Analysis & Reports

Russia is modernizing its military capabilities in 2026, focusing on strategic systems like the RS-28 Sarmat ICBM and the Khabarovsk submarine for Poseidon operations. The Su-75 Checkmate fighter is set for its maiden flight, while the S-500 Prometheus air defense system is being deployed in critical areas. This modernization reflects a shift towards asymmetric advantages and enhanced deterrence capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 21 2026Loading...

Russian forces are adapting their drone operations and redeploying units in response to Ukrainian advances and communication challenges across the eastern and southern fronts. The 40th Naval Infantry Brigade and 120th Naval Infantry Division have been redeployed to the Oleksandrivka direction, while over 100 Molniya drones were destroyed by Ukrainian forces. Russia plans to expand its Unmanned Systems Forces to 101,000 personnel by April 1, 2026, amid ongoing operational setbacks.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 20 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces intensified their medium and long-range strike campaign against Russian military infrastructure in March 2026, targeting locations such as Krasnodar Krai and Belgorod City. France committed to supplying Ukraine with SAMP/T NG air defense systems for battlefield testing. Ukrainian operations included strikes on oil facilities and air defense systems, while Russian forces launched a significant number of drones and missiles. The situation indicates a strategic effort by Ukraine to degrade Russian capabilities ahead of anticipated offensives.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 16 2026Loading...

Russia redeployed the 76th Guards Air Assault Division and 40th Naval Infantry Brigade to the Zaporizhia sector from January to March 2026, indicating a strategic shift towards defense. Concurrently, Russia expanded its drone warfare capabilities, launching 99 drones against Ukrainian targets, including civilian infrastructure. The ongoing conflict has seen Ukraine liberate 244 square kilometers in the Zaporizhia area, while Russia's economic situation has improved due to rising oil prices, enabling continued military operations.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 16 2026Loading...

In March 2026, the Russian Armed Forces increased personnel to 2,391,770 and redeployed elite units from Donbas to southern Ukraine, particularly Zaporizhia and Hulyaipole. This strategic shift responds to successful Ukrainian counteroffensives, with Ukraine regaining territory. Concurrently, Russia is adapting its targeting priorities to focus on Ukrainian logistics, while NATO eastern states ramp up defense spending in response to perceived threats.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 13 2026Loading...

Russia continues to sustain its military operations in Ukraine, with elite airborne and naval infantry units redeployed to the southern frontline in March 2026. On March 7, Russia launched a significant strike involving over 400 drones and missiles targeting critical infrastructure across multiple Ukrainian regions. Despite recruitment challenges, the Kremlin maintains a robust defense budget and is actively modernizing its military capabilities, indicating a long-term commitment to the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 10 2026Loading...

Russian Armed Forces redeployed approximately 2,000 personnel from the Donetsk region to the southern front near Hulyaipole in March 2026. This movement includes elements of the 68th Army Corps and naval infantry units, aimed at reinforcing operations in response to Ukrainian territorial gains. Concurrently, Russian forces have maintained pressure across multiple fronts, employing significant strike capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 09 2026Loading...

On March 4, 2026, Russian President Vladimir Putin authorized a significant expansion of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel, including 1,502,640 military personnel. This expansion reflects Russia's commitment to ongoing military operations in Ukraine and preparation for potential confrontations with NATO. Russian forces have redeployed units to counter Ukrainian advances, while also conducting extensive missile and drone strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure, resulting in civilian casualties.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 08 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces disrupted the Russian military's Spring-Summer 2026 offensive in early March, particularly in the Donbas region. Russia has intensified long-range strike operations against Ukrainian infrastructure, utilizing over 400 drones and missiles. Concurrently, hybrid warfare tactics have escalated across Eastern Europe, including cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns targeting NATO cohesion. The situation reflects a significant strain on Russian military capabilities and a shift in operational priorities.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 07 2026Loading...

On March 4, 2026, President Putin authorized a significant expansion of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,391,770 personnel, including 1,502,640 military personnel. This expansion coincided with a slowdown in Russian territorial advances in Ukraine, where Ukrainian forces liberated 244 square kilometers. The disruption of Russian access to Starlink satellite communications has degraded their operational capabilities, while Ukraine has intensified strikes on Russian military infrastructure. Additionally, Russia's military is adapting its tactics and expanding its capabilities, posing new challenges for NATO.

Dmitri VolkovSat Mar 07 2026Loading...

Russia continues to sustain high-intensity combat operations in Ukraine, with significant casualties reported at 35,030 in December 2025 and 31,713 in January 2026. Ukrainian forces have disrupted Russian preparations for a Spring-Summer 2026 offensive, while Russia develops long-range strike capabilities, including an upgraded Shahed-136 drone. The conflict remains dynamic, with ongoing military operations and evolving threats to European security.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 06 2026Loading...

Russian military operations in Ukraine have significantly slowed, with only 123 square kilometers gained in February 2026. Ukrainian forces counterattacked successfully, gaining over 170 square kilometers, particularly in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Disruption of Starlink terminal access has hindered Russian communications, while Ukrainian drone strikes have targeted Russian military infrastructure. The shift in Russian strategy focuses on logistics interdiction rather than rapid territorial gains.

Dmitri VolkovFri Mar 06 2026Loading...

Russia is preparing for a major spring-summer offensive against Ukraine, with intensified drone operations and missile strikes targeting Ukrainian logistics. Ukrainian forces successfully struck Russian naval assets in Novorossiysk, damaging key vessels. Concurrently, Russia is conducting information operations to influence NATO's nuclear strategy and deter troop deployments. The strategic landscape in Eastern Europe is shifting, with NATO responding to increased threats along its eastern flank.

Dmitri VolkovThu Mar 05 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces captured more territory in February 2026, reversing previous Russian gains. Russia is adapting its military strategy, shifting targeting from energy to logistics and water infrastructure. The development of a modernized Shahed-136 drone enhances Russia's long-range strike capabilities. European security architecture is evolving to address these multifaceted threats, with Ukraine integrating into European defense systems.

Dmitri VolkovWed Mar 04 2026Loading...

Russia is shifting its long-range strike campaign towards logistics and water infrastructure as of March 2026. Ukrainian forces have conducted successful mid-range strikes against Russian air defense systems, while Russia has made incremental territorial gains in eastern Ukraine. The Russian Army is preparing for sustained military operations through 2026, supported by significant investments in modernized equipment, including over 2,000 tanks and advanced submarines. NATO is reinforcing its eastern defenses in response to these developments.

Dmitri VolkovTue Mar 03 2026Loading...

Russia continues its offensive operations in Ukraine as of March 2026, adapting to a war of attrition while facing significant recruitment shortfalls and high casualties. The Russian Armed Forces maintain a recruitment rate of 30,000 to 35,000 personnel monthly, but casualties have reached nearly 40,000 per month. The military employs various equipment, including attack drones and all-terrain vehicles, to sustain operations across multiple fronts in eastern Ukraine. The ongoing conflict is characterized by incremental territorial gains and hybrid threats to European security.

Dmitri VolkovMon Mar 02 2026Loading...

Russian Armed Forces are sustaining high-intensity military operations in Ukraine as of March 2026, capturing territory and preparing for further offensives. The military is undergoing a significant reconstitution program, requiring 25,000 to 30,000 new personnel monthly. Russian defense industries are producing equipment at unprecedented rates, supported by foreign allies. The ongoing air campaign has severely impacted Ukraine's critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovSun Mar 01 2026Loading...

SpaceX enforced stricter verification for Starlink terminals, disrupting Russian artillery operations in February 2026. This loss of connectivity led to confusion among Russian units and allowed Ukrainian forces to exploit communication gaps in Zaporizhzhia. Concurrently, Russian forces launched a significant strike operation involving 420 drones and 39 missiles targeting Ukrainian infrastructure. The situation reflects ongoing adaptations by both sides in the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovFri Feb 27 2026Loading...

Russia continues to sustain high-intensity military operations in Ukraine as of February 2026, despite facing manpower constraints. The Russian Army recruits 30,000 to 35,000 personnel monthly, but this is insufficient to replace significant battlefield casualties, which totaled over 35,000 in late 2025. Moscow is developing new military tactics and equipment, including advanced drones, while protracting negotiations to improve its strategic position.

Dmitri VolkovThu Feb 26 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted massed infantry assaults across eastern Ukraine from February 21-23, 2026, focusing on multiple tactical areas including Kupyansk and Pokrovsk. Ukrainian forces executed counteroffensive operations, maintaining control of 97% of Kupyansk and utilizing advanced drone technology to strike deep into Russian territory. The operational tempo reflects ongoing attrition warfare, with significant casualties on both sides and challenges in Russian force generation.

Dmitri VolkovTue Feb 24 2026Loading...