Analysis & Reports

AI-assisted analysis of military-related information from public sources

Niger hit in Niamey for the second time in 2026 — the airport showcases the AES

Niger hit in Niamey for the second time in 2026 — the airport showcases the AES

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Armed men attacked the Diori Hamani International Airport in Niamey on June 18, 2026, resulting in gunfire and explosions. This incident marks the second attack on the airport this year, following a previous assault claimed by ISIS. The airport serves as both a civilian and military facility, raising concerns about security vulnerabilities in urban areas. Nigerien Armed Forces responded to the attack, which underscores the ongoing threat from armed groups in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Jun 18 2026

The Wolves of the Desert in Sudan — 300 Colombians Extend the RSF's Drone War

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Colombian contractors, known as Lobos del Desierto, are actively participating in drone warfare alongside the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan as of June 2026. They are providing critical skills in drone operation and logistics, significantly impacting the conflict. The RSF has adapted its tactics, leading to increased drone strikes that have resulted in over 1,000 civilian casualties. Key logistical routes for these contractors involve complex international travel.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Jun 18 2026

ISWAP and Boko Haram clash on Lake Chad — 360 hostages released and 5 Nigerian soldiers killed

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On June 6, 2026, the Nigerian Army released 360 hostages in the Mandara Mountains after clashes with Boko Haram, which had killed five Nigerian soldiers a day earlier. The Lake Chad region is witnessing intensified competition between ISWAP and Boko Haram for control, impacting local communities and humanitarian conditions. The Nigerian military continues operations against jihadist factions, but the situation remains complex and fluid.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Jun 17 2026

The United States Strikes Somalia 64 Times in 2026 — al-Shabaab Still Controls the Roads

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

The U.S. conducted 64 airstrikes against al-Shabaab in Somalia in 2026, with AFRICOM acknowledging 63. A strike on November 15, 2025, reportedly killed at least 12 civilians, including children. Despite these operations, al-Shabaab maintains control over key territories and routes, undermining the effectiveness of U.S. air support. The situation reflects ongoing challenges in achieving lasting security in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Jun 17 2026

Nigeria sees school kidnappings rise in Oyo — 46 hostages and a southwest front in 2026

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On May 15, 2026, armed men attacked schools in Yawota and Ahoro-Esiele, Oyo State, abducting 46 individuals, including 39 students and 7 teachers. One teacher was killed during the assault, and another died in captivity. This incident signifies a troubling expansion of kidnapping activities into southwestern Nigeria, a region previously viewed as secure.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Jun 16 2026
JNIM Strangles Bamako in 2026 — 120 Containers per Day Blocked to Mali

JNIM Strangles Bamako in 2026 — 120 Containers per Day Blocked to Mali

LogisticsMilitary OperationsOperational

JNIM has established a logistical blockade affecting supply routes to Bamako, significantly disrupting the flow of goods and resources. This blockade, which began after coordinated attacks in April 2026, targets key routes from Dakar, Conakry, and Abidjan, leading to shortages and increased prices in the capital. The group aims to exert pressure on the Malian state by making transportation too risky and costly.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Jun 16 2026

ISWAP strikes Kautikari in Nigeria on June 13 and traps Chibok in fear

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

ISWAP attacked a local security position held by hunters in Kautikari, Nigeria, on June 13, 2023. The initial defense was successful, but ISWAP regrouped, leading to a temporary retreat of the defenders. One civilian was injured, and one member of the Civilian Joint Task Force was hurt, while no soldiers were reported casualties. The incident underscores the ongoing threat posed by ISWAP in the region and the psychological impact on the local community.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Jun 15 2026
JNIM and the Islamic State Gain Ground in Benin — 80% More Cross-Border Attacks

JNIM and the Islamic State Gain Ground in Benin — 80% More Cross-Border Attacks

Military OperationsForce MovementOperational

Jihadist groups JNIM and ISSP have significantly increased their operational presence in northern Benin, with attacks rising by 80% between 2024 and 2025, resulting in over 1,000 deaths. The region is becoming a strategic area for these groups, who are establishing bases and routes for operations. The Sahel Alliance Battalion, consisting of 5,000 troops, is deemed inadequate to counter this escalating threat effectively.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisMon Jun 15 2026

Sudan 2026 — 23 dead in El-Obeid and the drone war suffocates Kordofan

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

Drone strikes by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) hit civilian areas in El-Obeid, North Kordofan, on June 10-11, 2026, resulting in 23 deaths and 19 injuries. The strikes targeted residential neighborhoods, a funeral gathering, and military positions, indicating a shift in tactics towards using drones against civilian infrastructure. This escalation reflects a broader trend of increasing drone warfare in the region, complicating the humanitarian situation.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Jun 13 2026
Boko Haram loses 360 captives in Borno in 2026 — the Mandara mountain remains the real front

Boko Haram loses 360 captives in Borno in 2026 — the Mandara mountain remains the real front

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On June 6, 2026, the Nigerian Army rescued 360 captives from Boko Haram in the Mandara Mountains of Borno State. The operation, part of the Hadin Kai initiative, highlighted the challenges of operating in difficult terrain, where Boko Haram maintains control over hostages. Despite the rescue, concerns remain about the ongoing threat posed by Boko Haram, especially following their earlier kidnapping of 416 individuals in Ngoshe.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Jun 13 2026
ISWAP in Borno in 2026 — 2 commanders surrender after 200 claimed deaths

ISWAP in Borno in 2026 — 2 commanders surrender after 200 claimed deaths

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

On June 8, 2026, two ISWAP commanders, Ismail Mohammed and Abu Umar, surrendered to Nigerian troops in Borno. This occurred after joint operations reportedly killed over 200 fighters from Boko Haram and ISWAP. The Nigerian Army emphasized the importance of the area around Mangari, which is crucial for ISWAP's operations. The U.S. has provided intelligence support to enhance the effectiveness of these operations.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Jun 12 2026

JNIM in Kidal in 2026 — 2 arrested journalists expose the war for control in Mali

Information OperationsPolitical-MilitaryInformational

Two Malian journalists were arrested in Bamako between June 8 and 10, 2026, for reporting on the control of Kidal by the JNIM. Their arrests highlight the ongoing struggle for information control in Mali, particularly following recent coordinated attacks by jihadist groups. Kidal remains a critical location in the conflict, symbolizing the broader challenges faced by the Malian state in asserting authority over the north.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisFri Jun 12 2026
Mali 2026 imprisons 2 journalists — the JNIM turns Kidal into an information battle

Mali 2026 imprisons 2 journalists — the JNIM turns Kidal into an information battle

Information OperationsPolitical-MilitaryInformational

On June 9, 2026, two journalists were arrested in Mali for reporting that the JNIM controls Kidal. This incident reflects the Malian government's efforts to suppress information regarding its military challenges. The arrests are part of a broader struggle for control over narratives in a region where JNIM's influence is growing, particularly following recent offensives.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Jun 11 2026
Mali imprisons 2 journalists in 2026 — Kidal's denial exposes Bamako to JNIM

Mali imprisons 2 journalists in 2026 — Kidal's denial exposes Bamako to JNIM

Information OperationsPolitical-MilitaryInformational

In June 2026, the Malian government arrested journalists Abdramane Keïta and Chahana Takiou for reporting on the control of Kidal by the JNIM. These arrests highlight the government's attempt to suppress information and maintain a narrative of national unity amidst ongoing security challenges. The situation in Kidal reflects deeper issues of governance and military effectiveness in Mali.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Jun 11 2026
Mali locks down 35 forest areas in 2026 — Bamako tries to cut the bases of JNIM

Mali locks down 35 forest areas in 2026 — Bamako tries to cut the bases of JNIM

Military OperationsLogisticsOperational

Mali has militarized 35 forest areas as of June 3, 2026, to counter the operations of the JNIM group. This initiative aims to control supply routes and disrupt JNIM's activities in strategic locations. The move follows recent coordinated attacks by JNIM on various points in Mali, indicating a shift in military strategy to enhance operational control in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Jun 06 2026

Mandaragirau 2026 — 8 dead in Borno and ISWAP resumes the base war

Military OperationsCasualties & LossesOperational

ISWAP attacked Forward Operating Base Mandaragirau in Borno at around 3 AM, resulting in eight fatalities, including five soldiers and three members of the Civilian Joint Task Force. The Nigerian Army successfully repelled the assault and retained control of the base, while the attack aimed to test military responses and disrupt local defense systems. This incident marks a significant escalation in ISWAP's operations following recent military actions against them.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisSat Jun 06 2026

Mogadishu 2026 in Somalia — Al-Shabaab Exploits the Fighting Between Government and Opposition

Military OperationsForce MovementOperational

On June 4, 2026, armed clashes erupted in Mogadishu between Somali government forces and opposition-linked militias ahead of a planned protest against President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud. The violence has led to civilian displacement and raised concerns about Al-Shabaab exploiting the political instability. The ongoing conflict highlights the fragility of security in the capital amid a political crisis.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisThu Jun 04 2026
Mali 2026 — 8 dead on the Bamako-Kayes road and the JNIM tightens the noose

Mali 2026 — 8 dead on the Bamako-Kayes road and the JNIM tightens the noose

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

On June 1, 2026, a civilian bus struck a mine on the Bamako-Kayes road, resulting in eight deaths and forty-two injuries. The attack is linked to JNIM, which has been increasing pressure on transportation routes to undermine confidence in the Malian government. This incident is part of a broader strategy to disrupt supply lines and instill fear among the population.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisWed Jun 03 2026
Katsina 2026 — General Rabe Abubakar and his wife kidnapped on the Matazu axis

Katsina 2026 — General Rabe Abubakar and his wife kidnapped on the Matazu axis

Casualties & LossesInformation OperationsOperational

Retired Major-General Rabe Abubakar and his wife were kidnapped by armed men on May 30, 2026, while traveling in Matazu, Katsina. The driver was shot but escaped, and the vehicle was later recovered by police. Local reports indicate that the kidnappers may be led by a local chief known as Kachalla Muhammadu, highlighting ongoing security challenges in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Jun 02 2026

Beni 2026 in Congo — the ADF kills 16 people and exposes the lock of North Kivu

Casualties & LossesMilitary OperationsOperational

The Allied Democratic Forces (ADF) attacked Ngadi on the night of May 30-31, 2026, killing 16 individuals, including 15 civilians and 1 soldier. The Congolese army confirmed the casualties and is pursuing the attackers while reinforcing civilian protection. This incident highlights the ADF's capability to strike in urban areas, raising concerns about security in the region.

Marie DuboisMarie DuboisTue Jun 02 2026