Analysis & Reports

Thousands of European troops are gathering in Poland for the Coalition of the Willing's military exercise from November 9 to 22, 2023, preparing for a potential deployment to Ukraine post-war. The exercise involves 2,800 troops from 11 nations, led by Britain and France, focusing on logistics and command integration. The Multinational Force-Ukraine will not have a peacekeeping mandate and will only enter Ukraine at the request of the Ukrainian government.

Ukrainian President Zelensky warned of imminent Russian strikes on Dnipro bridges and energy infrastructure on 6 November 2026. The death toll from a recent attack in Komyshuvakha rose to 53, highlighting ongoing military casualties. Rustem Umerov is set to lead Ukraine's delegation in upcoming negotiations in Abu Dhabi, aimed at addressing security concerns amid escalating tensions.

Dmitri VolkovFri Nov 06 2026Loading...

Russian forces are utilizing a domestically developed satellite communications system for military operations over Ukraine as of November 6, 2026. This development follows a call from Russia's Security Council for rapid expansion of their satellite capabilities, recognizing the strategic importance of such technology in modern warfare. The integration of commercial satellite systems into military command structures poses new challenges for Ukraine and NATO.

Alexandra ReevesFri Nov 06 2026Loading...

U.S. European Command launched the 'See Something, Do Something' campaign to enhance security among its personnel in Germany amid rising hybrid threats. The initiative encourages vigilance and proactive measures against suspicious activities, particularly in crowded public areas. This comes in response to increased drone incursions and misinformation campaigns linked to Russia, emphasizing the importance of community involvement in maintaining safety.

France extended the deployment of its Atlantique 2 maritime patrol aircraft in the Black Sea in response to recent attacks on commercial vessels. The aircraft is tasked with surveillance and threat tracking, highlighting NATO's challenges in ensuring maritime security in the region. The situation has escalated with eight cargo ships reported hit, raising concerns about the safety of shipping lanes vital to NATO.

Alexandra ReevesThu Nov 05 2026Loading...

The U.S. Air Force is seeking contractors to produce over 1,000 Extended Range Attack Munitions, with deliveries starting within three months and completing within 15 months. This initiative is part of a broader effort to enhance Ukraine's military capabilities, specifically for its F-16 aircraft. Bidders must meet specific integration requirements and demonstrate the ability to produce these missiles at a rate of over 80 per month.

The U.S. military is beginning to adopt unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) following Ukraine's lead, with over $115 million committed for UGV projects in fiscal 2026. Ukraine has ordered more than 22,000 UGVs for logistics and combat roles. The U.S. Marine Corps is developing UGVs for naval strike missions, while the Army's 75th Ranger Regiment is acquiring IBEX UGVs for logistics and counter-UAV defense.

The U.S. Air Force is soliciting the defense industry for the development of the Extended Range Attack Munition (ERAM), a new cruise missile intended for Ukraine. The missile is designed to be a 500-pound class weapon with a range exceeding 250 nautical miles and is part of a broader initiative to expedite weapon production. The Air Force aims to have the first ERAMs delivered within three months of contract award, with a total of over 1,000 units planned.

Ukraine is developing the Freyja missile defense system to enhance its air defense capabilities and reduce reliance on Patriot systems. The first interceptor is expected to be operational by the end of 2026, with production ambitions of at least 2,000 units per year. This initiative involves collaboration with European partners and aims to address the urgent need for effective missile defense against Russian threats.

Alexandra ReevesMon Nov 02 2026Loading...

The Kilo-class submarine is analyzed as lacking serious threat capabilities by US Navy standards, particularly due to its limited submerged endurance and vulnerability when recharging. The report highlights that while the Kilo is quieter than some submarines, it is not undetectable and has been sold to various countries, undermining its perceived exclusivity as a military asset.

Roshel has delivered nearly 3,000 Senator armored vehicles to Ukraine since Russia's invasion in 2022. These vehicles are utilized by Ukraine's armed forces and Border Guard Service for troop transport, evacuation, and reconnaissance. Canada has provided a significant portion of these vehicles as military aid, with ongoing support from other countries as well.

Russia and China conducted military intelligence flights near Japan from October 20 to 23, 2023, coinciding with the US-Japan Keen Sword joint exercise. The Japan Air Self-Defense Force scrambled fighters daily in response to these activities. This period marked a significant increase in military reconnaissance efforts, with Japan's jet scrambles reaching a four-year high, particularly due to heightened Russian activity.

Kaliningrad's military capabilities threaten Western Europe, with Russian forces equipped with Iskander missiles and S-400 systems. The exclave's strategic position allows for potential strikes deep into Europe, necessitating urgent discussions on arms reductions and transparency measures. European leaders must address the implications of Kaliningrad in NATO planning and public messaging to mitigate risks.

Ukraine reported the loss of 1,543 Russian operational-tactical drones on October 27, 2026, highlighting significant challenges for NATO's air defense. The Ukrainian Ministry of Defence noted additional losses of artillery systems, vehicles, and cruise missiles. NATO is actively assessing these developments to improve its preparedness against similar threats in the future.

Alexandra ReevesThu Oct 29 2026Loading...

ARX Robotics and Roboneers completed initial integration tests of the SABER remote weapon station on the GEREON unmanned ground vehicle in Ukraine. They plan to deliver armed versions by the end of 2026, featuring the M2 heavy machine gun and MK 19 grenade launcher. This integration enhances the capabilities of Ukraine's Defense Forces, as the GEREON is already in service and will now support armed operations.

Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre and Finnish President Alexander Stubb held a 90-minute call with Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss the Ukraine conflict. The call, which was criticized by Denmark and met with caution from Sweden, highlighted differing views among Nordic nations on engaging with Russia. Støre reaffirmed support for Ukraine and the necessity of diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.

Ethiopia received its first 12 Russian-made Su-35 fighter jets and 4 S-400 air defense batteries on October 28, 2023, as announced by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. The delivery occurred ahead of schedule and is part of an agreement with the Russian government. Abiy described this acquisition as a significant enhancement to Ethiopia's defense capabilities, positioning the country as a leader in military strength among Sub-Saharan African nations.

Ukraine requires 150 Patriot interceptors monthly to defend against Russian missile attacks, but NATO cannot meet this demand. On October 28, 2026, Russia launched ballistic missiles and drones targeting Kyiv, highlighting the urgency of Ukraine's air defense needs. The report emphasizes the limitations of NATO's production capabilities and the strategic implications for Ukraine's defense posture.

Alexandra ReevesWed Oct 28 2026Loading...

A Russian-coordinated network allegedly set fire to the Carfil defense plant in Brașov, Romania, as part of a broader hybrid threat strategy against NATO. Romanian authorities are investigating the incident, which involves suspects from Belarus and Ukraine. This operation is seen as a significant violation of NATO's security, highlighting the increasing pressure on the alliance's eastern flank.

Alexandra ReevesTue Oct 27 2026Loading...

The U.S. administration is contemplating a trilateral summit with Russia and China in China to discuss the Ukraine conflict, potentially sidelining Ukraine and Europe. This approach risks undermining NATO's cohesion and increasing China's influence in Europe, as trust within the alliance diminishes. The implications of this policy could significantly affect transatlantic relations and the future of European security.