Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Russia Went to War With Smuggled Starlink and Now Musk Can Cut Them Off
Russian troops lost access to thousands of smuggled Starlink terminals in February 2023, severely disrupting their communications and drone operations. This loss coincided with Ukraine's recapture of Kosivtseve in Zaporizhzhia. SpaceX's implementation of a whitelist system cut off Russian forces, leading to chaos in their command and control. Military analysts noted that this dependency on commercial technology poses risks for both Russian and NATO operations.
Alexandra ReevesMon Feb 16 2026Loading...Saab Has Big Plans to Replace the JAS 39 Gripen Fighter
Sweden is developing a next-generation air combat system under the KFS program, led by Saab, which aims to replace the JAS 39 Gripen with a system-of-systems approach that includes both crewed and uncrewed aircraft. The program is supported by FMV funding and focuses on integrating AI and advanced stealth capabilities, with a demonstrator flight expected around 2027 and broader decisions by 2030.
3 Reasons Russia Can’t Win in the War in Ukraine
Russia's military campaign in Ukraine has stalled significantly, with logistical failures and corruption undermining its efforts. As of Day 1,418 of the invasion, Ukraine maintains control over more than 80% of its territory. The Russian Army's inability to sustain operations has turned the conflict into a war of attrition, with ongoing challenges in command and supply.
NATO's Arctic Awakening Came Two Decades Too Late
NATO launched its first coordinated Arctic operation, Arctic Sentry, on February 11, 2023, involving tens of thousands of personnel and equipment. The operation aims to enhance military coordination among allies in response to Russia's military buildup in the Arctic. The UK announced it will increase its troop presence in Norway to 2,000 over the next three years. Despite these efforts, NATO's capabilities in the Arctic remain limited compared to Russia's established military infrastructure.
Alexandra ReevesMon Feb 16 2026Loading...Russia's New Type of Glide-Guided Bomb Deployed in Actual Combat
On February 10, 2023, the Russian Aerospace Forces deployed the new UMPB-5 glide-guided bomb in combat for the first time in Ukraine. This bomb, which has a range exceeding 200 kilometers, is designed to target fortified positions and is equipped with advanced guidance systems. Military experts believe its introduction will significantly impact the operational capabilities of Russian forces.
Army Quote of the Day by George Patton: ‘You are not all going to die. Only 2% of you right here today would die in a major battle. Death must not be feared.’
The U.S. Army's Third Army suffered 798 casualties during the Battle of Fort Driant from September 27 to October 13, 1944, with no territorial gains. General Patton's warnings about the Soviet threat were disregarded by senior leaders, leading to significant political consequences. Patton's final defeat came from a vehicle accident in December 1945, resulting in his death.
Germany's Wargame Just Proved NATO Can't Defend the Baltics
Russia executed a successful military wargame against NATO, capturing Marijampole, Lithuania, within three days using 15,000 troops, drones, and landmines. NATO failed to invoke Article 5, revealing significant decision-making delays. The exercise highlighted the Suwalki Gap as a critical vulnerability for NATO, prompting Germany and Poland to enhance defensive measures in the region.
Alexandra ReevesSun Feb 15 2026Loading...China Doesn’t Need to Sink U.S. Navy Aircraft Carriers to Defeat Them
China has modernized its military capabilities to counter U.S. aircraft carriers, focusing on anti-ship ballistic missiles and enhanced surveillance systems. This modernization aims to compel U.S. carriers to operate at greater distances from conflict zones, thereby reducing their operational effectiveness. The People's Liberation Army has learned from past crises, particularly the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis, and has institutionalized these lessons in its military planning.
Russian losses in the war exceeded 1.25 million — the rate of decline is accelerating contrary to forecasts
Russian Armed Forces have suffered over 1.25 million personnel losses in the conflict as of February 15, 2026, with daily losses reaching 1,250. The rate of casualties is increasing, surpassing previous peaks, and the military is struggling to replenish its ranks effectively. Equipment losses are also significant, including over 11,672 tanks and 24,037 armored vehicles, indicating a severe degradation of military capability.
Dmitri VolkovSun Feb 15 2026Loading...Poland and Lithuania Just Turned NATO's Weakest Link into a Training Ground
Poland and Lithuania established a cross-border training ground in the Suwalki Gap to enhance NATO's military presence. On January 25, Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda announced a €100 million investment for a brigade-sized facility in Kapčiamiestis. This initiative aims to deter Russian aggression by transforming the region into a permanent NATO military hub, with Polish and Lithuanian forces conducting joint exercises.
Alexandra ReevesSun Feb 15 2026Loading...Russia destroys Ukraine’s cruise missile production
A Russian missile strike destroyed a production line for Ukraine's Flamingo cruise missile on February 14, 2026, disrupting production at a key facility. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy confirmed the attack during a briefing, stating that production has since resumed. The Flamingo missile is crucial for Ukraine's long-range strike capabilities, with mass production expected to begin in early 2026.
Ukrainian Drone Attack in Luhansk Injures 19 People
Ukrainian drones attacked Central Town in Perevalsk, Luhansk Oblast on February 14, injuring 19 civilians, including 3 seriously and 1 child. The attack resulted in significant damage to residential and public infrastructure.
NATO Lost Two Battalions in Half a Day to Ten Ukrainian Drone Pilots
Ukrainian drone operators destroyed two NATO battalions during a military exercise in Estonia last May, revealing critical operational flaws in NATO's approach. The exercise demonstrated the effectiveness of Ukraine's Delta battlefield-management system, which coordinated drone strikes that eliminated numerous armored vehicles. NATO forces struggled with concealment and suffered significant losses, underscoring a gap in drone capabilities compared to Ukraine.
Alexandra ReevesSat Feb 14 2026Loading...The Netherlands will send an amphibious transport ship to participate in the "Arctic Sentinel" operation.
The Netherlands will deploy the amphibious transport ship 'John Dewitt' to Norway for the 'Cold Response' military exercise from March 9 to 20, 2023. This exercise involves approximately 25,000 military personnel from 14 NATO countries and is part of the broader 'Arctic Sentinel' operation aimed at strengthening NATO's presence in the Arctic region.
Russia claims control of four towns, Ukraine says port railway was attacked
Russian forces have taken control of four villages in Ukraine, including Chuhunivka and Sydorivka, between February 7 and 13, 2023. They conducted drone strikes on Odesa, resulting in one civilian death and six injuries, while also damaging port infrastructure. Additionally, Russian air defense intercepted several Ukrainian missiles and drones during this period.
‘Reduced to atoms’: The devastating 1945 Allied bombing campaign in Dresden
Allied forces conducted a devastating bombing campaign on Dresden from February 13 to 14, 1945, involving British Lancaster bombers and American B-17s. The attacks resulted in approximately 25,000 deaths and the destruction of 75,000 homes, with many victims succumbing to carbon monoxide poisoning. The city, previously relatively unscathed, faced unprecedented destruction and loss of life.
US Army leaders say future European fight could mean 1,500 targets daily
U.S. Army leaders prepare for a potential large-scale war in Europe, projecting the need to manage 1,500 targets daily. The Dynamic Front 26 exercise emphasizes multinational coordination and the use of automation and AI to process targeting data efficiently. Brig. Gen. Steven Carpenter noted the necessity to intercept up to 1,200 missiles daily, highlighting the challenges of modern warfare.
NATO Wants to Hit 1,500 Targets a Day and Make War Unthinkable
NATO conducted the Dynamic Front 26 exercise, rehearsing the capability to strike 1,500 targets and intercept 1,200 ballistic missiles in a single day across Romania, Germany, Poland, and Spain. The U.S. Army's 56th Multi-Domain Command led the exercise, emphasizing deterrence through overwhelming firepower and advanced coordination using the ASCA software platform. This exercise reflects lessons learned from the Ukraine conflict and aims to ensure no nation considers aggression against NATO territory.
Alexandra ReevesFri Feb 13 2026Loading...219 Drones and 24 Missiles in One Night — Russia's Massive Attacks on Ukraine's Energy as a System of Depleting Air Defense
On February 12, 2026, the Russian Armed Forces launched a massive combined strike involving 219 drones and 24 ballistic missiles against energy infrastructure in Kyiv, Odessa, and Dnipro. This operation aimed to exhaust Ukrainian air defense capabilities while targeting civilian heating during extreme cold. The cost-effectiveness of the Russian strategy highlights a significant disparity in military expenditure between the two sides.
Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 13 2026Loading...
US-NATO exercise rehearses taking out 1,500 targets a day to ‘overwhelm’ an enemy
The U.S. Army and NATO allies conducted the Dynamic Front exercise in Germany, focusing on enhancing artillery capabilities to target 1,500 enemy positions and intercept 600 to 1200 ballistic missiles within 24 hours. The exercise aims to prepare for potential aggressions against NATO territory, with plans to integrate new technologies like decoy drones and electronic warfare systems in future simulations.
