Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Arege 2026 — the strike Nigeria-United States kills 21 ISWAP and sets the new pace of Lake Chad

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

A joint Nigerian and U.S. airstrike killed 21 ISWAP fighters in Arege, Borno, on May 30, 2026. This operation, coordinated with the United States Africa Command (AFRICOM), is part of a series of military actions targeting ISWAP's logistical capabilities in the Lake Chad region. The airstrike highlights a shift in U.S. involvement from training to direct operational support against jihadist groups.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Jun 01 2026
JNIM strikes five villages in Mali — 25 dead near Bandiagara in 2026

JNIM strikes five villages in Mali — 25 dead near Bandiagara in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

JNIM launched attacks on five villages in Mali on May 21, 2026, resulting in at least 25 deaths and numerous injuries. The villages of Logo, Soulakanda, Dimbal, Ogossagou, and Kouroundé were targeted, with reports of destruction and livestock theft. Local dozo hunters faced jihadists directly, highlighting the absence of a timely military response from the Malian army. This incident is part of ongoing violence in the region, exacerbating local tensions and displacement.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Jun 01 2026

The RSF strikes al-Mourra in Kordofan in 2026 — 27 civilians killed and the Bara road becomes the center of the war

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 28, 2026, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) attacked the village of al-Mourra in North Kordofan, killing at least 27 civilians during the Eid al-Adha celebrations. This incident highlights the ongoing violence in the region, where RSF aims to expand their control and intimidate local populations. The conflict has resulted in significant civilian casualties and displacement, with the area around Bara becoming increasingly contested.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun May 31 2026
Pétél Kolé in Niger reveals the JNIM–Islamic State war — 35 dead in the Sahel

Pétél Kolé in Niger reveals the JNIM–Islamic State war — 35 dead in the Sahel

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

ISSP fighters attacked a JNIM base in Petel Kole, Niger, in early April 2026, resulting in 35 deaths. This incident underscores the escalating conflict between ISIS and Al-Qaeda in the Sahel, as both groups vie for control over territory and resources. The attack reflects a shift in dynamics, with ISSP increasing its operational presence despite being smaller than JNIM.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun May 31 2026
The Islamic State strikes JNIM in Pétel Kolé — 35 dead and a new front in Niger

The Islamic State strikes JNIM in Pétel Kolé — 35 dead and a new front in Niger

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

The Islamic State of the Sahel Province (ISSP) attacked a base of the Group for Support of Islam and Muslims (JNIM) near Petel Kole, Niger, in early April, claiming to have killed 35 fighters. This incident marks a significant escalation in the Sahel conflict, as it opens a new front in Niger and indicates a shift in the dynamics between jihadist groups in the region. The ISSP also seized weapons and motorcycles from JNIM, further complicating the security situation for the Nigerien government.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat May 30 2026

Borno saves 92 hostages — ISWAP tests Nigerian rapid response after 175 deaths in its ranks

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 23, 2026, the Nigerian Armed Forces rescued 92 civilians from ISWAP captors on the Buratai-Kamuya road in Borno. This operation followed the reported deaths of 175 ISWAP fighters in recent U.S.-Nigerian joint strikes. The insurgents demonstrated tactical maneuvers by using IEDs during their retreat, indicating ongoing threats in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri May 29 2026
The JNIM Strangles Bamako in Mali in 2026 — Tabaski Reveals the Economic War

The JNIM Strangles Bamako in Mali in 2026 — Tabaski Reveals the Economic War

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

JNIM imposed a blockade on roads leading to Bamako in May 2026, significantly increasing the price of sheep and impacting local families ahead of Tabaski. The blockade has disrupted supply routes, forcing the military to divert resources for escorting convoys. While supplies still reach Bamako, the reduced flow creates economic pressure, indicating a strategic shift in the conflict dynamics in Mali.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri May 29 2026

The Colombians of RSF in Darfur in 2026 — private war reaches El Fasher

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Colombian military contractors are operating alongside the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher, Sudan, participating in frontline combat and drone operations. U.S. sanctions have targeted networks recruiting these contractors, indicating a significant shift in the operational capabilities of the RSF. The presence of these contractors enhances the RSF's military effectiveness, particularly in drone warfare and coordination of military actions.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu May 28 2026
Nigeria and the United States Strike ISWAP — 175 Fighters Killed Around Lake Chad

Nigeria and the United States Strike ISWAP — 175 Fighters Killed Around Lake Chad

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Joint airstrikes by Nigerian Armed Forces and U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) killed 175 ISWAP fighters around Lake Chad from May 16 to 19, 2026. The operation targeted high-ranking jihadist Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, indicating a shift from advisory to active military involvement by U.S. forces. The strikes aimed to disrupt ISWAP's territorial and logistical capabilities, although the long-term impact on the group's operations remains uncertain.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu May 28 2026
The JNIM Strikes Kourou Koualou in Benin in 2026 — 4 Soldiers Killed and the Coastal Lock Cracks

The JNIM Strikes Kourou Koualou in Benin in 2026 — 4 Soldiers Killed and the Coastal Lock Cracks

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

JNIM attacked two positions of the Beninese army in Kourou Koualou on the night of May 25-26, 2026, resulting in the deaths of four soldiers. The attackers arrived on motorcycles from the Burkina Faso border, highlighting the ongoing security challenges in the region. This incident tests the new Beninese presidency's security measures and military readiness.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed May 27 2026

Nigeria 2026 — Boko Haram and ISWAP replace 82 students at the center of the war

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

Boko Haram and ISWAP abducted at least 82 students from schools in Mussa, Borno State, and Oyo State between May 13 and May 15, 2026. The Nigerian police attributed the attacks to these militant groups, indicating a significant threat to civilian safety. This incident underscores the ongoing challenges faced by the Nigerian military in securing educational institutions despite reported successes against ISIS.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed May 27 2026

Boko Haram forces Chad to extend three months of emergency at the lake in 2026

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

On May 25, 2026, Chad extended the state of emergency in the Lake province for three months following an attack by Boko Haram that resulted in 23 soldiers killed and 26 wounded. The government aims to enhance security controls and limit movement in sensitive areas, as Boko Haram maintains pressure in the region, complicating military operations.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue May 26 2026
The JNIM strikes five villages in Mali in 2026 — 20 dead and the Bankass line wavers

The JNIM strikes five villages in Mali in 2026 — 20 dead and the Bankass line wavers

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

JNIM launched an attack on five villages near Bankass and Bandiagara on May 21, 2026, resulting in approximately 20 casualties, including civilians and dozo hunters. The assault occurred between 5 PM and 6 PM, targeting areas close to Bankass, demonstrating the group's operational capability. Local dozo hunters attempted to defend against the attackers, but the Malian army did not respond to the incident, raising concerns about security in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue May 26 2026
Nigeria 2026 — 92 hostages released in Borno and 175 ISWAP fighters struck with Washington

Nigeria 2026 — 92 hostages released in Borno and 175 ISWAP fighters struck with Washington

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 23, 2026, Nigerian Armed Forces rescued 92 hostages from an armed group in Borno while conducting operations against ISWAP. Concurrently, U.S. and Nigerian airstrikes reportedly killed 175 ISWAP fighters. The operation highlights ongoing military efforts to combat ISWAP and protect civilians in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon May 25 2026
The ADF kills 17 civilians in Mambasa in 2026 — the Islamic State pushes towards the mines of Haut-Uele

The ADF kills 17 civilians in Mambasa in 2026 — the Islamic State pushes towards the mines of Haut-Uele

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

On May 19, 2026, the Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) killed at least 17 civilians in an attack in Alima, Mambasa. The assailants subsequently moved through Peleki and Manyama, setting homes ablaze. This incident marks a significant escalation in ADF activities, as they seek to establish escape routes in the region, indicating a shift in their operational strategy.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon May 25 2026
Garbougna in Niger counts 67 dead in 2026 — JNIM challenges the Islamic State in the Sahel

Garbougna in Niger counts 67 dead in 2026 — JNIM challenges the Islamic State in the Sahel

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

On May 14, 2026, heavily armed assailants attacked a military engineering unit in Garbougna, Tillabéri, resulting in 67 casualties, including military personnel and civilians. The JNIM claimed responsibility for the assault, which targeted a strategically important bridge construction site. This incident underscores the ongoing jihadist threat in the region and the challenges faced by the Nigerien state in maintaining control.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun May 24 2026
JNIM and FLA tighten their grip on Bamako in 2026 — 700 tank trucks reveal Malian fragility

JNIM and FLA tighten their grip on Bamako in 2026 — 700 tank trucks reveal Malian fragility

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

JNIM and FLA exerted significant pressure on Bamako's supply routes as of April 25, 2026, following the death of General Sadio Camara. A convoy of 700 fuel trucks was escorted from Côte d'Ivoire to support the capital, indicating logistical challenges. The coalition's actions have destabilized the Malian junta, particularly after the loss of Kidal and Tessalit, forcing military leaders to reassess their strategies.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSun May 24 2026

Cabo Delgado counts 26 dead in May 2026 — the Islamic State tests the depth of Mozambique

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Islamic State fighters attacked Messanja in Chiúre, Cabo Delgado on May 17, 2026, burning houses and a church, leading to 26 reported deaths. The group has regained mobility, causing civilian displacement and testing the southern margins of Cabo Delgado. Local militias, known as Naparama, attempted to resist but faced significant challenges.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat May 23 2026
Nigeria and the United States kill 175 Islamic State fighters — Lake Chad becomes an American theater again

Nigeria and the United States kill 175 Islamic State fighters — Lake Chad becomes an American theater again

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 19, 2026, coordinated airstrikes by the Nigerian Armed Forces and U.S. Africa Command killed 175 ISIS fighters in Metele, Borno, Nigeria. This operation marks a significant escalation in U.S. military involvement in the region, transitioning from technical support to offensive actions. The strikes also resulted in the death of Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, a prominent ISIS leader, indicating a targeted approach against key figures in the organization.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat May 23 2026
Terra Industries in Ghana aims for 50,000 drones and changes Sahelian security 2026

Terra Industries in Ghana aims for 50,000 drones and changes Sahelian security 2026

Weapons & EquipmentLogisticsOperational

Terra Industries is constructing a drone manufacturing facility in Accra, Ghana, with a goal of producing 50,000 drones annually by 2028. This initiative aims to enhance local security capabilities against armed groups in the Sahel region. The facility will focus on producing surveillance and tactical drones, addressing the operational needs of security forces in West Africa.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri May 22 2026