enhance security measures for shipping in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Trump also expressed a willingness to engage in dialogue with Hezbollah regarding Lebanon's situation.