Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

136 drones and "Iskander-M" showcase the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine

136 drones and "Iskander-M" showcase the new economy of Russian strikes on Ukraine

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russian forces launched a coordinated attack on August 3-4, 2026, utilizing 136 drones and 1 Iskander-M missile, targeting multiple locations in Ukraine including Rostov Oblast and Oryol. Despite 117 drones being intercepted, 14 drones successfully struck targets across 14 areas. This operation reflects a strategic shift in Russian military tactics, emphasizing a diverse array of strike capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Aug 04 2026
Geranium-4 Seeker and Banderolet Change the Russian Campaign of Strikes on Ukraine's Ports in 2026

Geranium-4 Seeker and Banderolet Change the Russian Campaign of Strikes on Ukraine's Ports in 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russia launched 133 drone strikes against Ukrainian ports on August 2, 2026, primarily using new munitions called 'Banderol'. These strikes, which targeted Odessa, indicate a strategic shift towards specialized attacks on Ukraine's war economy infrastructure. The upgraded 'Geran-4 Seeker' drones are now equipped with optical guidance systems, enhancing their effectiveness against Ukrainian defenses.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Aug 03 2026
144 missiles in a week and the Patriot deficit push the Russian defense industry to bet on ballistic missiles 2026

144 missiles in a week and the Patriot deficit push the Russian defense industry to bet on ballistic missiles 2026

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Russia launched approximately 144 missiles, including ballistic types, over a week, with Ukraine intercepting only one of 27 aimed at Kyiv. This reflects a strategic shift in Russian military operations, emphasizing the use of ballistic missiles to exploit weaknesses in Ukrainian air defenses. Concurrently, Ukraine reported high interception rates of drones but faces challenges against ballistic threats, indicating a critical phase in the ongoing conflict.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Aug 02 2026
35 missiles and 185 drones over Kyiv revealed the Russian doctrine of fuel pressure 2026

35 missiles and 185 drones over Kyiv revealed the Russian doctrine of fuel pressure 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

Russian forces launched a significant strike on Kyiv from July 31 to August 1, 2026, using 35 missiles, including 27 ballistic missiles, and 185 drones. The attack resulted in civilian casualties and damage to infrastructure, highlighting a shift in Russian military strategy. Concurrently, Ukraine continued its campaign against Russian fuel infrastructure, indicating a broader conflict dynamic.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Aug 02 2026
27 ballistic missiles on Kyiv show a new calculation of the Russian campaign 2026

27 ballistic missiles on Kyiv show a new calculation of the Russian campaign 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On August 1, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a mixed strike of 35 missiles and 185 drones against Ukraine, primarily targeting Kyiv. The attack resulted in significant civilian casualties and infrastructure damage, with only one of the 27 ballistic missiles intercepted. This operation aimed to exploit vulnerabilities in Ukraine's air defense capabilities and demonstrate the effectiveness of Russian missile systems.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Aug 01 2026
Strike on Terminal Autonomy Shows New Russian Hunt for Ukrainian Drones 2026

Strike on Terminal Autonomy Shows New Russian Hunt for Ukrainian Drones 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

A Russian ballistic missile struck the Terminal Autonomy factory in Kyiv on July 31, 2026, marking a significant escalation in targeting Ukrainian drone production. This attack resulted in at least nine fatalities and 28 injuries. The strike is notable as it is the first known attack on an American defense company operating in Ukraine, reflecting a shift in Russian military strategy towards disrupting Ukrainian industrial capabilities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Aug 01 2026
Ukrainian FP-1 Strikes Volgograd — 15 Million Tons of Processing at Risk

Ukrainian FP-1 Strikes Volgograd — 15 Million Tons of Processing at Risk

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian FP-1 drones attacked the Lukoil-Volgograd oil refinery and logistical targets in Krasnodar Krai and Crimea on July 31, 2023. This operation threatens 15 million tons of annual oil processing and highlights the vulnerability of Russian logistics. The strikes demonstrate Ukraine's ability to reach significant targets deep within Russian territory, impacting military supply chains.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 31 2026
Shaheds and Iskanders Show Russia's Bet on Exhausting Air Defense on July 30

Shaheds and Iskanders Show Russia's Bet on Exhausting Air Defense on July 30

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On July 30, 2026, Russian forces launched a coordinated strike against Ukrainian cities using 125 drones and 25 ballistic missiles, resulting in at least eight fatalities. This operation is part of a broader strategy to exhaust Ukrainian air defenses by combining cheap drones with more expensive missiles. The strikes reflect a systematic approach to warfare, aiming to pressure Ukraine's military resources and infrastructure.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 31 2026

X-101 in Poland After Striking 358 Targets Reveals the Price of Russian Missile Mass 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

A Russian X-101 cruise missile fell in Poland's Lublin Voivodeship during a mass airstrike on July 29-30, 2026, involving 358 aerial targets. The Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting 320 of these targets, including missiles and drones. This incident has heightened concerns about the implications for NATO and Polish security, prompting discussions on enhanced missile defense cooperation with Ukraine.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 30 2026
74 missiles and 284 "Shahed" over Ukraine test the limits of air defense at NATO borders

74 missiles and 284 "Shahed" over Ukraine test the limits of air defense at NATO borders

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

On the night of July 30, 2026, Russian Armed Forces launched a massive strike involving 74 missiles and 284 Shahed drones against Ukraine, targeting cities such as Kyiv, Lviv, and Kryvyi Rih. Ukrainian air defense successfully intercepted 55 missiles and 265 drones, but the attacks resulted in eight fatalities and numerous injuries. The strikes have raised concerns regarding NATO's security, particularly due to the proximity of the attacks to the Polish border.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovThu Jul 30 2026
24 "Pantsir" Towers Around Moscow in 2026 Show the Cost of Long-Range Strikes

24 "Pantsir" Towers Around Moscow in 2026 Show the Cost of Long-Range Strikes

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsLogisticsHybrid

In July 2026, the Russian Armed Forces deployed 24 Pantsir air defense systems around Moscow in response to increased drone threats from Ukraine. This deployment includes additional Pantsir-SMD systems and S-400 systems, indicating a strategic shift in protecting critical infrastructure. Ukrainian drone strikes targeted various locations, including Rostov and Sarapul, prompting this military adaptation.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 29 2026
24 New Pantsir Towers Around Moscow Show a New Geography of the Russian War

24 New Pantsir Towers Around Moscow Show a New Geography of the Russian War

Weapons & EquipmentLogisticsOperational

Twenty-four new Pantsir air defense systems were deployed around Moscow in July 2026, indicating a shift in Russian military strategy towards domestic defense. This deployment coincided with an increase in military personnel to 2,426,130, as President Putin recognized the need for enhanced internal security. Ukrainian forces continued to target Russian infrastructure, highlighting the evolving nature of the conflict.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovTue Jul 28 2026

50 ballistic missiles in a week change the rhythm of Russian strikes on Ukraine

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Russia has launched over 50 ballistic missiles against Ukraine in the past week, indicating a strategic shift in their air campaign. This change aims to exploit vulnerabilities in Ukrainian air defense by increasing the frequency of daytime missile launches. Concurrently, Ukraine has targeted Russian oil facilities, affecting the logistics of Russia's military operations.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026
The canceled Navy parade in St. Petersburg shows the cost of Ukrainian strikes at 3000 kilometers

The canceled Navy parade in St. Petersburg shows the cost of Ukrainian strikes at 3000 kilometers

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

The Russian Navy canceled the Navy Day parade in St. Petersburg in July 2026 due to security concerns stemming from Ukrainian long-range strikes. President Zelensky announced Ukraine's capability to target locations over 3000 kilometers away, prompting a reassessment of Russian military logistics and air defense. This cancellation reflects a significant shift in the operational environment, highlighting vulnerabilities in Russian defenses and the impact of Ukrainian drone operations on Russian military activities.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovMon Jul 27 2026
95 missiles in a week and the Iskander-M strike on Kyiv show Russia's bet on ballistics

95 missiles in a week and the Iskander-M strike on Kyiv show Russia's bet on ballistics

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentOperational

Russian forces launched a significant missile and drone attack on Ukraine from July 25 to 26, 2026, utilizing 95 missiles, including Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and 136 drones. Ukrainian air defense reportedly intercepted several missiles, while President Zelensky noted the extensive use of drones and guided bombs. The attacks are part of a strategy to overwhelm Ukrainian defenses and compel requests for advanced missile systems from allies. Ukrainian forces responded with strikes on Russian drone control infrastructure in Crimea.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSun Jul 26 2026
Russia's ballistic missiles consume a month's production stock in July 2026

Russia's ballistic missiles consume a month's production stock in July 2026

Military OperationsWeapons & EquipmentLogisticsHybrid

In July 2026, Russian forces launched over 25 ballistic missiles and 125 drones against Ukraine, exceeding their monthly production capacity. Despite the extensive use of these weapons, the operations have not achieved a decisive breakthrough on the front lines. Ukrainian forces reported successful interceptions of many of these attacks, while also conducting strikes on Russian logistics and military targets.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 25 2026
Three Iskanders at the Exhibition Near Kyiv Show the Price of Open Defense Innovation in 2026

Three Iskanders at the Exhibition Near Kyiv Show the Price of Open Defense Innovation in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesWeapons & EquipmentHybrid

On July 24, 2026, Russian forces launched three Iskander-M ballistic missiles at a defense exhibition in Bucha, Kyiv Oblast, resulting in ten fatalities and approximately one hundred injuries. One missile was intercepted, while two struck the target area. The attack aimed at Ukrainian defense industry representatives, prompting criticism from President Zelensky regarding the event's location near residential buildings.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovSat Jul 25 2026
T-72B3A with Arena-M failed its first battle near Mayak in 2026

T-72B3A with Arena-M failed its first battle near Mayak in 2026

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

A Ukrainian FPV drone struck a Russian T-72B3A tank equipped with the Arena-M active protection system near Mayak on July 23-24, 2026. The system failed to prevent the strike, raising concerns about its effectiveness against modern drone threats. This incident occurred within a column of ten Russian tanks, indicating potential vulnerabilities in Russian armored units.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 24 2026
P1-SUN JetKiller to Launch in Series in August 2026 — Ukraine Changes Its Economy of Fighting "Shaheds"

P1-SUN JetKiller to Launch in Series in August 2026 — Ukraine Changes Its Economy of Fighting "Shaheds"

Weapons & EquipmentMilitary OperationsOperational

Ukraine plans to produce the P1-SUN JetKiller interceptor starting in August 2026 to counter Iranian Shahed drones and their Russian variants. The interceptor is designed for a range of 30 kilometers and will utilize AI for guidance. Skyfall aims to manufacture up to 50,000 units per month, enhancing Ukraine's air defense capabilities against mass drone attacks. Additionally, Ukraine is targeting Russian defense industries to disrupt drone production.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovFri Jul 24 2026
13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

13 shadow fleet ships in two days reveal a new vulnerability for Russia in the Black Sea

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Ukrainian forces targeted and reported damage to 13 Russian vessels in the Black and Azov Seas on July 21-22, 2026. The operation included 10 cargo ships, 2 tugboats, and 1 tanker, indicating a strategic shift in Ukraine's naval engagement. This campaign aims to disrupt Russian maritime logistics, highlighting vulnerabilities in their supply chain.

Dmitri VolkovDmitri VolkovWed Jul 22 2026