Analysis & Reports

On August 3, 2026, Russia confirmed its nuclear guarantees to CSTO allies, emphasizing the potential use of nuclear weapons for their defense. This statement, made by Russia's representative, follows significant military exercises involving 64,000 troops and highlights Belarus as the only CSTO member with practical nuclear assurances. The announcement serves as a strategic signal to Western capitals, CSTO member states, and the domestic audience, amidst ongoing military challenges in Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 10 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones destroyed an S-400 air defense system in Gelendzhik on the night of August 9, along with four other Russian air defense systems and three vessels in the Black Sea. This operation marks a significant escalation in Ukraine's campaign against Russian air defenses, targeting critical military assets deep within Russian-held territory. The attacks included the destruction of radar systems essential for the operation of the S-400, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's military capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 09 2026Loading...

On August 5, 2026, Ukrainian intelligence reported that Russia is preparing to deploy North Korean missile units in Voronezh, including approximately 90 soldiers, 6 launchers, and up to 120 ballistic missiles (KN-23 and KN-24). This marks a transition for North Korea from merely supplying missiles to actively operating them alongside Russian forces, indicating a new level of military collaboration.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 08 2026Loading...

On August 3, 2026, Russia confirmed the potential use of nuclear weapons to protect its allies, as stated by its representative in Moscow. This announcement follows extensive military exercises involving 64,000 troops and various missile tests. The statement reflects a strategic shift in Russia's nuclear doctrine amid evolving European security dynamics, particularly concerning NATO's expansion and Finland's recent legislative changes regarding nuclear weapons.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 07 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched a coordinated attack on August 3-4, 2026, utilizing 136 drones and 1 Iskander-M missile, targeting multiple locations in Ukraine including Rostov Oblast and Oryol. Despite 117 drones being intercepted, 14 drones successfully struck targets across 14 areas. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian military tactics, emphasizing a diverse array of strike capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 04 2026Loading...

Four A-50U aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces returned to daily duty on July 7, 2026, following increased operational activity due to Ukrainian strikes. The aircraft had conducted approximately 60 flights over the summer, primarily from bases in Ivanovo and Ulyanovsk. This operational shift reflects a response to the need for enhanced air surveillance and early warning capabilities amid ongoing military engagements.

Dmitri VolkovTue Aug 04 2026Loading...

Rostec Corporation reported a 42% decline in net profit in 2026, limiting its production of Iskander missiles and T-90M tanks. The company, which produces around 80% of military equipment used in the Ukraine conflict, is facing significant financial challenges, impacting its ability to meet defense orders. Various subsidiaries have also reported losses, indicating a broader issue within the Russian defense industry regarding production costs and profitability.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 03 2026Loading...

Ukrainian FP-1 drones attacked the Lukoil-Volgograd oil refinery and logistical targets in Krasnodar Krai and Crimea on July 31, 2023. This operation threatens 15 million tons of annual oil processing and highlights the vulnerability of Russian logistics. The strikes demonstrate Ukraine's ability to reach significant targets deep within Russian territory, impacting military supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 31 2026Loading...

In July 2026, the Russian Armed Forces deployed 24 Pantsir air defense systems around Moscow in response to increased drone threats from Ukraine. This deployment includes additional Pantsir-SMD systems and S-400 systems, indicating a strategic shift in protecting critical infrastructure. Ukrainian drone strikes targeted various locations, including Rostov and Sarapul, prompting this military adaptation.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted a drone strike on the Iranian cargo ship Anna in the Caspian Sea on July 25, 2023, resulting in one sailor's death and damage to several vessels. This incident exposed vulnerabilities in the military logistics between Russia and Iran, as Ukraine asserts the ship was linked to military cargo transport. The strike signifies an expansion of Ukraine's operational reach, challenging Russian supply lines.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces struck the Iranian vessel Anna in the Caspian Sea on 27-28 July 2023, targeting a supply route for drones between Russia and Iran. This operation is part of Ukraine's broader strategy to disrupt Russian logistics and military supply chains. Iranian officials reported casualties among the crew, indicating the strike's impact on the ongoing military cooperation between Russia and Iran.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

Twenty-four new Pantsir air defense systems were deployed around Moscow in July 2026, indicating a shift in Russian military strategy towards domestic defense. This deployment coincided with an increase in military personnel to 2,426,130, as President Putin recognized the need for enhanced internal security. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian infrastructure, highlighting the evolving nature of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026Loading...

The Russian Navy canceled the Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg in July 2026 due to security concerns stemming from Ukrainian long-range strikes. President Zelensky announced Ukraine's capability to target locations over 3000 kilometers away, prompting a reassessment of Russian military logistics and air defense. This cancellation reflects a significant shift in the operational environment, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian defenses and the impact of Ukrainian drone operations on Russian military activities.

Dmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026Loading...

North Korea is preparing to send 30,000 soldiers to Russia, as reported by Ukrainian intelligence in July 2026. This move indicates a significant shift in Russia's military strategy, reflecting challenges in domestic recruitment and the need for foreign troops. The North Korean contingent is expected to support various military operations in the region, particularly in Voronezh Oblast.

Dmitri VolkovSun Jul 26 2026Loading...

In July 2026, Russian forces launched over 25 ballistic missiles and 125 drones against Ukraine, exceeding their monthly production capacity. Despite the extensive use of these weapons, the operations have not achieved a decisive breakthrough on the front lines. Ukrainian forces reported successful interceptions of many of these attacks, while also conducting strikes on Russian logistics and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovSat Jul 25 2026Loading...

A Ukrainian FPV drone struck a Russian T-72B3A tank equipped with the Arena-M active protection system near Mayak on July 23-24, 2026. The system failed to prevent the strike, raising concerns about its effectiveness against modern drone threats. This incident occurred within a column of ten Russian tanks, indicating potential vulnerabilities in Russian armored units.

Dmitri VolkovFri Jul 24 2026Loading...

A Su-57 aircraft of the Russian Air Force crashed in Moscow Oblast during a training flight on July 23, 2026. The pilot ejected safely, and the crash occurred during takeoff in a remote area, with no reported damage on the ground. This incident highlights ongoing concerns regarding the operational reliability of the Su-57 program, which has faced challenges in production and deployment.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on July 23, 2026, targeting a refinery in Ulyanovsk, a pumping station in Bashkortostan, and logistics centers in Voronezh. These operations involved 223 drones and aimed to disrupt Russian military logistics. The attacks have prompted evacuations and raised concerns about the vulnerability of Russian supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces targeted and reported damage to 13 Russian vessels in the Black and Azov Seas on July 21-22, 2026. The operation included 10 cargo ships, 2 tugboats, and 1 tanker, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's naval engagement. This campaign aims to disrupt Russian maritime logistics, highlighting vulnerabilities in their supply chain.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026Loading...

Russia launched a nighttime strike involving 216 drones and 4 missiles, targeting civilian infrastructure in Kyiv and Odesa on July 21-22, 2026. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 204 drones and 3 missiles, but damage occurred to residential buildings and gas pipelines. This operation illustrates a shift in Russian tactics, emphasizing mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026Loading...