Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

301 Ukrainian Drone Against Moscow and Crimea — Testing Russian Air Defense in Summer 2026

301 Ukrainian Drone Against Moscow and Crimea — Testing Russian Air Defense in Summer 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones targeted Moscow and Crimea on June 21-22, 2026, leading to the interception of 301 drones and significant disruptions in air traffic. Four airports in Moscow were temporarily closed, and in Crimea, four people were killed and 28 injured, prompting a suspension of fuel sales. The attacks highlighted the operational pressure on Russian air defense and civilian infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 22 2026

Strikes on the Kerch Strait on June 21 Change the Supply Arithmetic of Crimea

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on maritime logistics and oil infrastructure in Crimea on June 21, 2023, targeting seven ferries and air defense systems. The attacks significantly impacted Russian supply routes, particularly affecting the port of Kavkaz and oil facilities. Russian authorities confirmed the strikes, indicating a reduction in logistical capacity for their military operations in the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 22 2026
Strikes on Kerch and Chongar in June 2026 Reveal Weakness in Russian Logistics

Strikes on Kerch and Chongar in June 2026 Reveal Weakness in Russian Logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on Russian logistics and military infrastructure in Kerch and Chongar on June 21, 2026. The strikes targeted oil facilities and S-400 air defense systems, aiming to disrupt Russian supply lines. Damage to key transport routes, including bridges, has been reported, complicating logistics for Russian forces. In response, Russia claimed to have downed numerous Ukrainian drones and conducted retaliatory strikes.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jun 21 2026
25,000 Ground Robots of Ukraine are Changing the Russian Infantry War in 2026

25,000 Ground Robots of Ukraine are Changing the Russian Infantry War in 2026

Weapons & EquipmentLogisticsOperational

Ukraine has contracted 25,000 ground robotic systems to enhance its military capabilities against Russian infantry by the first half of 2026. The goal is to increase this number to approximately 50,000 by the end of the year. These systems are expected to perform various logistical tasks, significantly impacting the operational dynamics on the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jun 21 2026
The Genichesk Bridge Under Threat Again — Ukrainian Drones Tighten Crimea's Logistics in June 2026

The Genichesk Bridge Under Threat Again — Ukrainian Drones Tighten Crimea's Logistics in June 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted drone strikes on the Genichesk Bridge and air defense systems on June 20, 2026, targeting logistics in Crimea. The strikes also hit UAV control points in Zaporizhia Oblast, aiming to disrupt Russian supply routes. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to managing Russian military operations in the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jun 20 2026
555 Drones Over Russia — Strike on Moscow Oil Refinery Reveals Limits of Air Defense

555 Drones Over Russia — Strike on Moscow Oil Refinery Reveals Limits of Air Defense

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones attacked the Moscow Oil Refinery on June 18, 2026, causing a fire and disruptions at nearby airports. The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed to have intercepted 555 drones, with around 180 targeting Moscow. This incident underscores the vulnerabilities in Russian air defense and the impact of drone warfare on critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jun 18 2026
Curfew for Mopeds in Crimea Indicates the Crisis of Russian Air Defense 2026

Curfew for Mopeds in Crimea Indicates the Crisis of Russian Air Defense 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

On June 17, 2026, Russian occupation authorities in Crimea imposed a curfew on mopeds and similar vehicles from 20:00 to 06:00 to assist air defense operations. This measure follows increased Ukrainian drone strikes targeting critical infrastructure, highlighting logistical challenges faced by Russian forces. Reports indicate that fuel shortages and restrictions are affecting military supply routes, reflecting a significant crisis in Russian air defense capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jun 17 2026

172 UAVs over Russia and a strike on the oil refinery show the new price of depth 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces launched a significant drone strike on June 16, 2026, targeting Russian industrial sites, including the Moscow Oil Refinery in Kapotnya and a fuel depot in Poltavskaya. Russian air defense claimed to have intercepted 172 drones over multiple regions. The attacks highlight Ukraine's ability to penetrate deep into Russian territory, affecting critical infrastructure and logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jun 16 2026
5.9 trillion rubles per quarter show the limits of the Russian military economy 2026

5.9 trillion rubles per quarter show the limits of the Russian military economy 2026

Political-MilitaryLogisticsStrategic

Russian military expenditures reached 5.9 trillion rubles in the first quarter of 2026, accounting for nearly two-thirds of federal revenue. The increase in spending, primarily on military operations and procurement, reflects a significant shift in budget priorities, with classified military expenditures rising sharply. The federal budget is facing a deficit of 6.01 trillion rubles, indicating economic strain as civilian sectors decline under the weight of military funding demands.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jun 14 2026
TolyattiKauchuk and Two Refineries of Tatarstan Show New Price of Russian Depth 2026

TolyattiKauchuk and Two Refineries of Tatarstan Show New Price of Russian Depth 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck the Tolyatti chemical plant and two oil refineries in Nizhnekamsk, Tatarstan, on June 12, 2026, causing confirmed fires at all locations. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach, targeting critical industrial infrastructure deep within Russia. The strikes are anticipated to complicate Russian military logistics and increase operational costs.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jun 13 2026
The Crimean Fuel Crisis of 2026 Reveals the Weakness of Russian Southern Logistics

The Crimean Fuel Crisis of 2026 Reveals the Weakness of Russian Southern Logistics

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure in Crimea, leading to a severe fuel crisis. Key locations affected include Sevastopol and Yevpatoria, where fuel distribution has been disrupted. Ukrainian drones targeted supply routes, significantly impacting Russian military logistics. Russian authorities confirmed the attacks, indicating a 71% decrease in military cargo movement on the R-280 route, which is crucial for supplying troops in the region.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jun 12 2026
AI in Ukrainian UAVs 50–200 km Breaks the Logistics of the Russian Army in 2026

AI in Ukrainian UAVs 50–200 km Breaks the Logistics of the Russian Army in 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian medium strike drones are disrupting Russian military logistics along the R-280 route, with a reported 71% decrease in cargo traffic. These drones utilize AI for navigation and target recognition, creating a new layer of warfare that complicates Russian supply operations. As a result, Russian forces are forced to adapt their logistics strategies, leading to increased operational costs and risks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jun 12 2026

FP-5 Flamingo Strikes VNIIR-Progess from 900 Kilometers Away and Changes the Arithmetic of the Russian Defense Industry 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces launched an attack using FP-5 Flamingo missiles against the VNIIR-Progres military-industrial facility in Cheboksary on June 10, 2026. This strike, occurring over 900 kilometers from the front line, targeted critical navigation systems for military applications. Russia reported intercepting 326 drones but did not confirm any missile interceptions or damage to strategic sites, indicating a significant shift in Ukrainian military strategy towards targeting industrial nodes essential for Russian military operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jun 11 2026
FP-5 Flamingo Strikes Cheboksary and Reveals the Weak Link in the Russian Navigation Chain 2026

FP-5 Flamingo Strikes Cheboksary and Reveals the Weak Link in the Russian Navigation Chain 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes on military and industrial targets in Cheboksary and other locations on June 9-10, 2026. The strikes targeted a factory producing navigation components, crucial for Russian military operations. This action reflects a strategic shift by Ukraine to exert operational pressure on Russian logistics and infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jun 11 2026
205 kilometers to Izvarino changes the logic of the Russian war in Luhansk

205 kilometers to Izvarino changes the logic of the Russian war in Luhansk

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian forces have expanded their strikes on Russian logistics, targeting key nodes in Luhansk and disrupting supply routes. The 3rd Army Corps has taken control of areas such as Izvarino, significantly impacting Russian operational capabilities. This strategy, termed 'Logistical Lockdown', aims to weaken Russian supply chains and has already led to confirmed losses in personnel and equipment for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jun 01 2026
216 drones over Russia show the limits of territorial air defense in 2026

216 drones over Russia show the limits of territorial air defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov Oil Refinery and fuel storage facilities in Rostov Oblast on May 31, 2026, resulting in significant damage. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported intercepting 216 drones, but the strikes have led to fuel rationing in Crimea, indicating a serious impact on Russian logistics. This marks a strategic shift in Ukrainian operations, targeting critical energy infrastructure further from the front lines.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 31 2026
690 Targets Over Kyiv — "Oreshnik" Transforms Russian Doctrine of Intimidation into a Logistical Operation

690 Targets Over Kyiv — "Oreshnik" Transforms Russian Doctrine of Intimidation into a Logistical Operation

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

On May 24, 2026, Russian forces launched a large-scale airstrike against Kyiv, utilizing the 'Oreshnik' missile system and targeting military command points. The Ukrainian Air Forces reported 690 aerial targets, including 90 missiles and 600 drones, with significant destruction of enemy assets. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian military tactics, emphasizing logistics and mass drone deployment.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 26 2026

13 Oil Facilities in 23 Days Reveal a New Vulnerability in the Russian Rear

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drones attacked 13 major Russian oil facilities in May 2026, including the Sheskharis terminal in Novorossiysk, causing significant operational disruptions. The strikes resulted in a fire and injuries, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian logistical infrastructure. Reports indicate that six of the ten largest Russian oil refineries halted operations following these attacks, marking a strategic shift in Ukraine's military approach.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun May 24 2026
590 square kilometers of Ukraine show the failure of the Russian campaign of 2026

590 square kilometers of Ukraine show the failure of the Russian campaign of 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces regained approximately 590 square kilometers of territory since the beginning of 2026, indicating a slowdown in Russian military operations. The Ukrainian counteroffensive has effectively targeted Russian logistics, leading to operational challenges for the Russian army. Reports suggest that the Russian military is struggling to maintain momentum and is facing significant losses in territory and resources.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat May 23 2026
The 25-Kilometer Death Zone Near Pokrovsk Shows a New Mechanism of Russian Infantry Warfare

The 25-Kilometer Death Zone Near Pokrovsk Shows a New Mechanism of Russian Infantry Warfare

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russian forces maintain control over Pokrovsk and Mirnograd, employing drones and artillery to suppress Ukrainian positions and logistics. A 25-kilometer kill zone has been established, complicating Ukrainian operations. The report highlights the effective coordination of Russian infantry, drones, and artillery, indicating a shift in tactics. Logistical challenges are significant for both sides, particularly affecting Ukrainian capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue May 19 2026