Analysis & Reports

Ukrainian forces have transitioned to a counteroffensive in southern Zaporizhzhia Oblast, liberating 168.9 square kilometers since January 1, 2026. They executed a precision strike on the Votkinsk Machine Building Plant in Russia, demonstrating enhanced deep-strike capabilities. Meanwhile, Russian territorial gains have significantly slowed, reflecting attrition and improved Ukrainian defenses. The evolving military landscape indicates a shift in operational dynamics as Ukraine adapts its strategies.

Dmitri VolkovMon Feb 23 2026Loading...

On February 17, 2026, Russian air defense systems destroyed over 150 Ukrainian drones in a single night, with a total of approximately 300 UAVs intercepted within 24 hours. The attacks focused on strategic sites in the Black Sea, Azov Sea, Crimea, and Krasnodar Krai. Concurrently, Russia presented new air defense technologies at the World Defense Show 2026, indicating a shift towards enhanced counter-drone capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 20 2026Loading...

The Russian military has significantly increased production of the 'Upyr-18' drone and is utilizing 'Geran-2' drones as carriers for FPV drones to enhance tactical capabilities. This shift reflects a broader strategy to compensate for technological gaps through mass production and innovative applications of existing systems. As of February 2026, Russian forces have reportedly suffered approximately 1,257,880 personnel losses since the start of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 20 2026Loading...

The B-52H Stratofortress, Tu-95MS Bear, and B-2 Spirit are actively utilized in military operations as of 2026, with the B-52H serving as a versatile platform for standoff strikes. The Tu-95MS has been employed in Russia's strategic air campaign against Ukraine, launching Kh-101 missiles from a distance. The B-2 Spirit remains the only aircraft capable of penetrating advanced air defenses, underscoring its critical role in nuclear deterrence.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

The ongoing war in Ukraine has highlighted the performance of various main battle tanks, including the M1 Abrams, Leopard 2, T-90, and Type 99. The M1 Abrams is recognized for its advanced armor and active protection systems, while the Leopard 2A7V has faced significant losses due to vulnerabilities. The T-90M has demonstrated improved survivability, and the Type 99A's capabilities remain largely untested in combat. This analysis underscores the importance of active protection systems in modern armored warfare.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine with 396 drones and 29 missiles on February 16-17, 2026, as negotiations in Geneva continued. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 367 drones and 25 missiles. The military actions are part of a strategy to exert pressure during diplomatic talks, highlighting the ongoing conflict and the complexities of the negotiations.

Dmitri VolkovWed Feb 18 2026Loading...

Russian Armed Forces have suffered over 1.25 million personnel losses in the conflict as of February 15, 2026, with daily losses reaching 1,250. The rate of casualties is increasing, surpassing previous peaks, and the military is struggling to replenish its ranks effectively. Equipment losses are also significant, including over 11,672 tanks and 24,037 armored vehicles, indicating a severe degradation of military capability.

Dmitri VolkovSun Feb 15 2026Loading...

The Russian Army is testing an experimental drone defense system using rotating cables in Zaporizhzhia Oblast as of February 2026. This system, developed by the 70th Guards Motor Rifle Regiment, aims to address the threat posed by FPV drones, which existing air defense systems have struggled to counter. The prototype was showcased on Russian state television, highlighting a shift in military tactics.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 12 2026Loading...

Construction of infrastructure for the 'Oreshnik' missile system was observed at the Krichiv-6 airfield in Belarus on February 9, 2026. The Russian Armed Forces are preparing for the deployment of 4-6 units, despite currently having only 3-4 systems available. This development indicates a strategic move to enhance military presence in Belarus and signal political integration with the country.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 12 2026Loading...

On February 8, 2026, a Ukrainian STING interceptor shot down a modified Shahed-2 drone equipped with an R-60 missile. This incident marks the third confirmed use of R-60 missiles on drones, indicating a tactical shift by Russian forces. The missiles, originally designed for air-to-air combat, are now being adapted for drone warfare, reflecting the challenges faced by Russian forces in achieving operational effectiveness against Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovMon Feb 09 2026Loading...

In 2025, Belarus adopted 16 new military products, indicating a shift towards deeper integration with the Russian defense industry. The Belarusian defense sector is increasingly reliant on foreign components, particularly from North Korea and China, raising concerns about its technological independence. The export of military products to 65 countries suggests Belarus is acting as an intermediary for Russian arms, further complicating its position amid sanctions.

Dmitri VolkovSat Feb 07 2026Loading...