Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

International Observation | Considerations of Russia and Ukraine Hitting Each Other's "Rear Areas"

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces launched over 400 drones against Moscow and surrounding areas from July 19 to 20, 2023, marking one of the largest attacks to date. Concurrently, Russian forces executed a significant missile strike on Kyiv, firing approximately 40 ballistic missiles targeting military supplies. Both sides are engaged in extensive strikes against each other's logistics and industrial facilities, aiming to disrupt military operations and supply chains.

Source: Global TimesWed Jul 22 2026
13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted and reported damage to 13 Russian vessels in the Black and Azov Seas on July 21-22, 2026. The operation included 10 cargo ships, 2 tugboats, and 1 tanker, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's naval engagement. This campaign aims to disrupt Russian maritime logistics, highlighting vulnerabilities in their supply chain.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026
216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

216 "Shaheds" and decoys show the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched a nighttime strike involving 216 drones and 4 missiles, targeting civilian infrastructure in Kyiv and Odesa on July 21-22, 2026. Ukrainian forces reported intercepting 204 drones and 3 missiles, but damage occurred to residential buildings and gas pipelines. This operation illustrates a shift in Russian tactics, emphasizing mass drone deployment to exert pressure on Ukrainian air defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026
Tu-160 Bomber from Russia.

Russia’s Best Harvest in Years Is Grinding to a Halt — and Farmers Fear Kyiv’s Drones Could Cost It Ten Million Tons of Wheat

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian strikes are disrupting fuel supplies in Russia, severely impacting agricultural operations as farmers struggle to harvest crops. Fuel shortages are causing logistical challenges, with reports indicating that Russia could export 5-10 million tons less wheat this season. Rural communities are facing significant difficulties, affecting their daily lives and agricultural productivity.

Source: 19FortyFiveTue Jul 21 2026
Ukraine Drones Choke Russia Crimea Lifeline in 2026

Ukraine Drones Choke Russia Crimea Lifeline in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian drone strikes are disrupting Russian logistics along the M-14 highway to Crimea as of July 2026. Russian milbloggers have challenged claims of complete control over the route, indicating ongoing threats to supply lines. The conflict has resulted in significant civilian casualties, with 293 killed and 1,990 injured in June 2026. Russia continues to launch missile and drone strikes against Ukraine, aiming to maintain pressure on civilian and military targets.

Alexandra ReevesAlexandra ReevesTue Jul 21 2026

The Black Sea Strike Cycle Is Moving From Ports to Ships

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

On July 20, 2023, Ukrainian forces launched around 400 drones toward Moscow, while Russian forces struck a corn ship near Odesa, resulting in ten fatalities. This incident signifies a shift in military operations from targeting port infrastructure to attacking commercial vessels, raising concerns about maritime security. The ongoing conflict has escalated, with both sides engaging in long-range strikes affecting civilian and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026

Conflict Spreads to Maritime Domain, Russia and Ukraine Target Each Other's Shipping

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Russian forces launched cruise missile strikes on a Ukrainian cargo ship near Odessa, killing 10. In retaliation, Ukrainian forces attacked multiple Russian vessels in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov. The conflict has escalated, impacting maritime security and grain exports, with Ukraine's export capacity significantly reduced due to ongoing strikes.

Source: Global TimesMon Jul 20 2026
Russian TOS-1 Rocket Artillery. Image Credit: YouTube Screenshot.

Ukraine Is Stockpiling Home-Built Interceptors to Down Russian Ballistic Missiles — a Task Experts Call ‘the Champions League’

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched a significant wave of ballistic missile attacks targeting Kyiv over the weekend, prompting Ukraine to stockpile home-built interceptors and successfully shoot down 18 of 41 missiles. In retaliation, Ukraine struck three Russian oil tankers in the Black Sea and logistics facilities, resulting in multiple casualties. Ukrainian President Zelensky called for further assistance from allies to enhance air defense capabilities.

Source: 19FortyFiveMon Jul 20 2026

A Strike on Wildberries Warehouses 700 Kilometers Away Changes the Price of Russian Logistics

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukrainian drones struck two major logistics facilities of Wildberries in Elektrostal and Kotovo on the night of July 17-18, resulting in multiple casualties. The attacks underscore the vulnerability of Russian logistics infrastructure, with damage estimates suggesting significant economic impact. This incident may compel Russia to reassess its air defense priorities as the conflict expands beyond traditional military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 20 2026
Ukraine's 172-Ship Drone Campaign Is Russia's New Crimea Problem

Ukraine's 172-Ship Drone Campaign Is Russia's New Crimea Problem

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted a series of strikes against 172 Russian naval and maritime-linked vessels in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov from July 5 to July 19. These operations targeted key logistics assets, including ferries and tankers, significantly disrupting Russian supply routes to Crimea. The attacks are part of a broader campaign to increase the operational costs for Russia in the region.

Alexandra ReevesAlexandra ReevesSun Jul 19 2026
Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Tu-95 at Engels Base Shows the Price of Russian Strategic Aviation in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesLogisticsHybrid

A Tu-95MS was reportedly destroyed at Engels airbase on July 19, 2026, indicating vulnerabilities in Russian strategic aviation. This incident reflects Ukraine's expanding operational capabilities to target Russian military infrastructure. The loss of the aircraft may lead to increased security measures at Russian airbases, impacting their operational effectiveness.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026
172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

172 ships in 13 days force Russia to withdraw drone units from the front.

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces struck 172 Russian maritime vessels over 13 days, prompting the withdrawal of up to 200 drone units from the front lines to protect logistics. This operation targeted key maritime assets in the Black and Azov Seas, impacting Russian supply chains. Concurrently, Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure in occupied territories further strained Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 19 2026

Russia claims Ukrainian drone attack killed 9, Ukraine says it targeted Russian logistics hub

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian Armed Forces conducted drone strikes on Russian logistics hubs in Tambov and Moscow Oblasts from July 17 to 18, 2023, resulting in 9 deaths and dozens of injuries. The strikes targeted key facilities used for military logistics, including an oil facility. In response, Russian air defense claimed to have intercepted 379 drones during the attacks.

Source: Global TimesSat Jul 18 2026

Zelensky Claims Ukrainian Forces Strike Two Logistics Facilities and Multiple Targets Inside Russia

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted long-range strikes on October 18, 2023, targeting logistics facilities in Moscow and Tambov Oblasts, as well as an oil facility. These strikes were aimed at disrupting the transportation of sanctioned components for military production. Additional strikes were reported in the Sea of Azov, Black Sea, and Crimea.

Source: Global TimesSat Jul 18 2026

Noginsk Oil Depot After Drone Attack Shows Limits of Moscow's Air Defense in 2026

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

UAV attacks on July 18, 2026, resulted in seven deaths and 25 injuries in Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast, as drones targeted sensitive infrastructure, including an oil depot in Noginsk. The attacks prompted evacuations and highlighted vulnerabilities in Moscow's air defense system, with 28 drones intercepted before reaching their targets. Ukrainian forces continue to focus on disrupting Russian military logistics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 18 2026
T-14 Armata Tank from Russia

Russia unveiled the T-14 tank, the Su-57 stealth fighter, and the Su-75 Checkmate as world-beating weapons — a decade on, the count stands at a few dozen tanks, roughly 30 jets, and a Checkmate that has never flown, while it turns out cheap drones by the tens of thousands

Weapons & EquipmentLogisticsStrategic AssessmentHybrid

Russia has unveiled advanced military prototypes, including the T-14 tank and Su-57 fighter, but has produced only a handful due to production challenges. In contrast, it has successfully manufactured tens of thousands of cheap drones, highlighting a significant shift in its military capabilities. The T-14 and Su-57 remain largely unutilized in combat, while the Su-75 Checkmate has yet to fly.

Source: 19FortyFiveFri Jul 17 2026
20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

20 ships overnight change the Russian war against Odessa ports

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces conducted drone operations on July 15, 2023, targeting 20 vessels in the Black Sea, including oil tankers and a tugboat. This operation is part of a larger campaign against Russian maritime logistics, which has seen intensified strikes on Odessa and surrounding areas. The Ukrainian military aims to disrupt Russian shipping and oil transport, reflecting a shift in the maritime conflict dynamics.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 16 2026
Dassault Mirage 2000-5

Ukraine Is Using Drones That Cost a Fraction of a Ship to Cripple Vessels Worth Millions — 116 in Nine Days, Kyiv Says

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian Unmanned Systems Forces damaged or disabled 116 Russian-linked vessels during a nine-day drone campaign in the Sea of Azov, with an additional wave targeting 20 more vessels. The operation focused on commercial and logistical vessels, aiming to disrupt Russia's military supply lines. This campaign reflects Ukraine's strategy of targeting infrastructure rather than direct military assets, utilizing inexpensive drones for sustained attacks.

Source: 19FortyFiveWed Jul 15 2026
136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

136 ships in ten days — Ukrainian sea drones are breaking Russian logistics

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian naval drones targeted 136 Russian vessels between July 6 and 15, 2026, disrupting logistics in the Azov and Black Seas. This operation included attacks on oil tankers and gas carriers, indicating a shift in Ukrainian tactics to undermine Russian supply lines. In response, Russia is contemplating changes to its cargo routes due to the increased frequency of these attacks.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 15 2026
The Burden of Simultaneous Deployment in Two Maritime Areas Indicated by Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force's Participation in RIMPAC 2026 and Sea Breeze

The Burden of Simultaneous Deployment in Two Maritime Areas Indicated by Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force's Participation in RIMPAC 2026 and Sea Breeze

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force is set to participate in RIMPAC 2026 and Sea Breeze 2026 exercises in July 2026, focusing on operations in both the Pacific and Black Sea. These exercises highlight Japan's adaptation to complex maritime threats, including the integration of unmanned systems and mine warfare. However, the increased training commitments may strain domestic readiness and personnel resources.

Tanaka TakashiTanaka TakashiWed Jul 15 2026