Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

P1-SUN JetKiller to Launch in Series in August 2026 — Ukraine Changes Its Economy of Fighting "Shaheds"

P1-SUN JetKiller to Launch in Series in August 2026 — Ukraine Changes Its Economy of Fighting "Shaheds"

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukraine plans to produce the P1-SUN JetKiller interceptor starting in August 2026 to counter Iranian Shahed drones and their Russian variants. The interceptor is designed for a range of 30 kilometers and will utilize AI for guidance. Skyfall aims to manufacture up to 50,000 units per month, enhancing Ukraine's air defense capabilities against mass drone attacks. Additionally, Ukraine is targeting Russian defense industries to disrupt drone production.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 24 2026
Su-57 Crashed in the Moscow Region in 2026 — Accident Affects Small Series

Su-57 Crashed in the Moscow Region in 2026 — Accident Affects Small Series

Casualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentOperational

A Su-57 aircraft of the Russian Air Force crashed in Moscow Oblast during a training flight on July 23, 2026. The pilot ejected safely, and the crash occurred during takeoff in a remote area, with no reported damage on the ground. This incident highlights ongoing concerns regarding the operational reliability of the Su-57 program, which has faced challenges in production and deployment.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026
223 drones on refineries and Wildberries — Ukraine pressures Russian military logistics in 2026

223 drones on refineries and Wildberries — Ukraine pressures Russian military logistics in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted strikes on July 23, 2026, targeting a refinery in Ulyanovsk, a pumping station in Bashkortostan, and logistics centers in Voronezh. These operations involved 223 drones and aimed to disrupt Russian military logistics. The attacks have prompted evacuations and raised concerns about the vulnerability of Russian supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 23 2026
13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted and reported damage to 13 Russian vessels in the Black and Azov Seas on July 21-22, 2026. The operation included 10 cargo ships, 2 tugboats, and 1 tanker, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's naval engagement. This campaign aims to disrupt Russian maritime logistics, highlighting vulnerabilities in their supply chain.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026
216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched a nighttime strike involving 216 drones and 4 missiles, targeting civilian infrastructure in Kyiv and Odesa on July 21-22, 2026. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 204 drones and 3 missiles, but damage occurred to residential buildings and gas pipelines. This operation illustrates a shift in Russian tactics, emphasizing mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026
Strike on MiG-29 and Pantsir-S1 in Kursk Showed the Overload of Russian Air Defense in 2026

Strike on MiG-29 and Pantsir-S1 in Kursk Showed the Overload of Russian Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Ukrainian forces struck a MiG-29 and a Pantsir-S1 air defense system at Khailino airfield on July 21, 2026. The operation was carried out by the 15th Artillery Reconnaissance Brigade, reflecting a significant impact on Russian military capabilities. This strike is part of a series of attacks targeting Russian military infrastructure in the region, indicating ongoing operational challenges for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 21 2026
Mi-8 with EW System Transforms Russian Defense Against Drones into a Mobile Dome 2026

Mi-8 with EW System Transforms Russian Defense Against Drones into a Mobile Dome 2026

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Russia is developing a mobile electronic warfare system on the Mi-8 helicopter to counter long-range UAVs, with plans to produce 72 Mi-8MTV-1 helicopters by 2026-2027. This system aims to create jamming zones for GNSS signals, allowing for rapid deployment in response to threats. The initiative reflects a shift in Russian defense strategy due to the increasing effectiveness of Ukrainian UAVs.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 21 2026

The Black Sea Strike Cycle Is Moving From Ports to Ships

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

On July 20, 2023, Ukrainian forces launched around 400 drones toward Moscow, while Russian forces struck a corn ship near Odesa, resulting in ten fatalities. This incident signifies a shift in military operations from targeting port infrastructure to attacking commercial vessels, raising concerns about maritime security. The ongoing conflict has escalated, with both sides engaging in long-range strikes affecting civilian and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026

A Strike on Wildberries Warehouses 700 Kilometers Away Changes the Price of Russian Logistics

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck two major logistics facilities of Wildberries in Elektrostal and Kotovo on the night of July 17-18, resulting in multiple casualties. The attacks underscore the vulnerability of Russian logistics infrastructure, with damage estimates suggesting significant economic impact. This incident may compel Russia to reassess its air defense priorities as the conflict expands beyond traditional military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026
107 ballistic missiles in 19 days show the limits of Russia's bet on "Zircon"

107 ballistic missiles in 19 days show the limits of Russia's bet on "Zircon"

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Russia launched 107 ballistic missiles and 20 3M22 Zircon missiles in July 2026, targeting Ukrainian air defense capabilities across Kharkiv, Odessa, and Mykolaiv Oblasts. This marks a significant increase in missile usage, indicating a strategic shift in military operations. Concurrently, Ukraine has targeted Russian oil infrastructure to disrupt missile supply lines and reduce operational costs for Russia's missile campaign.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026
Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

A Tu-95MS was reportedly destroyed at Engels airbase on July 19, 2026, indicating vulnerabilities in Russian strategic aviation. This incident reflects Ukraine's expanding operational capabilities to target Russian military infrastructure. The loss of the aircraft may lead to increased security measures at Russian airbases, impacting their operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 172 Russian maritime vessels over 13 days, prompting the withdrawal of up to 200 drone units from the front lines to protect logistics. This operation targeted key maritime assets in the Black and Azov Seas, impacting Russian supply chains. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure in occupied territories further strained Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
8 thousand UAV operators do not return the maneuver of the Russian army in Ukraine

8 thousand UAV operators do not return the maneuver of the Russian army in Ukraine

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

The Russian Army has trained 8,000 UAV operators in the first half of 2026, reflecting a shift in military strategy towards small mobile groups and UAV operations in Ukraine. The deployment of UAVs has more than doubled compared to 2025, indicating a focus on logistics and positional warfare rather than traditional mechanized maneuvers. Economic challenges are also affecting military capabilities and operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026

Noginsk Oil Depot After Drone Attack Shows Limits of Moscow's Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

UAV attacks on July 18, 2026, resulted in seven deaths and 25 injuries in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, as drones targeted sensitive infrastructure, including an oil depot in Noginsk. The attacks prompted evacuations and highlighted vulnerabilities in Moscow's air defense system, with 28 drones intercepted before reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces continue to focus on disrupting Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026
Drones "Lightning" and "Lancet" elevate Russian war logistics to refueling levels of 2026

Drones "Lightning" and "Lancet" elevate Russian war logistics to refueling levels of 2026

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

The Russian army is intensifying drone strikes on fuel stations, buses, and trucks in Ukraine as part of a logistics campaign. This operation, led by the elite Rubicon drone unit, aims to disrupt Ukrainian supply lines by targeting civilian logistics. The drones involved include Lightning and Lancet models, which are capable of real-time targeting. This shift in tactics is a response to Ukrainian strikes on Russian fuel infrastructure, increasing the operational costs for Ukrainian forces.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 17 2026
Tu-95 in Engels destroyed 800 kilometers from Ukraine — strategic aviation loses depth

Tu-95 in Engels destroyed 800 kilometers from Ukraine — strategic aviation loses depth

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 17, 2023, the Ukrainian Security Service destroyed a Tu-95 bomber in Engels, Russia, approximately 800 kilometers from Ukraine. This incident highlights the ongoing degradation of Russian strategic aviation capabilities, as the Tu-95 is a rare asset that cannot be quickly replaced. The attack signifies Ukraine's effective long-range strike capabilities against Russian military infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 17 2026
PAC-3 and Fedorov's resignation in 2026 change the price of Russian Iskanders for Ukraine

PAC-3 and Fedorov's resignation in 2026 change the price of Russian Iskanders for Ukraine

Political-MilitaryWeapons & EquipmentStrategic

Ukrainian Defense Minister Mikhail Fedorov was dismissed amid discussions of military procurement, including PAC-3 missiles, on July 16, 2023. He proposed replacing military leaders to adapt to changing war dynamics. This internal conflict reflects a shift in Ukraine's military strategy, as it seeks to address the challenges posed by Russian ballistic missile tactics. The procurement process is evolving with European funding, indicating a more structured approach to defense.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026
20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted drone operations on July 15, 2023, targeting 20 vessels in the Black Sea, including oil tankers and a tugboat. This operation is part of a larger campaign against Russian maritime logistics, which has seen intensified strikes on Odessa and surrounding areas. The Ukrainian military aims to disrupt Russian shipping and oil transport, reflecting a shift in the maritime conflict dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026
136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian naval drones targeted 136 Russian vessels between July 6 and 15, 2026, disrupting logistics in the Azov and Black Seas. This operation included attacks on oil tankers and gas carriers, indicating a shift in Ukrainian tactics to undermine Russian supply lines. In response, Russia is contemplating changes to its cargo routes due to the increased frequency of these attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026
195,000 contract soldiers do not fill the gap in the Russian army in the summer of 2026

195,000 contract soldiers do not fill the gap in the Russian army in the summer of 2026

Political-MilitaryCasualties & LossesStrategic

The Russian Army has recruited about 195,000 contract soldiers by July 2026, falling short of its target of 409,000. Recruitment rates have decreased, leading to concerns over personnel quality and increasing combat losses, particularly in Donetsk Oblast, where Russian forces face significant casualties. The military's reliance on less qualified recruits and foreign labor indicates a shift towards coercive recruitment methods.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026