Analysis & Reports

Between April 25 and June 9, 2026, 73 civilians were killed in Mali due to conflicts involving JNIM, FLA, and Africa Corps. Notable incidents occurred in Zambougou, Gao, and Kidal, where military operations targeted civilian populations. The JNIM has intensified attacks on supply routes, exacerbating the humanitarian crisis and threatening the stability of Bamako and surrounding areas.

Marie DuboisFri Jul 03 2026Loading...

The Unified Force of the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) is deploying 6,000 troops to seek a route out of the Sahel trap, focusing on military coordination among Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. In July 2026, the AES aims to establish a command chain for cross-border operations, responding to recent jihadist attacks on strategic locations. The operation Yereko 2 has shown minimal coordination capabilities, highlighting the challenges faced by the AES in the region.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

JNIM and FLA are conducting coordinated attacks to encircle Bamako in 2026, targeting supply routes and civilian vehicles. This has created a siege-like situation, disrupting fuel supplies and military logistics. The attacks have affected multiple locations, including Gao, Kidal, and Mopti, and have led to significant civilian impacts.

Marie DuboisThu Jul 02 2026Loading...

The Combined Maritime Task Force (CMTF) launched on June 1, 2026, in Lagos, aims to enhance maritime security against piracy in the Gulf of Guinea, involving 26 countries. Nigeria has contributed initial resources, including three ships and personnel, but the success of the CMTF hinges on cooperation among member states and addressing logistical challenges. Despite a reduction in piracy, the region remains vulnerable to organized crime, necessitating a coordinated response.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

JNIM's siege of Bamako has resulted in the deaths of 73 civilians since the offensive began on April 25, 2023. In Zambougou, civilians were forced off buses and vehicles were burned. The Malian Armed Forces have also conducted operations leading to civilian casualties, including drone strikes. The ongoing conflict has severely impacted civilian life, with fuel shortages and increased violence in the region.

Marie DuboisMon Jun 29 2026Loading...

The Nigerian Army inaugurated a wargaming center in Abuja on June 26, 2023, to enhance military planning against Boko Haram and ISWAP. This center aims to improve coordination across land, maritime, air, cyber, and informational dimensions. Despite claims of neutralizing over 13,000 terrorists, challenges remain in controlling rural areas and ensuring effective military responses. The center is expected to facilitate better strategic assessments and logistical planning for future operations.

Marie DuboisSun Jun 28 2026Loading...

JNIM attacked military positions in Koualou, Benin, resulting in casualties among soldiers and civilians, and the loss of weapons and equipment. The Benin Armed Forces, with around 12,000 active personnel, are facing challenges from jihadist groups operating from neighboring countries. The government is increasing defense spending to address these threats, but logistical and operational challenges remain significant.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 27 2026Loading...

U.S. forces conducted airstrikes against al-Shabaab in Somalia between June 14 and June 19, 2026, with at least 68 strikes reported since the beginning of the year. General Christopher Donahue is set to leave his command of U.S. Army Europe and Africa, impacting operations in the region. The campaign increasingly relies on bases in Djibouti and Kenya, while the U.S. seeks to enhance its engagement with local Somali leaders.

Marie DuboisThu Jun 25 2026Loading...

Colombian contractors, known as Lobos del Desierto, are actively participating in drone warfare alongside the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan as of June 2026. They are providing critical skills in drone operation and logistics, significantly impacting the conflict. The RSF has adapted its tactics, leading to increased drone strikes that have resulted in over 1,000 civilian casualties. Key logistical routes for these contractors involve complex international travel.

Marie DuboisThu Jun 18 2026Loading...

JNIM has established a logistical blockade affecting supply routes to Bamako, significantly disrupting the flow of goods and resources. This blockade, which began after coordinated attacks in April 2026, targets key routes from Dakar, Conakry, and Abidjan, leading to shortages and increased prices in the capital. The group aims to exert pressure on the Malian state by making transportation too risky and costly.

Marie DuboisTue Jun 16 2026Loading...

Mali has militarized 35 forest areas as of June 3, 2026, to counter the operations of the JNIM group. This initiative aims to control supply routes and disrupt JNIM's activities in strategic locations. The move follows recent coordinated attacks by JNIM on various points in Mali, indicating a shift in military strategy to enhance operational control in the region.

Marie DuboisSat Jun 06 2026Loading...

JNIM imposed a blockade on roads leading to Bamako in May 2026, significantly increasing the price of sheep and impacting local families ahead of Tabaski. The blockade has disrupted supply routes, forcing the military to divert resources for escorting convoys. While supplies still reach Bamako, the reduced flow creates economic pressure, indicating a strategic shift in the conflict dynamics in Mali.

Marie DuboisFri May 29 2026Loading...

JNIM and FLA exerted significant pressure on Bamako's supply routes as of April 25, 2026, following the death of General Sadio Camara. A convoy of 700 fuel trucks was escorted from Côte d'Ivoire to support the capital, indicating logistical challenges. The coalition's actions have destabilized the Malian junta, particularly after the loss of Kidal and Tessalit, forcing military leaders to reassess their strategies.

Marie DuboisSun May 24 2026Loading...

Terra Industries is constructing a drone manufacturing facility in Accra, Ghana, with a goal of producing 50,000 drones annually by 2028. This initiative aims to enhance local security capabilities against armed groups in the Sahel region. The facility will focus on producing surveillance and tactical drones, addressing the operational needs of security forces in West Africa.

Marie DuboisFri May 22 2026Loading...

In 2026, a humanitarian crisis due to famine threatens 6 million Somalis, particularly in Burhakaba, Baidoa, and Hiiraan. Al-Shabaab is exploiting the situation to enhance its operational capabilities as government forces engage in conflicts with local militias. The closure of the Kenyan border complicates trade and security, while the rising costs of essential supplies hinder humanitarian efforts.

Marie DuboisMon May 18 2026Loading...

On May 16, 2023, U.S. forces conducted a successful operation resulting in the death of ISWAP leader Abubakar Mainok in Maiduguri. Concurrently, over 400 Starlink terminals were seized from insurgent networks, indicating ISWAP's logistical capabilities. The report also highlights recent attacks on schools and military brigades, demonstrating ongoing insurgent activity in the region.

Marie DuboisSun May 17 2026Loading...

On April 25, 2026, JNIM and FLA conducted coordinated attacks across five Malian cities, including a suicide bombing that killed the Defense Minister in Kati. This operation marks a significant strategic shift, as JNIM, with 5,000 to 6,000 fighters, has initiated an economic blockade of Bamako, aiming to undermine the Malian state. The attacks reflect a growing sophistication in tactics and a new alliance between jihadist and secular separatist forces.

Marie DuboisFri May 15 2026Loading...

On April 25, 2026, armed groups launched coordinated attacks in Mali, targeting Bamako, Gao, and Kidal, leading to the assassination of Defense Minister Sadio Camara. The Russian African Corps was expelled from Kidal, marking a significant setback for Moscow. Concurrently, the U.S. military increased its presence in Nigeria for counter-terrorism support, while Morocco emerged as a key trainer in the Flintlock 2026 exercise, involving nearly 1,000 elite troops from over 30 nations. The situation reflects a complex and evolving security landscape in the Sahel region.

Marie DuboisMon May 11 2026Loading...

A resurgence of piracy off the coast of Somalia occurred between April 20 and April 27, 2026, with at least three merchant vessels captured. The Puntland Maritime Police Force alerted EUNAVFOR about the capture of the fishing vessel Alkhary 2, followed by the boarding of the oil tanker MT Honour 25 and the cargo ship Sward. The UKMTO raised the threat level for Somali waters, indicating a significant deterioration in maritime security.

Marie DuboisTue May 05 2026Loading...

On April 25, 2026, the JNIM and FLA launched a coordinated offensive against multiple strategic locations in Mali, including Bamako and Kidal, involving 10,000 to 12,000 fighters. The offensive marks a significant territorial setback for the Malian government, highlighted by the assassination of Defense Minister Sadio Camara. The situation has escalated with JNIM blocking access routes to Bamako, leading to a humanitarian crisis as civilians are stranded.

Marie DuboisFri May 01 2026Loading...