Analysis & Reports

The Russian army is depriving contract soldiers of bonuses for legal violations, tightening recruitment policies for 2026. This change aims to control soldier behavior outside combat and reflects a shift in military recruitment strategy. The new policy is intended to reduce budgetary risks and combat issues like desertion and misconduct. The Russian military continues to face challenges in maintaining troop quality amid ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 08 2026Loading...

Eighteen out of thirty-six Rassvet satellites failed to reach orbit, hindering Russian military communication capabilities in 2026. This failure impacts the operational effectiveness of Russian drones in Ukraine, as reliable communication is essential for real-time control and targeting. Additionally, Russian forces are reportedly enhancing the capabilities of Geran drones for precision strikes, indicating a shift in their operational strategy despite technological setbacks.

Dmitri VolkovSat Sep 05 2026Loading...

Russian forces attacked two cargo ships in the Black Sea, aiming to disrupt Ukraine's maritime logistics. This action is part of a broader strategy to economically isolate Ukraine by making access to its ports increasingly risky. In response, Ukraine has targeted Russian port and energy infrastructure, indicating a shift in the conflict towards mutual attacks on logistics. The situation is evolving as both sides adapt their strategies to exert pressure on each other.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

Russian intelligence services are actively recruiting ordinary Danes for sabotage operations against defense companies in Denmark that are aiding Ukraine. This development, highlighted by the Danish security service PET, indicates a strategic shift in Russian tactics, moving pressure from the front lines to the European rear. The operations aim to disrupt logistics and create a psychological impact on European nations involved in supporting Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovFri Sep 04 2026Loading...

On September 1, 2026, Germany closed its consulate in Bonn, attributing a drone incident on August 4 to Russia. The drone was found near a Ukrainian cargo plane at Leipzig-Halle airport. This incident marks a significant escalation in Germany's response to Russian hybrid operations, prompting diplomatic actions and discussions of sanctions across Europe.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

Ukrainian long-range drones are impacting Russian airspace and logistics in September 2026, creating uncertainty in the rear areas of Russia. President Zelensky has advised airlines to evaluate risks for flights over Russia, while the Russian military is reallocating air defense resources in response to these threats. This shift indicates that the traditional concept of strategic depth for Russia is becoming increasingly costly and uncertain.

Dmitri VolkovWed Sep 02 2026Loading...

Eight Indonesian citizens were recruited into the Russian Army in 2026, highlighting a personnel crisis as Russia seeks foreign recruits to fill gaps. Indonesian authorities are investigating the recruitment process amid concerns of potential fraud or human trafficking. This recruitment strategy indicates a significant shift in Russia's military personnel sourcing, as it expands beyond its traditional domestic reserves.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 01 2026Loading...

The 3M22 Zircon missile is assessed to have a maximum speed of 6.8 Mach and a warhead weight of 120 kilograms, indicating limitations in its capabilities. It functions as a high-speed penetration tool rather than a revolutionary weapon, with a quasi-ballistic trajectory and a range of about 1000 kilometers. Ukrainian intelligence highlights the reliance on foreign components for its production, suggesting vulnerabilities in Russia's military technology claims.

Dmitri VolkovTue Sep 01 2026Loading...

Ukrainian forces conducted airstrikes on August 30, 2026, targeting Russian military infrastructure in Yeysk, Millerovo, and Kirish. The attacks involved 130 drones and 2 ballistic missiles, aiming to disrupt Russian logistics and military operations. Key assets, including radar systems and ammunition depots, were hit, reflecting a strategic shift in Ukraine's approach to the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 31 2026Loading...

Russia is resuming its winter strategy of targeting Ukraine's energy infrastructure with nearly 2000 drones and over 1600 bombs deployed in recent weeks. This approach aims to systematically exhaust Ukraine's resources and create political pressure as winter approaches. Concurrently, Ukraine is increasing its strikes on Russian airfields and drone launch positions, indicating a response to the ongoing military operations.

Dmitri VolkovMon Aug 31 2026Loading...

On August 28, 2023, the Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces successfully launched an RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile from Plesetsk, reaching the Kura test range in Kamchatka. This event is part of a series of routine missile tests, occurring amidst heightened tensions with Ukraine and financial constraints within the Russian government. The launch underscores Russia's commitment to maintaining its strategic military readiness despite economic challenges.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 30 2026Loading...

A Russian drone strike using a Geran-4 targeted an ammunition depot in Myla, Kyiv Oblast, on August 29, 2026, resulting in 37 fatalities and 42 injuries. The attack caused extensive damage to at least 130 residential buildings and led to the evacuation of 381 individuals, including 59 children. This incident highlights the effectiveness of Russian tactics in disrupting Ukrainian logistics and civilian safety.

Dmitri VolkovSun Aug 30 2026Loading...

Over 113,000 Russian citizens crossed into Georgia via Upper Lars in August 2023, signaling potential preparations for mobilization. The Russian government is reportedly gathering personal data on reservists and has been denying any plans for mass mobilization. However, the failure of voluntary recruitment efforts has led to speculation about a future conscription announcement, particularly after the upcoming parliamentary elections.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 29 2026Loading...

The Russian Armed Forces launched the 'Volna Kupol Garant' electronic warfare system into series production in August 2026 to counter Ukrainian drone operations. This system aims to disrupt Starlink communications by targeting satellites, primarily protecting stationary military assets. However, its effectiveness against mobile targets is limited, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy in response to increased Ukrainian strikes on critical infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovSat Aug 29 2026Loading...

Ukrainian drones attacked the Yaroslavl Oil Refinery on August 28, 2026, marking the eighth strike this year. In response, the Russian government issued a decree allowing temporary management of critical infrastructure due to insufficient protection against drone threats. This decree has raised concerns about its vague criteria and the implications for Russian businesses.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 28 2026Loading...

The UK government authorized the transfer of classified information on SCALP missile components to Ukraine for local assembly, significantly enhancing Ukraine's military capabilities. This decision alters the dynamics of military support and operational planning against Russia, prompting a nervous reaction from Moscow. The local assembly of these missiles could enable Ukraine to conduct sustained long-range strikes, impacting Russian military logistics and operations.

Dmitri VolkovFri Aug 28 2026Loading...

Russia threatened British military targets on August 27, 2026, in response to Ukrainian attacks using British Storm Shadow missiles. This marks a significant shift in rhetoric, indicating that Moscow views Britain as a key military supplier to Ukraine. The threat serves to pressure London and signal to other European nations about the risks of military support to Ukraine, as Russia seeks to restore deterrence amid increasing Ukrainian long-range capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 27 2026Loading...

Russian forces are preparing Slavyansk for a siege in autumn 2026, employing Tornado-S systems and FAB-500 bombs to disrupt logistics and exhaust Ukrainian defenses. This strategy aims to weaken the supply routes and morale of Ukrainian forces rather than achieve immediate territorial gains. The focus is on creating a state of logistical distress in the region, indicating a shift in Russian military tactics towards prolonged engagements.

Dmitri VolkovThu Aug 27 2026Loading...

On August 25, 2026, the Russian Navy targeted five ships in the ports of Odessa and Pivdenny, marking a strategic shift towards an air blockade against Ukraine. This operation aims to disrupt Ukrainian agricultural exports and create a climate of fear among shipping companies. The attacks are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economy without occupying new territory.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...

Russian forces conducted strikes on border crossings with Moldova from late July to August 2023, targeting infrastructure to disrupt Ukrainian logistics. This campaign aims to increase costs for Ukrainian exports and instill a sense of constant border threat for Moldova and Romania. The strikes are part of a broader strategy to weaken Ukraine's economic ties with Europe and demonstrate the risks associated with supporting Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovWed Aug 26 2026Loading...