Analysis & Reports

Ukrainian forces conducted a naval strike on two large Russian landing ships in Sevastopol Bay on April 19-20, 2026, as part of a broader campaign to degrade Russian naval logistics. In retaliation, Russian forces launched 142 Shahed-type drones against Ukraine, with 29 successfully striking targets. Concurrently, Ukrainian drone strikes targeted the Tuapse Oil Refinery in southern Russia, aiming to reduce Russian refining capacity. The conflict continues to escalate with significant military operations from both sides.

Dmitri VolkovMon Apr 20 2026Loading...

Russia launched over 160 drones at Ukrainian cities, resulting in four civilian deaths, just before a 32-hour ceasefire on April 12, 2026. Ukrainian military intelligence reported a record 35,351 Russian casualties in March, indicating a manpower crisis. Ukrainian forces recaptured eight settlements in Dnipropetrovsk, while Russia's territorial gains have significantly slowed, suggesting a shift in the war's attritional dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovSun Apr 19 2026Loading...

Russia launched a coordinated aerial assault on Ukraine on April 15-16, deploying over 700 strike vehicles, including ballistic and cruise missiles, and drones. The attack resulted in at least 17 civilian deaths and over 100 injuries, with significant damage reported in Kyiv, Dnipro, Odesa, and Kharkiv. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted many of the incoming threats, but some missiles and drones still struck multiple locations. Additionally, Russia is preparing to deploy 20,000 troops to southeastern Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovSun Apr 19 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted over 11,000 combat missions daily in April 2026, achieving a decisive drone advantage over Russian forces. They struck more than 150,000 verified targets in March, significantly degrading Russian logistics and command capabilities. Russian forces faced substantial losses, including 820 personnel and 2,459 UAVs in a single day, while Ukraine's drone operations enabled limited counteroffensive actions and territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovWed Apr 15 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces achieved a significant drone advantage over Russian forces in April 2026, executing over 11,000 combat missions daily and conducting 365 verified mid-range strikes targeting Russian military infrastructure. This campaign has damaged approximately 20% of Russia's refining capacity. Concurrently, Russian drone units have established a lethal environment for Ukrainian logistics, prompting the rapid adoption of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs) by Ukrainian forces.

Dmitri VolkovTue Apr 14 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces executed over 11,000 drone combat missions daily in April 2026, striking 143 Russian logistics facilities and achieving significant drone interceptions. This operational shift has degraded Russian supply chains as they prepare for a Spring-Summer offensive. Reports indicate that Russian Defense Minister Belousov acknowledged Ukraine's technological advantage in drone warfare, highlighting the critical situation for Russian forces.

Dmitri VolkovMon Apr 13 2026Loading...

Ukraine has achieved drone superiority, executing over 11,000 combat missions daily and conducting 350 mid-range strikes in March 2026, significantly impacting Russian operations. Russian advances have stalled, with over 1,040 personnel lost in a single day on April 9. Ukrainian forces have also destroyed nine Russian air defense systems, further degrading Russian capabilities. The situation indicates a shift in battlefield dynamics, with Ukraine regaining territory and disrupting Russian operations.

Dmitri VolkovSun Apr 12 2026Loading...

Russia declared an Orthodox Easter ceasefire from April 11 to April 12, 2026, amid a significant shift in battlefield dynamics favoring Ukraine. Ukrainian forces executed over 11,000 combat missions daily, striking more than 150,000 targets in March 2026 and destroying nine Russian air defense systems. The operational picture shows Ukraine clearing approximately 400 square kilometers of territory, while Russian forces face challenges in maintaining their objectives in the Donetsk Oblast.

Dmitri VolkovSun Apr 12 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted over 11,000 combat missions daily in April 2026, striking significant Russian logistics and command targets. Russian territorial gains have collapsed to 23 square kilometers, the lowest since September 2023, as Ukrainian drone operations degrade Russian air defenses. Despite ongoing Russian assaults, their ground forces are advancing at the slowest rate in over two years, indicating a shift in the conflict's dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovSat Apr 11 2026Loading...

Russia continues its offensive operations against Ukraine as of April 2026, launching missile barrages and artillery fire while sustaining significant equipment losses. NATO has reinforced its eastern flank with military exercises involving 15,500 troops in Northern Europe and 32,500 troops in the Arctic. Ukrainian forces have regained territory through counteroffensive operations, despite heavy personnel losses. The expiration of the New START treaty has further complicated the strategic landscape.

Dmitri VolkovTue Apr 07 2026Loading...

Russian forces intensified their offensive operations in the Donbas region, achieving significant territorial gains, particularly in the Luhansk People's Republic, as of April 2026. The Russian Defense Ministry announced the completion of the 'liberation' of Luhansk, with over 99% under their control. Concurrently, Ukrainian forces executed successful strikes against Russian positions, demonstrating resilience despite facing overwhelming odds.

Dmitri VolkovMon Apr 06 2026Loading...

Russia is mobilizing over 400,000 additional troops for a Spring-Summer 2026 offensive, while Ukraine's counteroffensive has disrupted these plans. Ukrainian forces regained significant territory in February 2026, forcing Russia to shift to defensive operations. Concurrently, Russia's aerial campaign has intensified, utilizing advanced drone technology to target Ukrainian infrastructure. Belarus is also enhancing its military presence near the Ukrainian border.

Dmitri VolkovSat Apr 04 2026Loading...

Russia launched nearly 1,000 drones against Ukraine on March 24, 2026, while Ukraine targeted Russian oil infrastructure, impacting exports. Fighting intensified in Kostyantynivka, with Russian forces conducting artillery and drone strikes. Ukraine reorganized its air defense command to enhance drone interception capabilities. NATO members, including Lithuania, significantly increased defense spending, reflecting a unified response to the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovWed Apr 01 2026Loading...

Russian forces intensified military operations across Ukraine from March 23-27, 2026, launching a concentrated aerial campaign that deployed nearly 1,000 drones and missiles. The strikes targeted critical infrastructure, resulting in civilian casualties in Poltava and Zaporizhzhia. Concurrently, Russian ground operations maintained pressure in Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts, with claims of territorial gains. The introduction of new drone systems indicates an evolving tactical approach as Russia prepares for a significant ground offensive.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 28 2026Loading...

Russia is modernizing its armored forces and command architecture, focusing on AI and unmanned systems, while refurbishing existing tanks. The Russian Armed Forces plan to produce over 2,000 advanced main battle tanks by 2036, with significant increases in T-90 production. Concurrently, Russia is enhancing its command capabilities through the Glaz/Groza software and integrating UAVs into military operations. These efforts indicate preparations for extended military confrontation with NATO.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 27 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched nearly 1,000 drones and missiles against Ukrainian targets from March 23 to 24, 2026, marking the largest coordinated strike of the war. The strikes impacted at least 15 oblasts, including Lviv and Kharkiv, targeting civilian infrastructure and military sites. Ukrainian air defenses intercepted around 100 missiles, but the scale of the assault overwhelmed defenses, resulting in civilian casualties and significant damage.

Dmitri VolkovWed Mar 25 2026Loading...

Russian forces launched a Spring 2026 offensive in eastern Ukraine on March 19, employing battalion-sized mechanized assaults in the Lyman direction. Despite initial attacks being repelled by Ukrainian forces, Russia is redeploying elite units to bolster its operations. Concurrently, Ukrainian counteroffensives have disrupted Russian plans, leading to significant territorial gains. The air campaign has intensified, with numerous drone strikes targeting Ukrainian infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 24 2026Loading...

Russia continues to sustain military operations in Ukraine, intensifying attacks on critical infrastructure with advanced weaponry. The Kremlin has allocated significant resources to defense, with military spending projected at $186 billion for 2025. However, recruitment challenges are emerging as casualty rates exceed recruitment numbers, raising concerns about future operational capacity.

Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 24 2026Loading...

Russia maintains high-intensity military operations in Ukraine as of March 2026, recruiting 30,000 to 35,000 personnel monthly despite suffering 30,000 to 40,000 casualties. The Kremlin's defense spending reached $186 billion in 2025, enabling sustained offensive pressure and modernization of military capabilities, including the development of advanced drones. This situation poses significant challenges for NATO and European security.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 23 2026Loading...

As of March 23, 2026, Russian Armed Forces have suffered catastrophic losses in Ukraine, with 11,794 main battle tanks and 24,268 armored fighting vehicles destroyed since February 2022. Daily losses include 3-5 tanks and 8-20 armored vehicles, alongside significant personnel casualties. The reliance on outdated equipment and small-unit tactics reflects a strategic crisis in armored warfare effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 23 2026Loading...