Analysis & Reports
AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources
Ukraine Refinery Strikes Push Russian Gasoline Up 3 Percent
Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on Russian oil infrastructure in Krasnodar Krai and Ufa in June 2026, leading to a 3% increase in gasoline prices in Russia. This has resulted in significant fuel shortages across most Russian regions, affecting military logistics. The Russian Central Bank's interest rate cuts are being challenged by rising fuel costs, which may impact inflation expectations among the public.
Alexandra ReevesFri Jun 26 2026Loading...
257 clashes in a day show the new price of Russian pressure near Pokrovsk
On June 26, 2026, Russian forces engaged in 257 combat incidents, with 31 assaults in Pokrovsk and additional attacks in Sloviansk and Huliaipole. Ukrainian reports indicate 1310 Russian personnel losses and significant equipment losses, including 68 artillery systems. The Russian military employed a combination of ground assaults, missile strikes, and drone operations, reflecting a sustained pressure strategy against Ukrainian defenses.
Dmitri VolkovFri Jun 26 2026Loading...Russia claims to have shot down 47 drones heading towards Moscow.
Russian air defense systems shot down 47 drones targeting Moscow on June 26, 2023, between 2:24 AM and 7:23 AM. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported that a total of 660 Ukrainian fixed-wing drones were intercepted and destroyed overnight across multiple locations.
Ukraine’s top strike-drone maker moves into ballistic missile defense
Fire Point is advancing into missile defense by signing a deal to produce the Freyja ballistic missile interceptor system in collaboration with German firms. The company, which produces drones responsible for 60% of Ukraine's strikes inside Russia, aims to mass-produce the FP-7.X interceptor system starting in August 2023. This development positions Fire Point as a key player in both offensive and defensive military capabilities for Ukraine.
Ukraine’s newest strike weapon drifts into Russia on the wind
Ukraine has developed the DART missile, which is launched from balloons to strike deep into Russian territory, including Moscow. This new weapon system is designed to evade Russian jamming and has been used in recent military operations. Over 1,000 balloons have been deployed for this purpose, enhancing Ukraine's strike capabilities against Russian defenses.
Claims of suspension of the Ukraine-White Border relay station, orders for preemptive strikes on Russian facilities, Zelensky accused of achieving a "fantasy victory"
Ukrainian President Zelensky announced preemptive strikes against Russian facilities on October 24, following reports that Russian drones ceased operations along the Belarus-Ukraine border. Ukraine targeted oil storage and refineries in Krasnodar Krai, leading to significant fuel shortages in Russia. Russian air defense systems intercepted 269 drones over various regions, indicating ongoing military engagements.
Russia Designed a Powerful New Warship, Then Couldn’t Build It, Because the Engines Came From the Country It Invaded
The Russian Navy is developing the Gorshkov-class frigates, with three currently operational and plans for up to 30. The program has faced significant delays due to engine supply issues from Ukraine and various technical problems. The frigates are equipped with advanced missile systems and designed for anti-air, anti-ship, and land-attack operations, showcasing Russia's efforts to modernize its naval capabilities.
Russia claims Ukrainian army attacked Crimea, Ukraine says multiple regions were hit.
Ukrainian armed forces launched attacks on Crimea, resulting in 2 deaths and 2 injuries. Concurrently, Russian forces conducted drone and artillery strikes on Sumy, Kherson, and Dnipropetrovsk, injuring at least 9 individuals. These events occurred between June 24 and June 25, 2023.
The Crimean Drone Campaign of 2026 Forces Russia to Tighten Air Defense Around the Bridge
Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on energy infrastructure in Crimea on June 25, 2026, leading to significant disruptions in power supply and transportation. The Russian military is reportedly redeploying air defense systems to Moscow and the Kerch Bridge in response to these attacks. The situation has resulted in long queues of vehicles at the Kerch Bridge and a reduction in train services to Crimea, highlighting the increasing vulnerability of the region.
Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...
Translators for "Geraniums" in Belarus fell silent on June 22 — how the Russian strike scheme is changing
Relay stations in Belarus used for coordinating Russian drone strikes stopped functioning on June 22, 2026, impacting the operational capabilities of the Russian Armed Forces. Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 83 out of 90 Russian drones on June 25, indicating ongoing drone operations despite the communication disruption. This situation may alter the routes and tactics of Russian drone attacks, as Belarusian infrastructure played a crucial role in their operations.
Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...
Ukraine sinks three Russian drone boats with Bayraktar strikes
Ukrainian forces destroyed three Russian explosive drone boats in the Black Sea on June 23 at 4:00 a.m. using Bayraktar TB2 combat drones. The operation involved coordinated actions by multiple units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, marking a significant use of the drones in a direct attack role. The destroyed boats were equipped with Starlink satellite terminals, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian maritime drone operations.
The 25 Percent Drop in Gasoline Production Reveals a New Weakness in the Russian War
Gasoline production in Russia decreased by 25% from June 15 to June 21, 2025, revealing vulnerabilities in the Russian war effort. Fuel supply restrictions have been implemented across various regions, and the government is contemplating increasing fuel imports to address the crisis. The situation is exacerbated by Ukrainian drone strikes targeting oil refining facilities, affecting military logistics and operations.
Dmitri VolkovThu Jun 25 2026Loading...Chinese Experts Propose Low-Cost Air Defense Solutions Against Drones
Russian military experts proposed new low-cost air defense solutions to counter increasing drone threats, including utilizing old Su-27 and Su-30 aircraft. In the past week, Russian air defense systems intercepted 4124 Ukrainian drones, with significant activity on June 18 and 20. Experts also suggested establishing specialized anti-drone units and employing passive defense measures such as nets and radar-equipped balloons.
Russia claims control of certain settlements, Ukraine claims to strike Russian energy facilities.
Russian forces took control of the Ivorzhanskoye settlement in the Sumy region on the 24th and conducted strikes against Ukrainian military positions and infrastructure. In response, Ukrainian forces launched airstrikes on a gas refinery and helium plant in Orenburg Oblast, over 1200 km from the front line, causing fires at both facilities. Additionally, Ukrainian forces targeted a drone warehouse in Belgorod Oblast.
Ukrainian Army Strikes Russian Natural Gas Refinery and Helium Plant
Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted airstrikes on a gas refinery and helium plant in Orenburg, Russia, on June 24. The gas refinery, which has a processing capacity of 45 billion cubic meters, and the helium plant, vital for defense and aerospace, were both set on fire. This operation took place over 1200 kilometers from the Ukrainian front line, with damage assessments currently underway.
Stalemate in the War, Russia and Ukraine Propose Talks Again
Intense fighting continues between Russian and Ukrainian forces, with Ukraine increasing drone attacks on Crimea and Russia advancing in Donbas, particularly in Lyman and Konstantinovka. From the evening of the 23rd to the morning of the 24th, Russian forces launched 101 drones, with Ukrainian air defense intercepting 95. Russian troops captured multiple positions in Lyman and Konstantinovka, while Ukraine retaliated with airstrikes in Crimea, impacting Sevastopol's electricity supply.
Donahue's 18-Month Exit Hits NATO's Eastern Flank at the Wrong Time
Gen. Christopher Donahue will relinquish command of U.S. Army Europe and Africa on July 2, 2026, with Maj. Gen. Christopher Norrie taking over. This leadership change occurs as NATO enhances its eastern flank in response to Russian aggression, complicating command continuity and military strategy. The Eastern Flank Deterrence Initiative is ongoing, aiming to integrate advanced defense systems against evolving threats.
Alexandra ReevesWed Jun 24 2026Loading...
S-400 in the Kerch Strait loses protective dome after strikes on June 24
Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on Russian S-400 air defense systems near the Kerch Strait on June 24, 2026, resulting in the destruction of four systems and two Pantsir-S1 systems. Additionally, the Orenburg gas processing plant was targeted, highlighting a shift in Ukrainian strategy towards critical infrastructure. Reports suggest that Russian air defense assets are being redeployed to Moscow and the Kerch Bridge, indicating a potential crisis in air defense distribution.
Dmitri VolkovWed Jun 24 2026Loading...60 Goals in Crimea Overnight Change the Logic of Russian Defense in Southern Ukraine
Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on over 60 Russian military targets in Crimea during the night of June 22-23, 2026, disrupting logistics and supply lines. Key targets included S-300 launchers and various logistical hubs, leading to a significant reduction in Russian supplies. The Russian military is reportedly adapting by enhancing camouflage and deploying mobile groups to counter Ukrainian drone operations.
Dmitri VolkovWed Jun 24 2026Loading...
My Navy's 83rd Fleet Arrives in Russia for a Friendly Visit
The Chinese Navy's 83rd fleet arrived in Vladivostok, Russia, on June 23 for a four-day friendly visit. The fleet, including the destroyer Qijiang and the Kunlunshan, was warmly welcomed by over 200 attendees, including Chinese consulate staff and Russian Navy representatives. During the visit, the Chinese personnel will tour the Russian destroyer Marshal Shaposhnikov and participate in cultural exchanges with Russian Navy personnel.
